LibertyBell Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, North and West said: Always fascinating how one storm means nothing to some memories here and everything to others, even while all in the same metro. . oh it was a great storm, just not a blizzard here. Anything that drops 10 inches or more is a KU event 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Tatamy said: This is one of these be careful for what you wish for types of storms. As shown on the 0z run of the Euro the storm is very intense and would cause major disruption across the area. Strong winds, high tides with coastal flooding and erosion, heavy snows with travel impacts, and a sting jet on the backside would all combine to cause major problems across the area. The 06z run tracked the center further east away from the coast. The best combo would be if it stalled and looped around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, LibertyBell said: The best combo would be if it stalled and looped around. I hope you don’t own ocean front or bay front property. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, Tatamy said: I hope you don’t own ocean front or bay front property. No 2 miles in. Winter storms don't do a lot of damage to our beaches unless one lives on a barrier island and I don't remember any snowstorm especially damaging ocean front or beach front property, it's usually the big rainstorms that do it like December 1992. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Nice cluster; hopefully the Euro keeps the consistency. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: No 2 miles in. Winter storms don't do a lot of damage to our beaches unless one lives on a barrier island and I don't remember any snowstorm especially damaging ocean front or beach front property, it's usually the big rainstorms that do it like December 1992. Was actually better than 0z def trended better 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: The 2/15 6z GFS has taken a minor step toward the snowier guidance. Whether this is the start of a model adjustment or just run-to-run discontinuity remains to be seen. 24-Hour Snowfall Forecasts: 2/15 0z GFS: 2/15 6z GFS: Don, I do appreciate how diplomatic you are in your posts. “Model adjustment”… Here’s hoping the Euro is right…long way to go. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: Yes, it was a mini January 2016. 15 inches in 12 hours instead of 30 inches in 24 hours lol... 6 hours of true blizzard conditions vs 12 hours of true blizzard conditions. It happened during the day and you could not see anything outside for hours it was a true white out! Everyone seems to forget February 1-2 2021. We had 27.5 inches where I am in Orange County NY, and Central Park had 17.4 inches. I realize it's 4 years ago but not quite as long as people are making it out to be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYER72 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 hoping for a positive outcome snow wise, but we've seen this move many times haven't we? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, NYER72 said: hoping for a positive outcome snow wise, but we've seen this move many times haven't we? No we haven't 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No we haven't I think that right now we're still trying to see if we'll like the movie based on the trailers, looking forward to opening night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 fwiw:06ZEC AI west and has us in. Depends on how much this upper low closes into NYS whether its more amped like CMC /EC or weaker faster GFS/GEFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 33 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Everyone seems to forget February 1-2 2021. We had 27.5 inches where I am in Orange County NY, and Central Park had 17.4 inches. I realize it's 4 years ago but not quite as long as people are making it out to be. It was a great winter, but the pandemic still overshadowed it. I was still in isolation. Had to walk in the park and the snowpack was deep, let me tell ya. We did have mixing in NJ and that made things worse. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GiantBlizzard2003 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Can't we all just get along....Last big storm it was gfs showing a hit and Euro with the whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 46 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Everyone seems to forget February 1-2 2021. We had 27.5 inches where I am in Orange County NY, and Central Park had 17.4 inches. I realize it's 4 years ago but not quite as long as people are making it out to be. I loved both the December and February snowstorms that winter, that was another snowy la nina after el nino. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 9 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: It was a great winter, but the pandemic still overshadowed it. I was still in isolation. Had to walk in the park and the snowpack was deep, let me tell ya. We did have mixing in NJ and that made things worse. Yes that was a mixing storm here too and the snowfall rates weren't as high as the other two I mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 41 minutes ago, MJO812 said: No we haven't Honestly tho it’s not even a sure thing even as the storm is upon us…Jan 2015 still gives me nightmares! That being said this has some tremendous potential and will admit I’m excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TJW014 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 54 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Everyone seems to forget February 1-2 2021. We had 27.5 inches where I am in Orange County NY, and Central Park had 17.4 inches. I realize it's 4 years ago but not quite as long as people are making it out to be. We had 2" then rain with that one here lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said: Honestly tho it’s not even a sure thing even as the storm is upon us…Jan 2015 still gives me nightmares! That being said this has some tremendous potential and will admit I’m excited. January 2015 was still 10 inches so plenty of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILoveWinter Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: January 2015 was still 10 inches so plenty of snow. 5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: January 2015 was still 10 inches so plenty of snow. Yea mostly earlier in the day, still was well below expectations 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 hours ago, Yanksfan said: A blizzard is great I guess with all the high winds and drifting, but not great for snow growth. The high winds breaks down the dendrites. You want calmer winds for maximum snow accumulation potential. True that. We're on a hill a little over a mile from the sound and the wind howls and seldom get as much snow as a few miles south of here in a true blizzard. We're 10 miles from ISP and in several of the major blizzards over the past 20 years have seen on the order of 16" while ISP is closer to 2 feet, yet the snow seems to disappear faster there. The biggest example was also the windiest; December 2010 when we barely reached 12" of dense powder. When winds are light any snowfall differences are explained only by banding or mixing issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said: True that. We're on a hill not far from the sound and seldom get denser snow than a few miles south of here. We're 10 miles from ISP and in several of the major blizzards over the past 20 years have seen on the order of 16" while ISP is closer to 2 feet, yet the snow seems to disappear faster there. The biggest example was also the windiest; December 2010 when we barely reached 12" of dense powder. When winds are light any snowfall differences are explained only by banding or mixing issues. But then you can also have a super windy blizzard like January 2016 with 12 straight hours of true blizzard conditions that drops over 30 inches at JFK. Maybe February 1978 is an example of wind reducing total snowfall though as JFK only received 14 inches in that storm, less than half of what they got in January 2016. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Icon should be better Image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Icon went boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 BOOM Image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 My god Image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Monmouth_County_Jacpot Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 BOOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The snow map is insane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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