Ginx snewx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, UnitedWx said: Mmmmm yeah never been a fan of the NAM. I rarely look at it anymore How about the UK? Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 I'll take the front end. Better than the rear end....OOOhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 30 minutes ago, dryslot said: Watches have beenCh hoisted. Choose your poison. WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations greater than 6 inches, sleet accumulations greater than three quarters of an inch, and limited ice accumulations up to one quarter inch possible 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 3 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: This is turning into a repeat of Wednesday/Thursday for CT for the south coast FYP much colder inland CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, CoastalWx said: I'll take the front end. Better than the rear end....OOOhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!! Gonna be a glacier post storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 NAM is rain into SNH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'll take the front end. Better than the rear end....OOOhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: This is turning into a repeat of Wednesday/Thursday for CT What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: This is turning into a repeat of Wednesday/Thursday for CT Let's just wait till it starts before we start making final calls of what is going to be or how it's going to turn out. The general theme of what's going to happen is we're going to get snow, probably 2 to 4 in before it changes over to sleet, then to ice and rain. Coastline will definitely be rain, and that line may come all the way up to the middle part of the state. State it's more the hills that will definitely stay freezing rain and maybe as you get into sections of Hartford county Tolland and Windham county as well. It was always going to be a slopstorm in Connecticut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 jesus Looking at the NAM cinema you can clearly tell this is coming down to the speed of the troposphere hugely outpacing the frictional drag/cold damming in that fight. By the time the cold would ever work out our area, this things wrapped up already in the Maritimes it's moving so fast. Probably not easy to visualize but relative to just these NAM runs, if the total troposphere were slower, we probably would have just had an easier Lakes cutter with less desire to start a thread - ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 perfect example of why you never use best guess precip type.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: NAM is rain into SNH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Let's dump then ice to slot then unleash the Arctic hounds That's probably going be about what this does. Amts of whatever and who gets what, notwithstanding... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: FYP much colder inland CT LMAO very true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 11 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: This is turning into a repeat of Wednesday/Thursday for CT That bad? I mean I barely had 1” with that. This has way more juice on front end, comparing the two. This looks like 2-4” and I’m leaning more like 3” with sleet/ice on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 8 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: mid 60's on the delmarva while we p type our way to whatever we get... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 14 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: NAM is rain into SNH It's still frozen for most of the precipitation in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: That's probably going be about what this does. Amts of whatever and who gets what, notwithstanding... After yesterday, the snow banks in Greenfield are already granite. Throw down another 4-6" of frozen cement and by Monday street parking will be non-existent downtown. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: How about the UK? Euro? It's a shame what's happened to the Euro, but I still look at it because it seems to get a clue once we're a day or two out. The UK is... interesting at times. Sometimes it's comic relief and others it's a decent piece of guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: After yesterday, the snow banks in Greenfield are already granite. Throw down another 4-6" of frozen cement and by Monday street parking will be non-existent downtown. I could walk on top of the snow at home this morning. It is a brick right now, about 6 inches OTG in Westfield. Not going anywhere easily 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: After yesterday, the snow banks in Greenfield are already granite. Throw down another 4-6" of frozen cement and by Monday street parking will be non-existent downtown. Stret, drive, and porch at Pit2 are a frozen disaster. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 11 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: That bad? I mean I barely had 1” with that. This has way more juice on front end, comparing the two. This looks like 2-4” and I’m leaning more like 3” with sleet/ice on top. Thump turning later and lighter especially for SW half of state, and mid level warming still on track for 9-11pm.. Further NE you go the better which is typical , just more so in this case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, UnitedWx said: I could walk on top of the snow at home this morning. It is a brick right now, about 6 inches OTG in Westfield. Not going anywhere easily and the cold leading up to whatever Thursday brings is going to really solidify it nicely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 hour ago, dendrite said: SOP may spike up above freezing Sun night when the CAA picks up. But yeah, MA GC may hold onto it and it may be cold enough Monday that the ice hangs on despite insolation. I remember the Feb 28, 1995 ice storm stayed on the trees for like 4 days afterward and that was the first few days of March. It did stay below freezing though but there was some sun too…luckily not much wind behind that one. I think the icing will be significantly less in this one versus 1995 though…this is going to be a lot of snow/sleet and then prob intermittent showery ZR and if the mesolow isn’t well-defined (ala NAM solutions), it will just morph into an in-situ icing event where it creeps to 32.1F after maybe a quarter inch of ice (if that). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, moneypitmike said: Stret, drive, and porch at Pit2 are a frozen disaster. My buddy didn't plow his route in Simsbury yesterday because he's always worried about people bitching it wasn't enough to plow... now they're bitching because they have frozen slush glaciers in the driveways. I told him he should have done the route... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I remember the Feb 28, 1995 ice storm stayed on the trees for like 4 days afterward and that was the first few days of March. It did stay below freezing though but there was some sun too…luckily not much wind behind that one. I think the icing will be significantly less in this one versus 1995 though…this is going to be a lot of snow/sleet and then prob intermittent showery ZR and if the mesolow isn’t well-defined (ala NAM solutions), it will just morph into an in-situ icing event where it creeps to 32.1F after maybe a quarter inch of ice (if that). Even where I was the ice stayed on for a few days. That was a fun event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Just saw the A1 had the transfer just south of LI and earlier . Kept most places below freezing with more snow/ice Probably not correct but interesting to note Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just saw the A1 had the transfer just south of LI and earlier . Kept most places below freezing with more snow/ice Probably not correct but interesting to note Ya still a lot of model differences, 3km keeps the cold tuck over CT, 12KM NAM torches us Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just saw the A1 had the transfer just south of LI and earlier . Kept most places below freezing with more snow/ice Probably not correct but interesting to note Yes the 06z skynet was really cold. You’d never crack freezing if it verified. Not sure I buy a solution that cold but we’ll see what the real models do in a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Just saw the A1 had the transfer just south of LI and earlier . Kept most places below freezing with more snow/ice Probably not correct but interesting to note I hope you get the ice you want but this seems likely to be a longer period of snow and sleet and then light freezing drizzle. At least up this way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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