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PD Holiday Weekend Mess DISCO


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8 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

At 7 feet of depth, does the mountain add another 8-12” to this by Monday?  Regardless of totals, a solid 1” QPF shot of snow/sleet to the snowpack will compact things a bit.

My thinking is 6-10” total SN and IP.  1.00-1.25” QPF.

IMG_0037.jpeg.7eb1c1cbafd2c5284287b55f7de593de.jpeg

Are you trolling?   

 

j/k

 

:P

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4 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Definitely is. We will feel terrible when it’s ice ribbons on Christmas next year. 

Sounds like this season.  Rainy Christmas week.

The 00z HRRR was interesting at 10:1.  Have to think some of this is sleet coded as snow.

IMG_2804.thumb.png.a9ebfae8bf1d7bd9601c89dc50c715b1.png

The alternative is this on the 3km NAM.

IMG_2805.thumb.png.6a55be0a8383ed1d3c0b6782b1bf7630.png

 

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:whistle:

One change from 24 hours ago is a delay in the
changeover, especially for areas further north as the warmer air
gets hung up a bit. This has allowed for slightly increased snow
totals over northern MA before the change; still thinking 4 to 6
inches is most likely with isolated amounts up to 7 inches. While
most locations will only be dealing with rain during the day on
Sunday, the exception will be the high terrain of the Worcester
Hills and Berkshires. Given a secondary low forming directly
overhead and directing colder NE flow into the region, there is some
question as to how quickly that subfreezing air gets scoured out for
northern MA in general, as models tend to be too fast.
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3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

:whistle:

One change from 24 hours ago is a delay in the
changeover, especially for areas further north as the warmer air
gets hung up a bit. This has allowed for slightly increased snow
totals over northern MA before the change; still thinking 4 to 6
inches is most likely with isolated amounts up to 7 inches. While
most locations will only be dealing with rain during the day on
Sunday, the exception will be the high terrain of the Worcester
Hills and Berkshires. Given a secondary low forming directly
overhead and directing colder NE flow into the region, there is some
question as to how quickly that subfreezing air gets scoured out for
northern MA in general, as models tend to be too fast.

There was no reason to start gung-ho and adjust downward. Drunk Nws had it right

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37 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

There was no reason to start gung-ho and adjust downward. Drunk Nws had it right

they had up to a tenth of a inch of zr here..  so how did they get it right? did it happen yet? no   but looks like we could get it good here 

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1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

they had up to a tenth of a inch of zr here..  so how did they get it right? did it happen yet? no   but looks like we could get it good here 

Right for in-house verification Windshield wiper forecasts statistically look bad/uneven at verification level =)

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