MJO812 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Plowable from nj-li-sema is doable but toss the “big one” idea in the alley dumpster. Negative 5 AO and nothing ? I doubt it. Watch this come back. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Canadian went from a 983 over Stamford to a 990 like 300 miles southeast of Nantucket in 24 hours lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Canadian with a comical shift SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Hopefully it comes back on a few models, if not only to lure folks back in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, cleetussnow said: No need to change a flight now anyway. Storm now has zero support. Oh, I know … it's just … the general public and their apps are … very misinformed. Literally "I am having anxiety about a storm five days out" Yeah, we all are, kid, but know deep down in our hearts it's pretty unlikely to come. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 23 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Not at will. I think this will come back. All the big ones do. Except the ones that don't end up big....there have been many past several years...just last month. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: Hopefully it comes back on a few models, if not only to lure folks back in. It will.....its not over in that sense. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Negative 5 AO and nothing ? I doubt it. Watch this come back. I don't think anyone feels there will be nothing....but that doesn't mean many in SNE benefit from it. Every model has a storm response... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 10 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Negative 5 AO and nothing ? I doubt it. Watch this come back. The whole "NEED HuGE ArCtIC BloCk" thing is overrated. Easily prone to mediore to terrible patterns as we have seen 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: The whole "NEED HuGE ArCtIC BloCk" thing is overrated. Easily prone to mediore to terrible patterns as we have seen I think the safest bet is all Pacific driven. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 At least Tip didn't start this thread. If he had there would be an angry mob of weenies bashing in his front door. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I think the safest bet is all Pacific driven. Pacific has been a killer for years. Dominant fast northern stream has killed all major threats. All we're left with is cutters and suppressed tracks. Virginia might actually clean up nicely with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 lol…all the gloom and doom scared uncle away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Those holding out hope with the Ukie just saw those hopes dashed. There is little question that modeling 5 days out this winter has been atrocious. Hundreds of miles of movement from run to run in many cases. Anyone disputing that hasn't been paying attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Those holding out hope with the Ukie just saw those hopes dashed. There is little question that modeling 5 days out this winter has been atrocious. Hundreds of miles of movement from run to run in many cases. Anyone disputing that hasn't been paying attention. Models trying to phase near SNE in the medium range only to ultimately fail...who would have thought!? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6z Icon scrapes eastern areas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 6z Icon scrapes eastern areas Came north along with the ai 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 ill take that 958mb storm please 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 This hobby sucks. 2 5 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Still plenty of western members there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 33 minutes ago, CT Rain said: This hobby sucks. So... You thinking it will miss too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I was thinking we had the chance at a nice deep pack....I got so excited when I saw Miller A. I'm hoping we can at least get it close enough for an inch or two of powder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I think down my way I see at least a glancing blow and a pack refresh, hoping for a more impactful hit, but not sure that is in the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The METs are not letting This Storm go however..... So it's not a dead deal. ......... Encouraging..... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Looks like it’s on track for a light- moderate snowfall. High end advisory or maybe lower end warning for SNE. I’ll take it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like it’s on track for a light- moderate snowfall. High end advisory or maybe lower end warning for SNE. I’ll take it I'd rather the mega blizzard. 1'-2' .... We're so overdue 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Staying the course. Not a bad look out this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 9 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I'd rather the mega blizzard. 1'-2' .... We're so overdue who wouldn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 15 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: I'd rather the mega blizzard. 1'-2' .... We're so overdue That never really seemed realistic with this set up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 One of the more annoying things to me is when people say "it was never going to happen" or "the pattern never supported it" when multiple different products showed the exact thing for multiple cycles. Like, I guess yall do meteorological physics better than nwp and have better access to initialization conditions than the data that feeds them. To me, there's no difference between the statements "it's definitely coming" and "it's never going to happen." Both are severely lacking of humility. 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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