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OBS-Nowcast for snow 4P Tue 2/11-7A THURSDAY 2/13/25 Mainly NJ-NYC-LI.


wdrag
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@psv88@uofmiami@NorthShoreWx and other north shore posters, the last 10 days has been quite enjoyable. Cold but not too cold, frequent small to moderate events. I definitely prefer a big event but the last 2 winters have been lacking in persistent wintry weather. AND even though this winter hasn’t featured above normal snow yet (our area probably should be at about 20-22in at this point I would guess) it has basically been wall to wall with no clear end in sight. The last wall to wall winter we had was probably 2014/2015 and that was more of a 2nd half winter in terms of snow (I think 80% or so fell after 1/20) though was fairly cold prior to the snowy period…

 

i would say satisfying would be a good way to describe it

 

icing on the cake would be a nice front end this wknd, followed by something big 2/20 or thereabouts. We’ll see…

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4 minutes ago, Kaner587 said:

@psv88@uofmiami@NorthShoreWx and other north shore posters, the last 10 days has been quite enjoyable. Cold but not too cold, frequent small to moderate events. I definitely prefer a big event but the last 2 winters have been lacking in persistent wintry weather. AND even though this winter hasn’t featured above normal snow yet (our area probably should be at about 20-22in at this point I would guess) it has basically been wall to wall with no clear end in sight. The last wall to wall winter we had was probably 2014/2015 and that was more of a 2nd half winter in terms of snow (I think 80% or so fell after 1/20) though was fairly cold prior to the snowy period…

Generally agreed. We’ve had several snow events where the snow has stuck around. It’s definitely been cold, but not brutally cold. Up to 17.8” on the season, so we will likely get to the mid 20s. Still a bit below normal but not terrible 

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Adding CoCoRaHs for this event, including qpf.

Supplement ag will with prettier analysis and actual NWS PNS.  Have a day-glad to see some appreciation for this winter. More coming the next 10 days including snowfall for CP as we try to get to our Feb normal of 10.1" 

Haven't checked on how much actually fell in this event through 7A for CP, PHL, BWI,DCA.

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It’s certainly nice now, can’t complain with a half foot on the ground. And the cold has been impressive vs what we’ve been used to. But we used to be able to get a KU or two when the cold had been around which we don’t this year, we get these smaller events due to how chaotic the pattern is or certain features in the wrong place. So at this point the winter gets an average grade for the cold but we’re still likely to end below to well below average for snow. I guess this would be a warmer version of most 1980s winters. 

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31 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Generally agreed. We’ve had several snow events where the snow has stuck around. It’s definitely been cold, but not brutally cold. Up to 17.8” on the season, so we will likely get to the mid 20s. Still a bit below normal but not terrible 

I don't know what's normal anymore, but the 30 year average here is between 36 and 37 inches.

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Ended up with 1.5" here. Nice little event. I wish we could have gotten a few inches like all those NAM runs showed, but not a surprise since the NAM models are terrible. The more reasonable models like Euro did well with this event. There were many model runs that kept showing 1.5 to 2 for a lot of the area, and they ended up being right on the money. 

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1 hour ago, wdrag said:

Adding CoCoRaHs for this event, including qpf.

Supplement ag will with prettier analysis and actual NWS PNS.  Have a day-glad to see some appreciation for this winter. More coming the next 10 days including snowfall for CP as we try to get to our Feb normal of 10.1" 

Haven't checked on how much actually fell in this event through 7A for CP, PHL, BWI,DCA.

Screen Shot 2025-02-12 at 10.04.18 AM.png

Screen Shot 2025-02-12 at 10.05.19 AM.png

Screen Shot 2025-02-12 at 10.05.45 AM.png

Screen Shot 2025-02-12 at 10.06.25 AM.png

peak was 3.0 in eastern long island on 0.31 liquid

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