brooklynwx99 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 UKMET is an absolute ripper 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 ECMWF is a tucked bomb 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, brooklynwx99 said: ECMWF is a tucked bomb Tucked with mixing/rain/dry slot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, NJHurricane said: Tucked with mixing/rain/dry slot? Absolute crush job for the metro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, NJHurricane said: Tucked with mixing/rain/dry slot? no, just 1-2 feet of snow 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neblizzard Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: no, just 1-2 feet of snow A cripping blizzard verbatim 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I hate the word “tucked”. It implies “tucked in to the coast” which means rain for city and coast. A tucked in solution is bad for much of the forum (not north and west). a crippling blizzard for the big cities won’t be “tucked” it would be a track inside the benchmark 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, psv88 said: I hate the word “tucked”. It implies “tucked in to the coast” which means rain for city and coast. A tucked in solution is bad for much of the forum (not north and west). a crippling blizzard for the big cities won’t be “tucked” it would be a track inside the benchmark That was a tucky tuck Carl "Tuck"erson run! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 minutes ago, psv88 said: I hate the word “tucked”. It implies “tucked in to the coast” which means rain for city and coast. A tucked in solution is bad for much of the forum (not north and west). a crippling blizzard for the big cities won’t be “tucked” it would be a track inside the benchmark tucked inside the BM. idk i've seen it used like that before quite frequently 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 as good as it gets on 0Z Euro 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 13 minutes ago, psv88 said: I hate the word “tucked”. It implies “tucked in to the coast” which means rain for city and coast. A tucked in solution is bad for much of the forum (not north and west). a crippling blizzard for the big cities won’t be “tucked” it would be a track inside the benchmark Tbf this run is pretty tucked into the coast and well inside the BM. I wouldn't call it a "hugger" though. Whole sub gets crushed and weenies fly but the jackpot would prob be nyc-n/w this run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 question now is what will the ratio's be ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Euro is an absolute bomb! Too bad we aren’t into Wednesday of next week. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Snowlover11 said: Euro is an absolute bomb! Too bad we aren’t into Wednesday of next week. everyones favorite analogs for this one so far ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: everyones favorite analogs for this one so far ? 2016 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 6 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: everyones favorite analogs for this one so far ? 96? lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 as of right now the timing for the immediate NYC metro is snow develops sometime after midnight Thursday and tapers off sometime in the mid- late evening Thursday and ends close to midnight so close to a 20 -24 hour event - lets see if there are any timing changes and or duration changes as we get closer and closer to showtime............BTW this is according to the 0Z Euro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 25 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: question now is what will the ratio's be ? With what looks like strong winds accompanying the snow, ratios may not be ideal since the snowflakes will be getting broken up, not allowing for maximum “fluffiness” 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David-LI Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 why the big difference between gfs and euro? why are they showing diffrent solutions? who will win? euro is king no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, David-LI said: why the big difference between gfs and euro? why are they showing diffrent solutions? who will win? euro is king no? GFS is the outlier right now amongst most models and it handles the southern energy historically poor as opposed to the EURO -GFS flattens things out because of all of this and hence out to sea - all at this range but probably will come to its senses as we get closer to the event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 41 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: everyones favorite analogs for this one so far ? That kinda looks like boxing day but further north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 GFS doesn't make much sense. We have a closed upper low west of us. It pulls the low pressure system right up the coast offshore as shown by virtually every other model except the ICON. Even the ensembles support the track up the coast. Right now IMO the odds heavily favor it not that it couldn't change. It could. But we will watch the trends. This could possibly be a KU storm with potential for a foot or more of snow. WX/PT 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 First call 1-30 region-wide. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut, northeast New Jersey and southeast New York. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Winter Weather Advisory. There is also increasing potential for a winter storm to bring significant snowfall from Wednesday night into Thursday night of next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The ferocity of the bomb that the Euro cooked up tonight can’t be understated. Besides being an all out blizzard for much of the area this system can cause very high tides with major coastal flooding. This system will be sporting an impressive sting jet on its back side as well (especially offshore). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Euro and CMC are both dream storms for me. If they keep the same general depiction through Monday I’ll allow myself to start getting excited. Best potential we’ve had in a long time. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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