OBS-Nowcast for snow 4P Tue 2/11-7A THURSDAY 2/13/25 Mainly NJ-NYC-LI.

[wdrag]

Most of the snow tonight. Areas of light snow, flurries or possibly freezing drizzle may linger after sunrise Wednesday.

NWS 08z/11 ensemble probs for 1 and 4" attached.  

At 734AM I added what I call the slippery factor--WSSI-P, run off 05z data... the red is 60% or greater chance of MINOR impacts overnight. I sort of like this product. 

 

Edited previously intended headline start time at 327P/11

 

At 410AM have extended the headline into the second event since this reduces thread bounce, AND, I think that "parts" of our NYC subforum including LI, NJ, PA will see an additional few tenths of an inch of snow today with ice pellet very minor amounts this evening, and of course the obligatory icing well inland overnight.  Don't be surprised at a little drizzle-freezing drizzle for LI and the NJ coast today.  The additional snow may not stick very well during the daylight hours as temps rise.  Still suggest cleaning the snowboard AT MOST once every 6 hours and see what you get. I hope we get some decent rainfall overnight.  Thank you for all your shares.  I am considering starting the 19th-20th snow storm-event late this morning.   

[Northof78]

Mostly Cloudy, interesting storm upcoming, where most modeling has the precipitation coming from the due south/from the ocean....more coastal related...

[BoulderWX]

31/28 - Morristown 

already on the northern fringe to see 1”+ and that dry air will take awhile to overcome. Any amount that whitens things up works for me. 

[TJW014]

Still virga here but radar is filling in nicely. Headed to the beach

[TJW014]

Pixie dust flurries, south end of Island Beach State Park

[Allsnow]

34 and feels likes snow 

 

expecting 2-3 inches 

[SnoSki14]

2 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

34 and feels likes snow 

 

expecting 2-3 inches 

That looks generous given HRRR & radar. I'll go with an inch tops

[Allsnow]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

That looks generous given HRRR & radar. I'll go with an inch tops

Cool 

[WestBabylonWeather]

Feelin good about this one on the south shore of Long Island. Wow. Words I never thought I’d say this year 

[ag3]

Enjoy the snow everyone. Especially the south shore of LI, CNJ/SNJ and eastern LI. Likely 3”-6” here.

2”-4” for most everyone else except northern areas.

 

 

[MJO812]

22 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

That looks generous given HRRR & radar. I'll go with an inch tops

Another screenshot

[SnoSki14]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Another screenshot

HRRR gives nothing. Dry air eats it all up 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

HRRR gives nothing. Dry air eats it all up 

It's an outlier

[TJW014]

Moderate rate now. Sticking instantly

[Allsnow]

Snow line from phl to bayville now 

[Northof78]

12 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Moderate rate now. Sticking instantly

Strong south wind?

[TJW014]

5 minutes ago, Northof78 said:

Strong south wind?

South wind but certainly not strong. Maybe 10 mph gusts.  It's a 2 seam poly flag so it flies very easily

[cleetussnow]

24 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Moderate rate now. Sticking instantly

I love my xterra. Pro 4x. Mines a 2015, the last year they made em.  Its getting on in years what to replace it with?  They make anything like it anymore.   Enjoy the snow

[Franklin0529]

Snowing in Lakewood at my buddy's job he said 

[Northof78]

8 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

South wind but certainly not strong. Maybe 10 mph gusts.  It's a 2 seam poly flag so it flies very easily

Interesting that there is a south wind...and not North/North East

[coastalplainsnowman]

30 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Moderate rate now. Sticking instantly

Man, someone is living their best life right now.

[Rmine1]

Precip moving painstakingly slow towards LI.
 

With such a progressive system every minute counts before the best returns slide offshore south of the island. 

[LibertyBell]

1 hour ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Feelin good about this one on the south shore of Long Island. Wow. Words I never thought I’d say this year 

For tonight you can pretend you live in Orange County lol

[LibertyBell]

16 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said:

Man, someone is living their best life right now.

We can even pretend we're reliving the start of the January 1996 Blizzard for a few hours lol

 

 

[Allsnow]

Snow entering Monmouth County 

[LibertyBell]

48 minutes ago, TJW014 said:

Moderate rate now. Sticking instantly

Wow, it does remind me of the January 1996 blizzard, for a few hours at least....

[Allsnow]

Dca and bwi crushing it 

[Big Jims Videos]

Coating in Point Pleasant Beach, Central New Jersey. 

[LibertyBell]

8 minutes ago, Allsnow said:

Dca and bwi crushing it 

white out conditions near the white house!!

[Rmine1]

First flakes in Brightwaters. Couldn’t be much more south shore than here