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PD Holiday Weekend Mess DISCO


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8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:
Temperatures at the surface along the coastal plain will quickly
warm above freezing around sunrise tomorrow morning, allowing sleet
to change over to rain with minimal freezing rain concerns. Further
west across the interior, especially in low spots across the high
terrain, cold air will struggle to scour out. This will lead to
possibly several hours of freezing rain, where ice accumulation of
trace to .35 inches is possible.  Any freezing rain combined with
the previously fallen heavy wet snow will lead to snow/ice load
issues on trees and power lines. Isolated power outages are likely
by Sunday afternoon and could become more widespread as strong winds
enter the region with an approaching cold front.

:damage:

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2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

The dryslot should fill in as it moves east. Parts of CT might deal with it for a time but all the guidance has precip filling in pretty quickly. 

By the time the dry slot really begins filling in that warmth aloft may already be racing in. Mesoanalysis doesn't look too encouraging for a rapid fill in of the dry slot though ulvl divergence seems to be increasing a bit. That is also a tremendous amount of convection in the Tennessee Valley, that has to be having some negative impact for us now. By the time we really get into favorable dynamics for us, it will be crush city for NNE. 

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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

By the time the dry slot really begins filling in that warmth aloft may already be racing in. Mesoanalysis doesn't look too encouraging for a rapid fill in of the dry slot though ulvl divergence seems to be increasing a bit. That is also a tremendous amount of convection in the Tennessee Valley, that has to be having some negative impact for us now. By the time we really get into favorable dynamics for us, it will be crush city for NNE. 

That's a lot of flash flood warnings

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9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

By the time the dry slot really begins filling in that warmth aloft may already be racing in. Mesoanalysis doesn't look too encouraging for a rapid fill in of the dry slot though ulvl divergence seems to be increasing a bit. That is also a tremendous amount of convection in the Tennessee Valley, that has to be having some negative impact for us now. By the time we really get into favorable dynamics for us, it will be crush city for NNE. 

The heavier precip is moving ESE towards us  looks like we are fine til later tonight.. 

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