JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Shit even Groton was cold on HRRR Spikes to mid 50s, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 45 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Mahk gone wild GYX gone wild I mean its not like I know how to look at a model or analyze data. For God sakes I’m not Kevin. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, JC-CT said: Spikes to mid 50s, no? Eventually, but holds on longer compared to prior runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s already a glacier. Add 3-6” with sleet on top, a little ZR, some cold rain and a quick refreeze…piles could become pretty impressive despite the fact we haven’t had an event over 6” all season. True. I was referring to here at Pit2. Our pack here is well in the teens, so whatever comes in tonight/tomorrow will just make it that much more durable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: People losing their mind over a little ZR. This is not an epic ice storm. We get these types of events often. As mentioned by someone earlier, maybe it’s a little higher end for the high terrain of NW CT into W MA. It’s not the amount. It’s the 60-70 mph winds Monday with the weight of snow/ ice on trees. It’s always been about that. That’s why all the focus. It’s real and it may be spectacular. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Kitz Craver said: Eventually, but holds on longer compared to prior runs Regardless, when the second line comes through, I'll be more likely to see thunder than fzrn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: It’s not the amount. It’s the 60-70 mph winds Monday with the weight of snow/ ice on trees. It’s always been about that. That’s why all the focus. It’s real and it may spectacular. You will probably have little to nothing in the trees by Monday. 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, dendrite said: People losing their mind over a little ZR. This is not an epic ice storm. We get these types of events often. As mentioned by someone earlier, maybe it’s a little higher end for the high terrain of NW CT into W MA. For me it’s not about ice at all, it’s about not wiping my pack out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: They aren’t going to be rain at 12z even if it was 32. It’s like -6 at 925 and -4 at 850 Yea we’ll see. The antecedent is seasonal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Kitz Craver said: For me it’s not about ice at all, it’s about not wiping my pack out Where do you live again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, CoastalWx said: Where do you live again? Meriden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, dendrite said: You will probably have little to nothing in the trees by Monday. I’ll go ahead and disagree . I heard that same exact statement from a few posters here 2 years ago . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: GYX gone wild I mean its not like I know how to look at a model or analyze data. For God sakes I’m not Kevin. You have like 12-18 otg and about to get at least 6 more. Yet you’re neurotic about whether the ratios mean 9” or 6”. Sit back and relax. I wish I had your problem. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said: Meriden You’ll be good I think. Valley will help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: You’ll be good I think. Valley will help. Let’s hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Love how my car decided to break yesterday! No one can look at it till Monday. Modern car hits 100k and shit just decides to break! Google was useless, could be a dozen things. Fuel pump recall I missed the snail mail is my hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It’s not the amount. It’s the 60-70 mph winds Monday with the weight of snow/ ice on trees. It’s always been about that. That’s why all the focus. It’s real and it may be spectacular. Yup usually don't get that afterwards and think there's little melting here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll go ahead and disagree . I heard that same exact statement from a few posters here 2 years ago . The snow won’t be paste. The sleet will reach the ground. You’ll get some zr and get a little saggy through Sun morning, but whether you warm sector briefly or just mix out late afternoon the temp is going to spike and that glaze will soften up and fall to the ground with breezy conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, dendrite said: The snow won’t be paste. The sleet will reach the ground. You’ll get some zr and get a little saggy through Sun morning, but whether you warm sector briefly or just mix out late afternoon the temp is going to spike and that glaze will soften up and fall to the ground with breezy conditions. I can also envision a scenario where it stays right in 32-32.8 range and then crashes . That’s what happened two years ago and when the winds hit the following morning all hell broke loose. Maybe you’re right maybe not. We don’t know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Yup usually don't get that afterwards and think there's little melting here.. You saw the pics and video I posted the other day. You may well see that type of thing there 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 23 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: SW Mass hills into Granby Hills in CT consistently showing up as ground zero for ice.. I think they have the best shot at .5 - .75" accretion That would be the mass Tolland. Winter wonderland there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Nam a little colder too. Sleet for awhile here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: I can also envision a scenario where it stays right in 32-32.8 range and then crashes . That’s what happened two years ago and when the winds hit the following morning all hell broke loose. Maybe you’re right maybe not. We don’t know I’m pulling for you. I’m not trying to steal the ice from your oaks. I hope you get an inch of ice and branches rain onto your roof amidst 70mph gusts Monday. <3 LC 1 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, dendrite said: I’m pulling for you. I’m not trying to steal the ice from your oaks. I hope you get an inch of ice and branches rain onto your roof amidst 70mph gusts Monday. <3 LC lol. Well that ain’t happening unfortunately. Maybe your forecast of 50 here happens. I’ll be nervously watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: lol. Well that ain’t happening unfortunately. Maybe your forecast of 50 here happens. I’ll be nervously watching I’ll take the under on 50. Maybe a brief 40-45 at most as it mixes and starts drying out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3k is a pretty good snow thump for MA right over to Scoot. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: You have like 12-18 otg and about to get at least 6 more. Yet you’re neurotic about whether the ratios mean 9” or 6”. Sit back and relax. I wish I had your problem. 10-16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 It would be funny if BOS pulls a 6” from this mess. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 27 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: when did everyone get a pile fetish? Feels like I heard it a lot lately lol. Just give me the snow cover. Piles are very 2020s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Final call/update. Shaved off an inch from the original call which i dont think was posted. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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