Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 9:27 PM, apm said: Oh yeah my bad, the next frame has two. Expand Yes 1 + several = 2 exactly .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 So what are the odds the GFS shows a hit between now and 0z?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 9:56 PM, Spanks45 said: So what are the odds the GFS shows a hit between now and 0z?... Expand 1/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Henry's Weather Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 9:56 PM, Spanks45 said: So what are the odds the GFS shows a hit between now and 0z?... Expand Seems exceedingly low on 18z given difference from 12 (more positive tilt/suppression on early returns) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 9:59 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 1/10 Expand It was quiet on the topic, plus I'm sitting here with the 2 youngest kids that both have the flu. Yeah, doesn't look great, definitely stepping backwards after the 12z head fake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:21 PM, Metasequoia said: 12Z Ukie courtesy of Rjay from the subforum next door. Expand Boxing Day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 GFS is now better than the euro lol. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 9:59 PM, Henry's Weather said: Seems exceedingly low on 18z given difference from 12 (more positive tilt/suppression on early returns) Expand It's also more consolidated at h5. So some good some bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The earlier and tucked in phases are a mirage. UK will sober up at 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 If this doesn’t pan out I’m moving to Miami Beach and the word snow removed from my vocabulary forever 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 7:10 PM, ORH_wxman said: That thing north of maine is a much bigger problem than the four corners shortwave Expand Those seem to be the kind of features that can be here today, gone tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 10:06 PM, CoastalWx said: GFS is now better than the euro lol. Expand Nice midlevel look for SE MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 10:38 PM, ORH_wxman said: Nice midlevel look for SE MA Expand With a mid level look for SE MA I’m guessing it’s pretty offshore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 10:42 PM, Kitz Craver said: With a mid level look for SE MA I’m guessing it’s pretty offshore? Expand Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 10:38 PM, ORH_wxman said: Nice midlevel look for SE MA Expand My prayers have been answered 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 GEFS look improved 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 10:46 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: My prayers have been answered Expand Each run coming NW though. With UK staying consistent 18Z Euro will comebck 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 10:54 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: GEFS look improved Expand Still not there. FWIW, it looks like the op was on the east side of the envelope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Room for improvement, but what we see now is only 100-150 miles s.e. of a very big hit with 108 hours to go ... and the upper components probably need less work than surface ... this could still go either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 18z GFS lifted that vorticity in Quebec further north. That allows heights to rise ahead of system. Storm is allowed to curl more northerly. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 10:54 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: GEFS look improved Expand Later phasing trends awt. Sematt in a prime spot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 11:02 PM, moneypitmike said: Still not there. FWIW, it looks like the op was on the east side of the envelope. Expand Why are you disagreeing with facts? lol The op is on the east side of the envelop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 18z Euro another tic SE.. 968 well SE of the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Well 18z euro sucked unless you’re in Virginia beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Skynet knew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 11:29 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Skynet knew. Expand We’ve tried and tried to tell them. This setup is very similar to others that have fell flat this season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 11:29 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Skynet knew. Expand It's not over yet. Still have 4 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 11:29 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Skynet knew. Expand Your biggest fear is palpable in your posts…the possibility that EOR gets 8-14 while you get a sandy 3-6. Probably neither happens but your angst is showing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 This season in a nutshell 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Watched wankum pour cold water on this one so I knew the euro must have sucked.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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