ineedsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Doubtful on big ZR and big damage. Not enough QPF falls as ZR You don't think the big winds will be a issue with zr and limited melting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Doubtful on big ZR and big damage. Not enough QPF falls as ZR SW Mass hills into Granby Hills in CT consistently showing up as ground zero for ice.. I think they have the best shot at .5 - .75" accretion 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 It’s been a gonewild season for ineedsnow. More often naked than clothed. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: 6z 51 in Norwich. 12z 37. At 4pm That’s a big deal if correct. I mean it was a torch prior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I'd take that and run all day, I've never wanted to be wrong and Kevin right this much before.. Big torch is only 3 hours that run.. still rots above 32 for awhile. More like the WF stays south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: HRRR is a hell of a ice storm here I find the Pivotal ice maps tend to be overdone 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, dendrite said: It’s been a gonewild season for ineedsnow. More often naked than clothed. May need to cut off his account 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Looks like mostly snow and sleet for you to me. I still think aloft torches more.. but I guess we'll see.. either way a good storm coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: SW Mass hills into Granby Hills in CT consistently showing up as ground zero for ice.. I think they have the best shot at .5 - .75" accretion Agree that is a better chance for some impactful ice. Ineedweenies just doesn’t remotely get enough QPF as ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: still rots above 32 for awhile. More like the WF stays south. just want to avoid the torch and pack wipeout.. we will have a rebuild a solid pack after tonight.. Right now its a 3" glacier with pretty big piles.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: He's still at freezing at 12pm this run Honestly there should not be anyone surprised at this. Even made note of why we’d see it happen today in earlier post . It’s not done trending 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I'm going with 4-6" snow, 1" of sleet thrown in, and 0.25" of ice for MBY. Call it a day until the power goes out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, ineedsnow said: I still think aloft torches more.. but I guess we'll see.. either way a good storm coming You’re coming down with Kevin-19. It’s sleet vs zr so you’re blasting the mid level warmth in, but if it was only snow vs sleet you would think the cooler solutions would prevail. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: just want to avoid the torch and pack wipeout.. we will have a rebuild a solid pack after tonight.. Right now its a 3" glacier with pretty big piles.. when did everyone get a pile fetish? Feels like I heard it a lot lately lol. Just give me the snow cover. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I'd take that and run all day, I've never wanted to be wrong and Kevin right this much before.. Big torch is only 3 hours that run.. If loving me is wrong, you don’t wanna be right? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 No torch on channel 30, just showed an animation, 34F @ 9:00pm Sunday 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: just want to avoid the torch and pack wipeout.. we will have a rebuild a solid pack after tonight.. Right now its a 3" glacier with pretty big piles.. I want to keep these colder looks going till go time. No torchy step backs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: when did everyone get a pile fetish? Feels like I heard it a lot lately lol. Just give me the snow cover. lol honestly its nostalgic reminds me of the 90s as a kid.. Makes it look like deep winter.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said: No torch on channel 30, just showed an animation, 34F @ 9:00pm Sunday That’s when it cools off 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just on a visual depiction, 12z HRRR gives CT another hour of snow before sleet/ice vs 11z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 3 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I find the Pivotal ice maps tend to be overdone I think people need to also understand the difference between flat ice and radial ice accretion. The flat ice is a newer way to measure it but it’s not the same as radial…it’s less. Radial ice was the old way. A half inch of radial ice is way more impactful than a half inch of flat ice….flat ice is roughly half the impact. (About a half inch of flat ice is the same as about a quarter inch of radial ice) 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Cut the totals in half but *OOF*Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 AWT and WTTTE ms’ be thrown around like Helloween candy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: No torch on channel 30, just showed an animation, 34F @ 9:00pm Sunday It’s cooling back down by 9pm Sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, CoastalWx said: That’s when it cools off No, it showed the duration of the event, didn’t ever come close to 40 and temps changed from the early morning forecast, they going HRRR? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said: lol honestly its nostalgic reminds me of the 90s as a kid.. Makes it look like deep winter.. But then I get mad when the cover melts and it’s just piles left. Makes me think there should be snow. That’s why I never shovel or just use the blower when there’s enough. Can spread it around the sun torched areas and it makes it look more like pack. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 I’d bet only far SE CT to S RI and SE MA ever get above 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Just now, CoastalWx said: But then I get mad when the cover melts and it’s just piles left. Makes me think there should be snow. That’s why I never shovel or just use the blower when there’s enough. Can spread it around the sun torched areas and it makes it look more like pack. Haven't had enough snow blowing events, so been shoveling, made a wall at baseline of basetball court about 50' long by 4' my son loves it.. He's asking for more snow.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’d bet only far SE CT to S RI and SE MA ever get above 40 Shit even Groton was cold on HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 People losing their mind over a little ZR. This is not an epic ice storm. We get these types of events often. As mentioned by someone earlier, maybe it’s a little higher end for the high terrain of NW CT into W MA. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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