psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 11 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: What is your location again? . 5 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 8 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Holy crap. So you think Northern Baltimore City gets 2”?. That probably means i get 1.5” tops. Sorry I’m still hung over. The range is 2-5” for the Baltimore area. Say inside the beltway. More south less north. But the difference might not be 2-5. If the 5 is right for the south maybe 3-4 north. If the south gets 4 the north side might be 2-3. This is way too specific but if you want a range for like Towson maybe 2-4” 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 7 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Manchester, MD on the highest point in the state apparently. Second highest east of the Appalachian trail. Get it straight. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Same. I've been out on this one since yesterday. I'm big dog chasing now--because obviously these kind of waves just don't do it even in Baltimore right now. I hope the rest of you enjoy your snow!Most models have you at 4-6”. 3-4” seems like a reasonable bar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 GFS looking pretty decent right now..precip arriving...timing looks the same...it's gonna be stubborn and have that heavy stripe again in the south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS looking pretty decent right now..precip arriving...timing looks the same...it's gonna be stubborn and have that heavy stripe again in the south Hmm the FV3 looked awful for MD and I wrote off the GFS since it usually is pretty close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 NAM has sleet and GFS has no temp issues at all. Oy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, psuhoffman said: Hmm the FV3 looked awful for MD and I wrote off the GFS since it usually is pretty close. It seems about the same as 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: GFS looking pretty decent right now..precip arriving...timing looks the same...it's gonna be stubborn and have that heavy stripe again in the south Jog norther with the heavy precip and it’s really heavy in some spots… it’s gonna be so wrong for whoever it says gets 20” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Jog norther with the heavy precip and it’s really heavy in some spots… it’s gonna be so wrong for whoever it says gets 20” It was norther thru 9pm but ended up neutral/worse for most of us. Figures 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Jog norther with the heavy precip and it’s really heavy in some spots… it’s gonna be so wrong for whoever it says gets 20” Pretty wet in spots from what I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Jog norther with the heavy precip and it’s really heavy in some spots… it’s gonna be so wrong for whoever it says gets 20” Yeah, it moved like 15 miles north. I guess it was worth mentioning. Bet the clown maps will still be nice 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: It was norther thru 9pm but ended up neutral/worse for most of us. Figures You got the snow maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, stormtracker said: Yeah, it moved like 15 miles north. I guess it was worth mentioning. Bet the clown maps will still be nice Eh, hr 27 looks worser like Narl said. Maybe I'm high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Little wobbles will matter. I’d like 4” please. Seems doable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, stormtracker said: You got the snow maps? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 It’s chips fall time. 4-7” seems locked in for DC/NVA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Jog norther with the heavy precip and it’s really heavy in some spots… it’s gonna be so wrong for whoever it says gets 20” Thing is even the runs lately that move that fgen death band north don’t help north of 70 at all it just tightens the gradient. Models seem to be locked in that the dry air wins lie up here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Lol 10:1 is better than Kuchie. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: It was norther thru 9pm but ended up neutral/worse for most of us. Figures Because it wasn’t north it was just faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, TSG said: That’s a sweet sounding 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Because it wasn’t north it was just faster Toggling hr 24 it looks norther. May just be heavier. Prob doesn’t matter. southern end def got trimmed - heaviest stuff def went north. May not matter to you but could around DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Gfs adamant on double digit totals south of dc close to RIC but the wakefield wfo isn’t having any of it. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 21 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Sorry I’m still hung over. The range is 2-5” for the Baltimore area. Say inside the beltway. More south less north. But the difference might not be 2-5. If the 5 is right for the south maybe 3-4 north. If the south gets 4 the north side might be 2-3. This is way too specific but if you want a range for like Towson maybe 2-4” FV3 confirms everything that I’ve been wary about. And with poor snow growth on the fringes (GFS has low ratios for Kuchera), I don’t even think 2” is a guarantee north of the Baltimore beltway. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, Fozz said: FV3 confirms everything that I’ve been wary about. And with poor snow growth on the fringes (GFS has low ratios for Kuchera), I don’t even think 2” is a guarantee north of the Baltimore beltway. I'm not expecting much up at the m/d line. I'd be shocked if I make it to 2". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: 6 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Gfs adamant on double digit totals south of dc close to RIC but the wakefield wfo isn’t having any of it. GFS just won't let it go lol. Well, maybe further east it has pulled slightly north and why Wakefield is hesitant. If it holds?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Gfs adamant on double digit totals south of dc close to RIC but the wakefield wfo isn’t having any of it. Ur right wakefield barely saying much more then 1 -3 for Richmond. They. Aren't putting alot of stock in the Snowmaps... From Wakefield ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 9 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Gfs adamant on double digit totals south of dc close to RIC but the wakefield wfo isn’t having any of it. The snow depth product is notably less than 1/2 of those amounts. That product isn't the gospel by any means, but when the discrepancy between the snowfall and snow depth maps is that large, that tells me that the model really isn't producing the big snow totals suggested by those maps. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Hit freezing 32.0/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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