nj2va Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3K gets DC up to 37 tomorrow but drops to freezing/below by 3p. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 That was an ugly nam pbp with a Chuck hrrr analysis thrown in the middle lol 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 At minimum 9 hours of heavy snow, 0.5-1+”/hr rates. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, Solution Man said: Start time? 1pm-ish? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: 1pm-ish? Yep, roughly. But stickage and road caving by 4 pm imo 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Only @SnowenOutThere said it wasn't. he was definitely wrong Listen we all make mistakes, the important thing is that I've been publicly humiliated enough to not attempt a play by play till at least the next storm. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 NAM 12k a solid 6-9” for dc metro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 @North Balti Zen had been quiet the last couple of days. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 What do temps have to be for Kuchera to work? Looks like low 30s to me.. not even 1:10 probably. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3k looks like it tries to get the sleet up toward DCA at 9/10pm. @stormtracker knows we mix every storm no matter what Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 3k looks like it tries to get the sleet up toward DCA at 9/10pm. @stormtracker knows we mix every storm no matter what Can't wait for the rain in Germantown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3k nam has sleet making it up to DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Nice nam run ill take it. 27.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, Terpeast said: NAM 12k a solid 6-9” for dc metro It shows 2” with 1.3” snow depth change by 4p. I’d wager the under on that in DC/inner burbs. I think we’re probably not accumulating on paved surfaces until closer to sunset. Still, a fantastic run for the area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, Interstate said: @North Balti Zen had been quiet the last couple of days. Lol Reading. What more is there to say? Congrats to the usual winners in the forum for getting to fully enjoy what we all love for the sixth year in a row while we get hosed. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 3k looks like it tries to get the sleet up toward DCA at 9/10pm. @stormtracker knows we mix every storm no matter what It does actually have a semi precarious warm nose near 850 for NOVA, and the whole column seems a bit warmer overall which isn't the greatest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3k has intensifying rates at around 2-3 pm with temps dropping to freezing 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 About a tenth wetter up here, but warmer at onset, so will lose a little of that while column cools. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 3k nam has sleet making it up to DCA Maybe no shock that the NAM over amps this one. 3k with 0.75” precip, which plays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: 3k looks like it tries to get the sleet up toward DCA at 9/10pm. @stormtracker knows we mix every storm no matter what It's what we do well. Find sleet where there's none. Bring it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3k bumped up QPF north of DC, Baltimore does better as well as northern moco. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Just now, MN Transplant said: Maybe no shock that the NAM over amps this one. 3k with 0.75” precip, which plays I think 3k is realistic with snow amounts, moreso than 12k nam 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Nam qpf looks better for DC south, but I wouldn't say it's all that much better to the north. Snowfall maps do nothing for me anymore...I've finally learned my lesson on those. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 The SREFS and their cores look pretty good but we banned them from this forum so i'll hold off 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 That was a step in our direction. Southern folks are not happy. If NAM is right.. what stops the steps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6 minutes ago, Terpeast said: 3k nam has sleet making it up to DCA I know the precip type output shows sleet on WxBell but sounding looks like we just hold onto snow at DCA. ETA: I realized I added 11p. The 10p sounding does show a warm nose briefly so would mix with some sleet verbatim briefly. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 5 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Can't wait for the rain in Germantown Georgetown fify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, nj2va said: I know the precip type output shows sleet on WxBell but sounding looks like we just hold onto snow at DCA. Its close but ya its snow, i dont think sleet makes it that far up. Maybe quantico or dumfries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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