Feb 11-13: Nowcast/Obs

[Ka60]

Clarksburg, MD  SN  2"  

[Kay]

Just went outside for a bit. Light snow started 4 hours ago. Still small flakes but piling up more quickly, 1.25"  29F

[ers-wxman1]

5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

^soid map @ers-wxman1. Happy to see the lowlanders get something.

This is a solid event. Somebody will jackpot over 12”. Plenty of precip to go and near ideal forcing in the right spot. Bullish NAM was solid this go around and I think areas north of 66 are going to easily go over 6”. This is one example where the 90th percentile works.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

3 inches with moderate snow

[PrinceFrederickWx]

I measured 4.8” about 30 mins ago. Still snowing hard obviously.

[Chris78]

7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

For northern MD and southern PA, the h7 forcing is actually over us now. But there isn’t enough moisture transport to activate the banding. If we can just get that next wave in WV to get decent deep moisture up here tonight it’s not impossible we get a decent band. But I’m skeptical. The trajectory isn’t good. 

That's what I'm kind of half holding out some hope for.

When you say the trajectory isn't good do mean it's going to slide south of us?  That's what it looks like to me. Not sure it's going to make it north enough 

[NorthHillsWx]

Congrats from the southerners. Looks like a hell of an event between DC and Fredericksburg. Wouldn’t be shocked to see some 15” totals if that banding keeps up overnight. DC looks locked in for a very solid snowfall 

[Terpeast]

Just now, ers-wxman1 said:

This is a solid event. Somebody will jackpot over 12”. Plenty of precip to go and near ideal forcing in the right spot. Bullish NAM was solid this go around and I think areas north of 66 are going to easily go over 6”. 

The GFS was onto something when it insisted on a 12”+ jack. 

Hopefully I get to 6” in ashburn. I’m almost halfway there. 5” may be more realistic

[baltosquid]

Absolutely awful drive home from Harford county to Baltimore (got home about 30 minutes ago). 95 was caving in places and I’m not surprised there was a crash soon after I was gone. Really find it hard to fathom there wasn’t at least 59 minutes or something, straight up dangerous situations all over the road start to finish and it all could have been avoided. And I would have been safe at home on a normal Tuesday if not for RTO.

Anyway… Baltimore is looking good. Everything has caved. Small flakes coming down hard. Hopefully those fluff up as things get colder.

[Scraff]

Just measured 2”. Pretty happy with that! Gimme a few more and I’m good until the PSU Storm  

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

The GFS was onto something when it insisted on a 12”+ jack. 

Hopefully I get to 6” in ashburn. I’m almost halfway there. 5” may be more realistic

But the HRRR tho

[WhiteoutMD]

2.5 in Annapolis MD 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

2 minutes ago, Scraff said:

Just measured 2”. Pretty happy with that! Gimme a few more and I’m good until the PSU Storm  

You must be getting 3 beers/hour, according to the SBFI!! 

[stormtracker]

7 hours ago, EstorilM said:

Funny guy lol. 
 

I'm usually overly optimistic, I just never saw the stars lining up for this one (especially after the 12z stuff yesterday, shrinking/southward precip shield, mixing and rain post-snow, etc.) 

 

I am a bit jealous of the RIC-Fburg guys though. 

[aldie 22]

3 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

The GFS was onto something when it insisted on a 12”+ jack. 

Hopefully I get to 6” in ashburn. I’m almost halfway there. 5” may be more realistic

Your reverse psychology worked on this storm 

[StormyClearweather]

Just a touch over 3" in Potomac Falls

[SnowGolfBro]

We are over 6 inches. Moderate snow continues in Montclair.

[Kay]

I like hearing streets in downtown DC and Baltimore have caved, well done.

[wxdude64]

Slowly changing over to sleet in last 10-15 minutes here. When I clean the board at 7 I'll go ahead and switch gauges to keep precip amounts separate. Still 29.7/28.8

[Solution Man]

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

But the HRRR tho

It caught up…follow the leader 

[bncho]

If I were to look at nothing but this forum this is what I think that totals would be:

[Terpeast]

3 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Your reverse psychology worked on this storm 

Haha

how much you got so far?

[BlizzardNole]

10 minutes ago, deer said:

Holy moly

LOLOLOL at that map.  They have my area at 4-6 and we are already stopping with barely 1.5 otg

[CAPE]

Coming down heavy with big flakes now.

[aldie 22]

2 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

Haha

how much you got so far?

a little over 3" according to the cheesy snow stick out front

[arlwx12]

I think it was channel 5 that said BWI has a ground stop until 8 pm.

There's at least 2 1/2 inches on my trees and shrubs near Crystal City.

[J.Mike]

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

But the HRRR tho

LOL. This is a huge impact storm DC and south with just 3" snow. Who needs a HECS.

[mdhokie]

2" in Ellicott City. Took a jebwalk, its really tiny icy flakes right now. Would love to get some fatties falling around here. 

[Jebman]

18 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said:

This is amazing! I am so happy some in the sub have a shot at a FOOT of fresh snow! Told ya this puppy was gonna max out!

[winter_warlock]

 Been 1 hour.  And I now have 2 inches.  So I'm getting snowfall of 1 inch an hour here!!  Temp down to 29 degrees