Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,796
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    manaja
    Newest Member
    manaja
    Joined

Discussion-OBS snow event sometime between 06z Thu 2/20-12z Fri 2/21?


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

Just now, MJO812 said:

From a hecs to this. Can't make it up.

Nothing new. Same shit again and again and again. Either it amps and is mainly a rain event, or it's suppressed and south of us or out to sea. On the rare instance things work out, there is NEVER downstream blocking anymore for god knows what reason, and it becomes a 6 hour progressive event with 3 to 6 inches. Feels impossible to get a 12+ inch event here and there like the good old days. I really am at a stage of almost giving up

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, KeithB said:

Nothing new. Same shit again and again and again. Either it amps and is mainly a rain event, or it's suppressed and south of us or out to sea. On the rare instance things work out, there is NEVER downstream blocking anymore for god knows what reason, and it becomes a 6 hour progressive event with 3 to 6 inches. Feels impossible to get a 12+ inch event here and there like the good old days. I really am at a stage of almost giving up

More like 1-3 inches these days. This storm has been garbage for days now. Maybe we get an anomaly in March and pick up a 3-6 paste job or two, but for the most part, we can probably close the books on this whole winter.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I can only imagine what the weather boards would've looked like in the 70s and 80s, lol.  NYC gets a 12" snowstorm about every 4.2 years (37 in 155 years at CPK), but had 13 such storms in the last 30 years, which is one every 2.3 years, so we've been spoiled in the age of the internet.  Welcome to climo, as it's barely been 4 years since the last one in 2021.  There were 4 in the 70s/80s or 1 every 5 years, which is probably why it seemed they were so rare when I was growing up.  

  • Like 2
  • 100% 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

I can only imagine what the weather boards would've looked like in the 70s and 80s, lol.  NYC gets a 12" snowstorm about every 4.2 years (37 in 155 years at CPK), but had 13 such storms in the last 30 years, which is one every 2.3 years, so we've been spoiled in the age of the internet.  Welcome to climo, as it's barely been 4 years since the last one in 2021.  There were 4 in the 70s/80s or 1 every 5 years, which is probably why it seemed they were so rare when I was growing up.  

Rare as hens teeth hence a large pinch of salt when you see them modeled 5+ days out. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

From a hecs to this. Can't make it up.

we had about 24 hours where it looked like we had model consensus to have a major storm and that was D5 and D6. 

at no point were we in any range to say that a HECS was in play. You can start discussing that possibility 48 hours out, Not in the 4-6 day fantasy range. 

It is what it is. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

I can only imagine what the weather boards would've looked like in the 70s and 80s, lol.  NYC gets a 12" snowstorm about every 4.2 years (37 in 155 years at CPK), but had 13 such storms in the last 30 years, which is one every 2.3 years, so we've been spoiled in the age of the internet.  Welcome to climo, as it's barely been 4 years since the last one in 2021.  There were 4 in the 70s/80s or 1 every 5 years, which is probably why it seemed they were so rare when I was growing up.  

And none for 9 years between 69 and 78. I'm not even sure we had an 8" storm in that span

  • Like 1
  • 100% 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

29 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Pattern never supported a big one. The ULL is just too far east. This is what happens when you fall for pretty Storm maps instead of realizing that the base state doesn’t support one. It’s a shame, it fools even the best among us

What's the base state ?

19 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

I mean look at the strength of this block. 

image.thumb.png.4a2709f04cbdbb0c7bf3bcb8a030d00f.png

Yes but the rise has been intrigued that the models will trend west.

13 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

When it’s not your year, it’s not your year

Agree 

1 minute ago, Feen said:

Euro is honestly the worst model

It's not that good anymore but people still preach it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said:

And none for 9 years between 69 and 78. I'm not even sure we had an 8" storm in that span

A number of years back someone posted a WINS report from maybe 1975 where they were closing in on 8 inches in the city, and this was really big news....forget the met but he was one of the famous ones. I can attest that 8 inches was a big deal; in 1978 the big Feb storm was surreal; snow up to my waste, and I was already 5'10 ( I'd make it to almost 6 by senior year, and am now shrunk back to 5'9 ).

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

We are probably going to get annihilated with an epic winter next year and all this will be forgotten.

What gives me solace is my friends and family are all just thrilled with the lack of snow.No one likes it, not even my kids who are 22 and 27 now. All are happy if it never snows again. Even the dogs hate it, expecting me to shovel them a path to do their business....

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...