OBS-Nowcast for snow 4P Tue 2/11-7A THURSDAY 2/13/25 Mainly NJ-NYC-LI.

[RU848789]

Radar looks to be filling in in Montco/Bucks a bit, which "should" make it into Somerset and probably eastern Hunterdon and then hopefully Morris.. NWS standing by their forecast, as per below, but they've been wrong before...

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
910 PM EST Tue Feb 11 2025

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
910 PM...Snow continues to fall over roughly the southern 60
percent of the forecast area with the heaviest continuing to
fall over portions of Delmarva into southern NJ. Portions of
Sussex County Delaware have already seen over 6 inches. All in
all, no major changes to the forecast with the mid evening
update. The storm total snowfall forecast remains similar with
4-8 inches of total snow expected in areas where the Winter
Storm Warnings remain in effect, and as referenced above with
the frontogenetic band, likely an area of localized maxima above
8 inches over southern interior portions of Delaware possibly
extending into portions of the MD eastern shore Counties.
However extreme southern portions of DE along with the Delware
Beaches zone will likely see some rain and sleet mixing in at
times. Areas within the Winter Weather Advisory across northern
DE, southeast PA, and Central NJ are still expected to receive
2-4 inches of total snowfall. Across northeast PA and into
northern NJ, snowfall totals up to 2 inches are expected. The
majority of the snowfall will be this evening and early on
tonight.

[nycsnow]

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

And if there's snow falling in the LHV it will be wrong since it had zero there. 

I see bands building up to Yorktown last few frames 

[nycsnow]

Radar filling in all over now. Looking good for li and nyc area 

[MJO812]

Snowing at a good clip now. Everything is covered. 

[psv88]

South shore of Suffolk getting crushed now. 

[terrapin8100]

Light snow now here with a quick dusting.

[Krs4Lfe]

Looks like Manhattan, Bronx, and north Queens will get fringed, would be surprised if Central Park eeks out more than 1” from this. Looks like very light rates over the western and northern part of NYC, 

[nycsnow]

Just now, Krs4Lfe said:

Looks like Manhattan, Bronx, and north Queens will get fringed, would be surprised if Central Park eeks out more than 1” from this. Looks like very light rates over the western and northern part of NYC, 

Looks like a band of steadier snow developing them last few min

[ILoveWinter]

2 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Looks like Manhattan, Bronx, and north Queens will get fringed, would be surprised if Central Park eeks out more than 1” from this. Looks like very light rates over the western and northern part of NYC, 

Won't venture to guess what we will end up with but I wouldn't call it light in the UWS right now

[winterwx21]

The street is coated here now too. Good to see it accumulating, but it's very slow accumulation with these light snowfall rates. I think we get around an inch here, maybe an inch and a half if we're lucky. 

[Rjay]

[lee59]

Light snow, everything covered

[nycsnow]

[nycsnow]

1 Inch in Massapequa (saw on twitter)

[ag3]

Nice band over NYC metro.

[nycsnow]

Just now, ag3 said:

Nice band over NYC metro.

Radar looking good for metro and Long Island, think a nice band gonna develop soon 

[psv88]

Dumping now, close to an inch, roads snow covered 

[ag3]

2 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Radar looking good for metro and Long Island, think a nice band gonna develop soon 

Streets turning white here now under this band.

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Nice band over NYC metro.

Yep coming down nice here. 

[nycsnow]

3 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Streets turning white here now under this band.

Radar don’t do the justice with the returns they’re def heavier 

[Brasiluvsnow]

Snow flurries VERY VERY light in New City Rockland County,,,,that is all over and out

[NorthShoreWx]

Smithtown, 10pm

30⁰ S-, 0.6" so far

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Its coming down pretty good now. Radar looks decent and enhancing. 29f moderate snow.

[NJwx85]

Snowing lightly finally here in Rockland.

[jm1220]

0.9" now, snowing at decent clip. For those bellyaching about the Nam, the best banding looks north of me if anything. 

[Bxstormwatcher360]

Just now, jm1220 said:

0.9" now, snowing at decent clip. For those bellyaching about the Nam, the best banding looks north of me if anything. 

The city itself is in a good band as we speak. 

[RU848789]

50 minutes ago, RU848789 said:

As of 9 pm we have 0.35" of snow on the ground for exactly 1/4" the last hour, with snow falling between lightly and moderately at 31F.  Everything is covered and slippery.  We're still not far from the NW edge of the accumulating snow - not sure if folks in Somerset or especially Hunterdon or Morris are getting much.  Heavy band just went through Mercer and southern Middlesex, but missed to my SE.  

As of 10 pm, we have 0.6" of snow for exactly 1/4" this past hour also, with snow continuing to fall between lightly and moderately at 30F.  Radar has filed in nicely to the SW and NW, so folks in the rest of CNJ/NNJ NW of about 202/287 ought to at least get an inch or so from this storm.  Not sure I'll make it to my 2.8" prediction, but I think 2+" is very attainable, with another 4-5 hours of decent snowfall likely and maybe a bit heavier than so far, as has been forecast from 10 pm to 2 am roughly.  

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

0.9" now, snowing at decent clip. For those bellyaching about the Nam, the best banding looks north of me if anything. 

would be pretty hilarious...00Z NAM pulls the plug but its previous run was more correct....typical NAM style

[Krs4Lfe]

This snow looks so peaceful, it’s unfortunate that it’s all going to wash away Thursday morning and then Saturday with all that rain and temps in the 50s according to the Euro. Toasty  

[Absolute Humidity]

2.3”  mod snow ongoing