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Discussion-OBS snow event sometime between 06z Thu 2/20-12z Fri 2/21?


wdrag
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3 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Actually if this is going to miss us, lets miss everybody on the east coast. I don't know why but for some reason it will make me feel better. The old saying misery loves company.

Well it has to hit someone. It's going to crush Missouri and Kansas 

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14 minutes ago, jdj5211 said:


You’re grasping at straws and hope….it’s done! You can save this post and tell me I’m wrong or right on FEB 19 if you want to


.

 Cool. Come back in the spring. No need to repeat yourself. 

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5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Well it has to hit someone. It's going to crush the Midwest 

still not certain what is causing it to make the turn from the Gulf up to Hatteras then fade out to sea - maybe once the system comes on shore out west in a couple model cycles MAYBE new data will begin to change that back to closer to the coast at this LAT...

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32 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Every model had a big snowstorm two days ago and the media jumped on it. Now everything is missing. Can't make this up.

It's absurd. I jokingly said people here would be tearing their shirts and gnashing their teeth on Monday, and it didn't even take that long. I just can't take these models very seriously more than two days out. And yet, when you want a Sandy or Ida to miss or weaken, it never does.....people will panic over a snowstorm that probably won't happen, but I remember when Sandy was locked in and people were saying, nah, it'll miss us, oh it's just some rain, I was like people, this is going to be a far worse ass kicking than any blizzard....I worked in a school, we were closed for a week. Then it snowed. Of course.

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Just now, weatherpruf said:

It's absurd. I jokingly said people here would be tearing their shirts and gnashing their teeth on Monday, and it didn't even take that long. I just can't take these models very seriously more than two days out. And yet, when you want a Sandy or Ida to miss or weaken, it never does.....people will panic over a snowstorm that probably won't happen, but I remember when Sandy was locked in and people were saying, nah, it'll miss us, oh it's just some rain, I was like people, this is going to be a far worse ass kicking than any blizzard....I worked in a school, we were closed for a week. Then it snowed. Of course.

that snow was very memorable too, my favorite early season snowstorm

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Just now, cleetussnow said:

Go to the mid atlantic thread.  Good info and the group is really excited as they should be.  

This is worse than 2010...at least we had some good events that winter, and weren't just shut out time after time. And yeah, I don't consider these piddly events worth much. Good for mood, yesterday was nice to walk in, but today, blecch..

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GFS is close enough to give significant snow to southern NJ and we have almost 4 days to go, yet people think it's over. Too funny. Yeah this could miss, but we're still in the game. 

Snow ratios for this event are going to be higher too. Even if we just get brushed with a little precip we can get a few inches. Powder as Walt called it. We have a long way to go here to figure out how much. 

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Just now, Big Jims Videos said:

Social media jumped on it.  The click baters.  

The scary thing is this is where most people get their news info these days. A lie can be halfway round the world before the truth gets its pants on.....otherwise normal people I talk to come out with the most absurd stuff. I didn't even go to the supermarket today. I know already what it will look like. Plus if I hear one more idiot griping about the price of eggs I'm going start throwing them at people. 

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Not sure why this is a surprise to anyone, the northern stream is too fast and that prevents a phase with the storm coming into lower Midwest. It's been the story for most of this winter, similar to the 2 storms in January. Unless the shortwave becomes stronger and the confluence backs off and allows for a phase, this storm is a southern slider *at best.*

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