dryslot Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 dryslot from hell too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 NAM scalps then shuts off quickly after 15z in SNE before a little more afternoon rain outside the favored spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 I'll take better confluence and a stronger primary for a good thump then. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: dryslot from hell too. Probably would happen with a stronger primary and the mid levels ripping west. Im most interested in a decent front end and this run looked a little better for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Fish is all in. Dr. Heatmiser https://x.com/ericfisher/status/1890140134382752059?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 JMA drops 2" of qpf on SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 I'm guessing it would be more exciting to be in Westborough than Maine for this. Alas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Should be a full on, high impact, kitchen sink storm in Greenfield. It’s the weekend, bring it. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 21 minutes ago, wx2fish said: Probably would happen with a stronger primary and the mid levels ripping west. Im most interested in a decent front end and this run looked a little better for that It’s a thump sleet zr sleet here on that run, It’s usefulness is still outside the window, But looks like a step back with getting the secondary and primary further south at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 ICON would be a disaster for some 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Lol at the CF on the ICON.....I put the mouse over about Tip's location near 495 there....12F while its above freezing just E of 128 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 25 minutes ago, JC-CT said: JMA drops 2" of qpf on SNE ICON over 2 in many spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Surface temps are no issue up here, H7-H8 another story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Pretty good front enders on the JV models too....generally 4-6" for the pike region which is matching the Euro and EPS. It actually snows for quite some time....just not all that heavily. About 10-12 hours of WAA snows. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Icon is a huge dump for the Greens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Wouldn’t hate it verbatim, But it’s the ICON 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Lol at the CF on the ICON.....I put the mouse over about Tip's location near 495 there....12F while its above freezing just E of 128 Not sure how good the thermals are on that model, but from what i can see we barely get above freezing, if at all down here. Does the cold air drain down here depending on the system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Hammer is all in. Excitement is escalating 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Reggie warmer, primary gets further north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 10 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Not sure how good the thermals are on that model, but from what i can see we barely get above freezing, if at all down here. Does the cold air drain down here depending on the system? Don’t get I-Conned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 7 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Not sure how good the thermals are on that model, but from what i can see we barely get above freezing, if at all down here. Does the cold air drain down here depending on the system? For the real cold stuff to drain down, you'd want a much stronger mesolow earlier....I don't that that's going to happen, but even as is, the NAM doesn't get you above 35F until briefly spiking 40F during FROPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Don’t get I-Conned. ha, never....I did go back and take a look at what it did with this current system and honestly it did pretty well 42 hrs out, temp wise at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Don’t get I-Conned. 3 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: ha, never....I did go back and take a look at what it did with this current system and honestly it did pretty well 42 hrs out, temp wise at least. It tends to sniff out the cad well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 GFS looking pretty zonked through 54h. Decided not to follow the 12z Euro trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, ORH_wxman said: GFS looking pretty zonked through 54h. Decided not to follow the 12z Euro trend. So was 12z and still cold . Watch that high to the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Yeah gfs pretty much kills significant ice chances below the MA/CT border 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: For the real cold stuff to drain down, you'd want a much stronger mesolow earlier....I don't that that's going to happen, but even as is, the NAM doesn't get you above 35F until briefly spiking 40F during FROPA. wow, yeah I just saw that....still plenty of time I guess to iron out those couple of degrees....would be nice to keep the 'pack', perfect world would be to pick up 3-5 inches, ice it before any warmup and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Kind of illustrates how tough it is to get an ice storm in New England. Up north you’ll get snow to sleet but in most of sne snow to sleet to insignificant ice to rain or drizzle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Thump is decent NOP on the GFS but post-thump is mostly showery slotted garbage. Primary into Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 The Mesos like Nams are going to handle this cold much better than the coarse grained GFS. Buyer beware Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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