RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: We don't know who will get the shaft if anyone, right now we are in a very good spot on this one. On the contrary western CT has been nailed 2006, 2011, 2013, 2017, 2021.. we haven’t had a 18+ since 2013 while EOR probably in the double digits especially sematt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: check out our website for 12"+ storms https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/major-storms-12 That's awesome 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: we haven’t had a 18+ since 2013 while EOR probably in the double digits especially sematt. 18+ is incredibly rare bro 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: check out our website for 12"+ storms https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/major-storms-12 Yea we’ve had a good amount of 12-16” events no denying that. Still looking for that elusive 18+ one though…been 12 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I don’t know if I’m willing to say who is or is not in a good spot this early. But I’d say right now we have an interesting look. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea we’ve had a good amount of 12-16” events no deny thing. Still looking for that elusive 18+ one though…been 12 years. Wor has had a few though, just because your backyard didn't doesn't mean it didn't happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: we haven’t had a 18+ since 2013 while EOR probably in the double digits especially sematt. There's been 8 widespread 12-15" events since 2013 in western CT with several towns getting 18"+ in some of those storms in western CT... https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/major-storms-12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, CoastalWx said: I don’t know if I’m willing to say who is or is not in a gold a lot this early. But I’d say right now we have an interesting look. Bold take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea we’ve had a good amount of 12-16” events no denying that. Still looking for that elusive 18+ one though…been 12 years. If we get 12-16" with this storm we'd both be ecstatic .. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, moneypitmike said: My wife will use a storm like that to try and convince me that a move to the Cape would not sacrifice my ability to enjoy winter. Just tell her... ain't happening James! The confused look should let you escape the conversation for a time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Don't worry guys it doesn't matter, gfs will be right 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Wor has had a few though, just because your backyard didn't doesn't mean it didn't happen If it doesn’t happen in my backyard then it doesn’t happen lol. If you measure 14” it doesn’t matter that 15miles north measured 20”. You did not hit 18”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Bold take He could have just said” he just doesn’t know” and left it there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, JC-CT said: Don't worry guys it doesn't matter, gfs will be right I was telling Dylan earlier, if the GFS/GEFS camp is right, we are all having a rage party and smashing our computers.. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: If it doesn’t happen in my backyard then it doesn’t happen lol. If you measure 14” it doesn’t matter that 15miles north measured 20”. You did not hit 18”. Most people eor didn't hit 18 in these storms you are so jealous of 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 All in good fun not sweating it. Hope we wrong and euro verifies exactly as so in 5 days. Lfg. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Regardless of storm outcome, these threads are better when people like Ginx and JC are posting. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 23 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: That's not how this works.. EPS mean is barely east of BM and has a west lean, there are 5-10 non phasers so far east that ruin the mean, if you take out the 5 east outliers you get a mean inside the BM There are a bunch of phasers here, no? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 18 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: How many times has wct been burned by biggie busts/misses? 2015, 2017, 2018, 2022…just to name a few Man, you really I've been burnt. You are so cynical LOL. There's a whole lot of Truth that the storm could go out to sea, but there's an equal amount of Truth that it can hit us. Some of you guys are saying it's going to be a Miss for sure. Talking about other people having snow goggles on, no such thing. There is an equal chance that we get hit by a big storm. Some people choose to go on the pessimistic side, and maybe that's a defense mechanism, while others are being optimistic and pulling for this to be a hit. I'm I'm in the waiting and see mode. I would need to see a bit more consistency with the two largest weather models before. Really feeling confident of a hit. But I'm optimistic 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, apm said: There are a bunch of phasers here, no? Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, apm said: There are a bunch of phasers here, no? Yeah some members probably go due east from NJ and never gain latitude, a la 2016. Some might be late captures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Yeah I don't think this is one of those either or scenarios, where capture will send this to Trenton otherwise it will be a weak wave well southeast of benchmark. Phasing could occur closer to benchmark as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 And the GEFS is hideous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: Yeah I don't think this is one of those either or scenarios, where capture will send this to Trenton otherwise it will be a weak wave well southeast of benchmark. Phasing could occur closer to benchmark as well. Yes agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, apm said: And the GEFS is hideous. The GEFS don't even have a Euro like solution within its envelope. It's a flag, but also an indictment of the ensemble system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuildingScienceWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 16 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I was telling Dylan earlier, if the GFS/GEFS camp is right, we are all having a rage party and smashing our computers.. They opened a rage room not to far from your house... worth the money and it's BYOB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 11 minutes ago, apm said: There are a bunch of phasers here, no? Yes I said the 5 extreme non phasers well SE, Nothing supports that right now.. take those away and the mean is inside BM.... Every other low on there has some support except maybe that 989 over Albany.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 lol. This thread should have been called "Miller A, Miller B, or Miller Time?" because i feel a lot of weenies gonna be hittin the bottle if this gets rug pulled. We're still ~5 days away. try to keep expectations in check 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: lol. This thread should have been called "Miller A, Miller B, or Miller Time?" because i feel a lot of weenies gonna be hittin the bottle if this gets rug pulled. We're still ~5 days away. try to keep expectations in check Id like to see a bit more continuity between the American suite and European, that gives me a bit of pause. I mean GFS/GEFS want nothing to do with it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wokeupthisam Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 22 minutes ago, apm said: There are a bunch of phasers here, no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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