nycsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: would really like to know which gathered data that was put into the latest model runs caused these drastic shifts to the east H5n1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Desperate times call for desperate measures. I'll call up my addict friends and tell them I'm sailing for a deep drop trip to the Hudson Canyon on Wednesday and Thursday for tilefish. Guarantee we get a tucked 965mb low inside the benchmark if i make these plans. I'll put 700 gallons of diesel in the boat first thing tomorrow morning. You can all thank me later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, nycsnow said: H5n1 Hahahah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Makes me question this trend. Models don’t jump hundreds of miles in a couple hours. Not saying it’s wrong just odd and hopefully them overreacting going from one extreme to other apparently they are all gathering the similar data the last run or 2 that is changing the models forecast output - but they are programmed differently which causes different solutions sometimes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Makes me question this trend. Models don’t jump hundreds of miles in a couple hours. Not saying it’s wrong just odd and hopefully them overreacting going from one extreme to other This is what I was questioning earlier. Im not sure i understand the sudden consensus. They are all either very right, or very wrong. But it's clearly the same data. I dont have access to the maps right now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
allgame830 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: would really like to know which gathered data that was put into the latest model runs caused these drastic shifts to the east Exactly what I’m thinking. Models shifting hundreds of miles is not a trend or an end all to this threat. I’d expect some positive changes over the next 24 hours. Most likely once the current storm is done with. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, allgame830 said: Exactly what I’m thinking. Models shifting hundreds of miles is not a trend or an end all to this threat. I’d expect some positive changes over the next 24 hours. Most likely once the current storm is done with. Ill put 700 gallons of diesel in the boat anyway, just for good measure. Fyi: I take PayPal, venmo, and personal checks. Diesel isn't cheap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro running Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, allgame830 said: Exactly what I’m thinking. Models shifting hundreds of miles is not a trend or an end all to this threat. I’d expect some positive changes over the next 24 hours. Most likely once the current storm is done with. the current dynamics of this current weekend storm being so strong could be be affecting the data that is being gathered and injected into the models - once the playing field is cleared ( storm exits)so to say the models will have updated data and no interference from this system IMO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro should come north a bit confluence not as strong over the east 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 10 minutes ago, nycsnow said: Euro running important to watch the locations and strength of the HP's to the north and west and also exactly where the 50/50 low sets up and its strength at hour 48 that LP exiting to the north and east is at 965 quite strong 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Rockies ridge a tad stronger and confluence not as strong over the east coast 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro brings warning criteria snows to the southern half of the subforum 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Rjay said: Euro brings warning criteria snows to the southern half of the subforum The kicker was quicker but the confluence was weaker which allowed the southern stream to do a lot of the heavy lifting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Overplayed yet necessary: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Slow the kicker down and you are back to a huge hit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Allsnow said: Slow the kicker down and you are back to a huge hit pretty notable improvement. this is teetering on a knife’s edge 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Allsnow said: Slow the kicker down and you are back to a huge hit Figured models might have been over correcting during day. Huge positive run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Beautiful we needed this to trend back lol Image 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 LP is stronger coming up the coast as compared to 24 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: pretty notable improvement. this is teetering on a knife’s edge You can tell early on that this run would be better with how weaker the confluence was north of Maine. now we need the eps to hold serve or improve 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 So close to being big Image 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 It’s a huge improvement but for this to mean anything we need some eps support 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: It’s a huge improvement but for this to mean anything we need some eps support Your our pbp man when you get please share Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dseagull Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, nycsnow said: So close to being big Image Its coming buddy... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said: Your our pbp man when you get please share @brooklynwx99 hopefully he stays up for the eps 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, nycsnow said: So close to being big Image only 50 -75 mile adjustment to the west makes a big difference in the immediate metro - must be the confluence that turns this east all of a sudden when it reaches the Delmarva region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Allsnow said: @brooklynwx99 hopefully he stays up for the eps What time do eps come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, nycsnow said: What time do eps come Coming out now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now