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  On 2/16/2025 at 12:29 AM, tavwtby said:

ripping...vis under 1/4mi ..see the line progressing NE on CC in North NJ... just over 2 eyeballing, but it's the the pile up growth right now, need to keep it for a couple more hours

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Yeah...nice echoes and backfilling...Danbury to the CT MA border, heading east.  

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  On 2/16/2025 at 12:56 AM, MRVexpat said:

Bush cams showing almost 4" already. This is what's needed for Josh Fox's 15-30" range to verify :rolleyes:

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Ha, yeah I saw a couple 15-30” forecasts from Josh at MRG and TK for Jay.  I’m not sure how one looks at this storm’s guidance and calls for 15-30”… unless it’s just a blanket “it always snows big in the mountains” forecast.

Now, 15” over multiple measurement periods isn’t hard to envision… I like a dense 8-12” but if less sleet and this front end performs, along with the backside upslope, I could see a 12-18” outcome for the ski areas over 36 hours with this front end burst.

The mentions of 30” as an upper bound is wild though.

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  On 2/16/2025 at 1:05 AM, powderfreak said:

Ha, yeah I saw a couple 15-30” forecasts from Josh at MRG and TK for Jay.  I’m not sure how one looks at this storm’s guidance and calls for 15-30”… unless it’s just a blanket “it always snows big in the mountains” forecast.

Now, 15” over multiple measurement periods isn’t hard to envision… I like a dense 8-12” but if less sleet and this front end performs, along with the backside upslope, I could see a 12-18” outcome for the ski areas over 36 hours with this front end burst.

The mentions of 30” as an upper bound is wild though.

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Yeah. Josh seems to be hitting backside snows hard. But yeah would need 12"+ to get anywhere near 30" lol. Western wind direction also not as ideal for down in the MRV. Need more NW so I'm a bit perplexed.

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