weatherpruf Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 16 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Yeah the 18Z ICON was like a Nemo redux, saved by a late capture but realistically that is a worse trend from the prior run Nemo was a dud for CNJ. 6 inches if you measured real carefully. But we lost hours to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Nemo was a dud for CNJ. 6 inches if you measured real carefully. But we lost hours to rain. He was talking about h5 comparison not the actual outcome in your backyard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 GFS doing things different this time around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Image 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Image 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 If it's this amped it would flip for a time but everyone still gets slammed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Well eh Image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Nibor said: GFS doing things different this time around. Better LP pressure at 108 just not reflected on the precip shield. Track more important so let’s see where it goes from here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Looks great for cape cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 11 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: Nemo was a dud for CNJ. 6 inches if you measured real carefully. But we lost hours to rain. But this time there would be zero rain or mix, it would just be too cold, much colder than it was during *Nemo* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Yea that’s pretty gross Image 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 What did the people in SE Delaware do to deserve this Winter? Unheard of for them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, BoulderWX said: Better LP pressure at 108 just not reflected on the precip shield. Track more important so let’s see where it goes from here It was a better run. I agree with you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The GFS improved a ton, the Ukie improved a ton. The last euro run was great... 1 random run of the euro had a step back, 5 days out. The Euro reaction right now is exactly what I told my friend would happen in this thread at some point, whether we get the storm or not in the end. Such a fun social pattern to observe year after year. .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, nycsnow said: Yea that’s pretty gross Image We're near the edge of the significant snow on this run. Just one solution and we will see many different ones over the next couple days. I don't think we'll have a good idea until Monday or Tuesday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 31 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Uh ? All of them hit us. What are you talking about ? Sometimes you just have to sniff out the trends of the day, and I'm not loving today. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, CPcantmeasuresnow said: Sometimes you just have to sniff out the trends of the day, and I'm not loving today. Okay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 The low pressure was further east this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: It was a better run. I agree with you. It didn’t go great from 114 but it’s within. The envelope of solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, EastonSN+ said: The low pressure was further east this run. Lots of bad trends on that run at h5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Allsnow said: Lots of bad trends on that run at h5 Yeah bad afternoon for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, EastonSN+ said: Yeah bad afternoon for sure. If it’s gonna miss let’s get it over with tomorrow instead of dragging it out lol. But again we still have almost 5 full days can trend either way 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: Oooph. Looks different on pivotal. Not a great look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, nycsnow said: If it’s gonna miss let’s get it over with tomorrow instead of dragging it out lol. But again we still have almost 5 full days can trend either way Nothing was reduced today in fact Upton in their afternoon AFD just said the chances of a MECS has increased by way of snow showers and lowering the chances overall to 60 % down form yesterdays 70 % chance of snow - got to cover yourself both ways... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Clear trends toward a scraper today. Don’t see anything which will stop the trend. Fast flow, kicker, ridge not ideal. Enjoy todays snow… 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Clear trends toward a scraper today. Don’t see anything which will stop the trend. Fast flow, kicker, ridge not ideal. Enjoy todays snow… We got wet roads here lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, nycsnow said: If it’s gonna miss let’s get it over with tomorrow instead of dragging it out lol. But again we still have almost 5 full days can trend either way The issue for me is not that we don't have enough time to trend back, as it is still very close, it's more the fast flow that has not relented all year and we are finally seeing the effects. If this was 2011 I wouldn't worry at all. Basically the SE ridge that is unbeatable and pumped up this storm suddenly becomes weak. Brooklyn WX was likely correct in saying it's not the SE ridge flexing it's nothing more than an amplifying system pumping up heights not a super ridge that apparently is doing nothing now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, psv88 said: Clear trends toward a scraper today. Don’t see anything which will stop the trend. Fast flow, kicker, ridge not ideal. Enjoy todays snow… Pattern never supported an i95 KU just delusional posting by the same people. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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