GiantBlizzard2003 Posted Thursday at 03:40 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:40 PM I bet we don't see one single flake.....how about that king euro.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Thursday at 03:43 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:43 PM HRRR had .5 -1 inch for the NYC area and LI. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted Thursday at 03:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:45 PM 1 hour ago, NJwx85 said: We had a recent March, might have been 2017 or 2018 with 4 or 5 big storms in March. We got into a pattern where we got coastals every week, but that was definitely an anomaly. One of my all time favorite storms, March 2010 was a 5" rain maker, occurring a few weeks after the snowicane. It was March, 2018 and that was anomalous as hell. A record breaking, historic SSWE mid-February caused a SPV split and resulted in a severely negative NAO/AO that month. The massive blocking lasted into April 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantBlizzard2003 Posted Thursday at 03:45 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:45 PM Storms will be cutting like michael myers through pimple faced teenagers...Northern NE will see record snow fall...while we smell it but see nothing but rain... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Thursday at 03:46 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:46 PM 1 minute ago, snowman19 said: It was March, 2018 and that was anomalous as hell. A record breaking, historic SSWE mid-February caused a SPV split and resulted in a severely negative NAO/AO that month. The massive blocking lasted into April That April storm was my favorite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Thursday at 03:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:48 PM 29 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: I have zero respect for DT Not sorry even worse than JB, especially with his attitude 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Thursday at 03:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:51 PM 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: even worse than JB, especially with his attitude Most of JBs followers drank the kool aid so they don't call out his busts. On Facebook DTs followers do and then he gets into back and forth with them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Thursday at 03:52 PM Share Posted Thursday at 03:52 PM Just now, Stormlover74 said: Most of JBs followers drank the kool aid so they don't call out his busts. On Facebook DTs followers do and then he gets into back and forth with them I heard he's been abusive with some people too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowguy66 Posted Thursday at 04:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:18 PM I heard he's been abusive with some people too.I've got emails going way back when I disagreed with this forecast and he emailed me back telling me to do what with my mother. He was an email tough guy. He puts down so many local meteorologist, and the national weather service only to bust himself. . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted Thursday at 04:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:32 PM 10 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: wow 60 pages now and this storm thread is totally out of control It’s an epic failure and meltdown on so many levels. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted Thursday at 04:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:32 PM " Holy Hell " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted Thursday at 04:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:47 PM Single digit and low teens dews any problem for this afternoon? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Thursday at 05:26 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:26 PM Yeah we'll have to see how much this extremely dry air hurts us. Latest HRRR still looks pretty good with a half inch to inch for a lot of the area. Euro still looks decent too. Hopefully we can pull off a nice little half inch to inch snowfall. You never know, it could be the last one this season. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Thursday at 05:35 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:35 PM 8 minutes ago, winterwx21 said: Yeah we'll have to see how much this extremely dry air hurts us. Latest HRRR still looks pretty good with a half inch to inch for a lot of the area. Euro still looks decent too. Hopefully we can pull off a nice little half inch to inch snowfall. You never know, it could be the last one this season. I think it's just going to be flurries for us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Thursday at 05:36 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:36 PM Even the globals (especially the Euro/CMC) are showing 0.5-1"+ this afternoon/evening N of 276/195. It would be nice... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted Thursday at 05:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:38 PM 1 hour ago, GiantBlizzard2003 said: I bet we don't see one single flake.....how about that king euro.... I'll take that bet...we have model consensus on at least 1/2" for NYC Metro with some places getting 1"+ (and those places can't be predicted well for a mesoscale event like this one). Models can be way off days in advance, but I doubt they're all wrong <8 hours from the start of an event, even a minor one. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Thursday at 05:53 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:53 PM 17 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: I think it's just going to be flurries for us We'll see. As RU just said, that would mean most models being wrong. It certainly wouldn't be a shock though if we just get flakes with a light dusting. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Thursday at 05:55 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:55 PM Just now, winterwx21 said: We'll see. As RU just said, that would mean most models being wrong. It certainly wouldn't be a shock though if we just get flakes with a light dusting. Radar does seem to be blossoming so we'll see 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted Thursday at 05:56 PM Share Posted Thursday at 05:56 PM 4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: February 20th and making a blanket statement "may be the last one" with nothing too back it up with - amazing..... I said you never know, it could be the last one. Which also means it might not be the last accumulating snow. I'm not claiming it's likely that it's the last one. Some years we get accumulating snow at the end of Feb or March, and some years we don't. I didn't exactly make a controversial statement, lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Thursday at 06:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:04 PM Flurries 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted Thursday at 06:06 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:06 PM Flurries and some very light snow. 23/14 F 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Thursday at 06:21 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:21 PM RAP has about an inch and we’re seeing snow break out in E PA. Not expecting much but we’ll see. I need 1.4” to get to 20” on the season which takes it out of the bottom of the gutter snow wise. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted Thursday at 06:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:25 PM Heaviest snow is between Harrisburg and just to my west in Allentown. Looks like visibility is getting ready to crash here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Thursday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:27 PM 48 minutes ago, RU848789 said: I'll take that bet...we have model consensus on at least 1/2" for NYC Metro with some places getting 1"+ (and those places can't be predicted well for a mesoscale event like this one). Models can be way off days in advance, but I doubt they're all wrong <8 hours from the start of an event, even a minor one. Do these models come with a margin of error? I'm serious, is it like 0.5-1 inch plus or minus 0.5 inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted Thursday at 06:28 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:28 PM 1 minute ago, Tatamy said: Heaviest snow is between Harrisburg and just to my west in Allentown. Looks like visibility is getting ready to crash here. Is this something where it could dry up as it comes east of the mountains? I've seen that scenario plenty of times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted Thursday at 06:31 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:31 PM 2 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: Is this something where it could dry up as it comes east of the mountains? I've seen that scenario plenty of times. It has to do with the placement and movement of the ULL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STORMANLI Posted Thursday at 06:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:32 PM KPHL 110pm 26/09 -SN Is this part of seeder-feeder mechanism Walt mentioned? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM Not a bad little snow squall .30" 22F 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Star Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM 3 hours ago, MJO812 said: HRRR had .5 -1 inch for the NYC area and LI. I could see maybe LI because of ocean interaction? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM Looks like it'll get up this way in the later PM hours which is good considering temps are near freezing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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