brooklynwx99 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Yes Like 10+ has already fallen by that point and it's still going to go for a while after Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Looks so good.. but so much time left 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Looks so good.. but so much time left I'm just glad it's the Euro showing a hit instead of the GFS like back in January. 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 11 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Looks so good.. but so much time left It has support 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Anyone have snow maps on 18z euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 that's a monster hit! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Big deformation zone inland to the north and west with this system. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 24 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It has support Brassiere? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Taking 2 personal days to enjoy this either huge blizzard or small fizzle flurries. Hoping we can go out with a bang. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feen Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 16 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Big deformation zone inland to the north and west with this system. does anyone have a snow map output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCG RS Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 20 minutes ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said: Anyone have snow maps on 18z euro? Only to Hr 144. Still snowing for the subforum at this point. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 It's still snowing after this 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Don’t do it folks…way too far out to be in the bullseye. 2 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, psv88 said: Don’t do it folks…way too far out to be in the bullseye. Exactly. Too early to really get excited given the chaotic pattern. The pieces are there for this to come together and produce, we’ve seen others go poof. In 48 hours we can start diving in I think. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Exactly. Too early to really get excited given the chaotic pattern. The pieces are there for this to come together and produce, we’ve seen others go poof. In 48 hours we can start diving in I think. The pattern is really good for a big storm Negative NAO Mjo 8 Negative AO 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, NEG NAO said: other METS say that is a common error the GFS makes - you don't agree ? Also what is your opinion about Upton and Mt. Holly forecasting "snow likely" for Thursday ?- so far out........ All ensembles at 5H similar t 144 hrs. That's good! I definitely like " snow likely" Thu. WPC has pretty high probs for D6 frozen here... all ensembles have snow. So there's a 30% it wont snow... do we say chance? I say not... in fact its why I'm still on the forum and doing my FB stuff. It's because we don't say enough soon enough... we see it in modeling and may say it in the AFD but the forecasts don't necessarily broadcast it cause we have a conservative approach, afraid to be wrong etc. We can do much much better telling folks 5-6 days in advance what is coming... in broad sense and these threads demo. Not always right but certainly better than a 50/50 coin toss when you use cyclic ensembles to build confidence. Modeling science is ahead of us using guidance to our preparation advantage. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenmtnwx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: The pattern is really good for a big storm Negative NAO Mjo 8 Negative AO Stop yourself buddy. You know probably 8 in 10 chance we get little to no snow. 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 48 minutes ago, Tatamy said: Big deformation zone inland to the north and west with this system. Would have loved to see the run play itself out to see if the low continued up the coastline or made a sharp turn east like at 12z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Tri state weather should be issuing the meatball warning on Facebook shortly 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tristateweatherFB Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Tri state weather should be issuing the meatball warning on Facebook shortly Haha not yet. And it’s a meatball watch first would be Monday night. Tuesday night a warning meaning eat your meatballs on Wednesday! We two for two with higher snowfall this year. We aiming for a biggy next week 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said: Tri state weather should be issuing the meatball warning on Facebook shortly I laugh at that all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, tristateweatherFB said: Haha not yet. And it’s a meatball watch first would be Monday night. Tuesday night a warning meaning eat your meatballs on Wednesday! We two for two with higher snowfall this year. We aiming for a biggy next week lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tristateweatherFB Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Franklin0529 said: I laugh at that all the time Ty. But you see we did it twice this year and worked. If it can work next week look out! Haha. I hope we all cash in 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 29 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said: Stop yourself buddy. You know probably 8 in 10 chance we get little to no snow. Troll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 42 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Troll? Weenie? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 7 minutes ago, Rjay said: Weenie? I have been right than many on this subforum this winter. Lay low. Keep ignoring facts 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: Exactly. Too early to really get excited given the chaotic pattern. The pieces are there for this to come together and produce, we’ve seen others go poof. In 48 hours we can start diving in I think. Better play it safe,,,,,,72 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: I have been right than many on this subforum this winter. Lay low. Keep ignoring facts Ignoring what? I think it's probably coming but it's 6 days out. I absolutely think you make this a better place with your optimism but you're a bit delusional too lol. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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