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OBS-Nowcast for snow 4P Tue 2/11-7A THURSDAY 2/13/25 Mainly NJ-NYC-LI.


wdrag
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7 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

This snow looks so peaceful, it’s unfortunate that it’s all going to wash away Thursday morning and then Saturday with all that rain and temps in the 50s according to the Euro. Toasty  

This is why sometimes ignorance is bliss.  99% of everyone watching this snow is enjoying it, but we can't quite enjoy it because we're thinking about Thursday and Saturday.  What the hell are we doing lol.  We want it to snow, it's freaking snowing, but we're not happy because it will rain in the future, *even though it is snowing on top of snow as we speak.*  And I totally relate.  If it was supposed to be cold the rest of the week with flurries Thursday and more snow Saturday, this would be more enjoyable.

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9 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Don’t think we see 3” here, maybe we get 2”. CT coast will be the winner 

Yep, snowing decently but 1/2" per hour maybe and flakes are small. I'm hopeful we break 2" and snow on snow is always nice. The radar in SE PA looks decent if that can head NE to here.

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1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

As of 10 pm, we have 0.6" of snow for exactly 1/4" this past hour also, with snow continuing to fall between lightly and moderately at 30F.  Radar has filed in nicely to the SW and NW, so folks in the rest of CNJ/NNJ NW of about 202/287 ought to at least get an inch or so from this storm.  Not sure I'll make it to my 2.8" prediction, but I think 2+" is very attainable, with another 4-5 hours of decent snowfall likely and maybe a bit heavier than so far, as has been forecast from 10 pm to 2 am roughly.  

As of 11 pm we have 0.9" of snow for 0.3" last hour. Snowing close to moderately now; still mostly small flakes though, but guessing maybe 11-12:1 ratios (will probably measure this one - the snow/sleet/ZR mess was impossible lol). Radar still looking very good for most of NJ, except Sussex/Warren, which is no surprise, and in NYC/LI.

30F outside and just went for a drive for fun and to get some groceries and all of the untreated side roads are snow covered, while the county roads are slushy to wet, as they've been treated and Route 1 and 287, which get heavily treated and have a lot of traffic, are just wet. This shows the contrast to Saturday, where 287 and 1 were a snowy/sleety mess, completely covered, as that precip was heavier and sleet simply doesn't melt as fast from air temps or salt (low surface area). As I've said many times, an inch of mostly sleet is much more impactful than an inch of snow.

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57 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

This is why sometimes ignorance is bliss.  99% of everyone watching this snow is enjoying it, but we can't quite enjoy it because we're thinking about Thursday and Saturday.  What the hell are we doing lol.  We want it to snow, it's freaking snowing, but we're not happy because it will rain in the future, *even though it is snowing on top of snow as we speak.*  And I totally relate.  If it was supposed to be cold the rest of the week with flurries Thursday and more snow Saturday, this would be more enjoyable.

Haven't given a single thought to future rain.  Get outside man and enjoy the snow while you can - it's freakin' gorgeous out there right now.  

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9 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

Haven't given a single thought to future rain.  Get outside man and enjoy the snow while you can - it's freakin' gorgeous out there right now.  

I was just outside as well. Beautiful. I measured 0.8" here. Radar doesn't look too bad. I think we're on track to get about an inch and a half here. Looks like a compromise between the underdone HRRR and overdone NAM runs that we saw before the storm. 

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  • wdrag changed the title to OBS-Nowcast for snow 4P Tue 2/11-7A THURSDAY 2/13/25 Mainly NJ-NYC-LI.

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