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Discussion-OBS snow event sometime between 06z Thu 2/20-12z Fri 2/21?


wdrag
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4 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs isn't even fully out yet and we aren't going to waste a negative ao at negative 5 and a positive PNA. Something will pop for us.

We will. You know we will. Can this finally make us stop posting 360 hour pattern depictions and saying every pattern looks like 2014 or 2015? We’re going right to spring after next week, you can tell by the lack of posts about the future pattern. If it looked somewhat good, we would have seen the usual hype already 

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When do we throw the white flag in and say that it’s not going to snow here for this one? What an incredible letdown this was, compounded by pattern regression for the rest of winter. I think yesterday was last time NYC probably sees anything measurable for rest of season 

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6 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

I've seen 70s to near 80 and snow 3-4 days later. March is a time when the temperatures often swing wildly back and forth.

WX/PT

Yeah i remember Mar 16 it was in the 80s here and then we got a 4-6" storm after that, it wasnt a few days later more like a week or two but still. March is highly volatile and averages about the same snow as December. People who say winters over mid-Feb is wild to me. 

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3 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

When do we throw the white flag in and say that it’s not going to snow here for this one? What an incredible letdown this was, compounded by pattern regression for the rest of winter. I think yesterday was last time NYC probably sees anything measurable for rest of season 

I’s say 12z today was clear.  Not one model had it for 24 hrs, many had lost it sooner.  

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5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Yeah i remember Mar 16 it was in the 80s here and then we got a 4-6" storm after that, it wasnt a few days later more like a week or two but still. March is highly volatile and averages about the same snow as December. People who say winters over mid-Feb is wild to me. 

Normally I wouldn’t say that but this winter has shown its cards. And there’s no doubting the pattern regression after this storm. Looking at the long range looks like nothing but mild temps for these parts, looks pretty inactive nationwide actually

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7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

PB still likes this event . Let's see. I agree this will come somewhat west.

EPAWA just released a video on YouTube less than an hour ago admitting it doesnt look good BUT the 2 pieces of energy are not even in the US and wont be properly sampled until tomorrow afternoon. 

 

Finally remembered how to block users.  Added Krs4Lfe, the only other member on that list is snowman19. 

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