WxUSAF Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 Warnings and advisories issued. Warnings up for all of MoCo and HoCo. Advisories for everything north/east of them. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 37 minutes ago, mappy said: Why is 7-9am at the bottom!!?!!! Legends 101 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: This one is not going to be the one to break your streak of bad luck. Sorry Yep. 6 minutes ago, mappy said: Not sure why you think it’s grassy surfaces only. It will be cold enough to stick. It’s just a qpf issue for us further north. We go mid 30's tomorrow. Light precip. Anything falling before sunset won't stick to the streets, and will barely stick to the grass. We might start to get road stickage by nightfall but at that point how much precip have we burned off? Maybe the streets will get a dusting, that will melt off as soon as the snow stops. Thats my forecast anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Hmm, bullish. 4-8 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 251 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016>018-VAZ053>055-057-526-527-110400- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0007.250211T1800Z-250212T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.W.0006.250211T1800Z-250212T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford- King George-Northwest Prince William-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 251 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 4 to 8 inches. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, central and southern Maryland, and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 7 AM EST Wednesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. now will overspread the area late Tuesday morning into Tuesday afternoon, with the steadiest snow expected late Tuesday afternoon and evening. A light wintry mix may continue into Wednesday, but little to no additional accumulation is expected. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates around 1 to 2 inches per hour are possible late Tuesday afternoon and evening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Let’s be clear about the HRRR. There have only been 3 runs that take it to 6z Wednesday and 2 through 12z. The 06z run at 48 hours had 0.11” precip through 48 at DC. The current run has 0.40” through the same period. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, Terpeast said: I take back everything I said earlier about moons and slush. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 NAM isn't gonna be as pretty as 12z. Def weaker/souther. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Sticking with my first call, no reason to change it yet. 3-6" DC & NW burbs, 4-8" south till you get to EZF then mixing further south 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 5 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Yep. We go mid 30's tomorrow. Light precip. Anything falling before sunset won't stick to the streets, and will barely stick to the grass. We might start to get road stickage by nightfall but at that point how much precip have we burned off? Maybe the streets will get a dusting, that will melt off as soon as the snow stops. Thats my forecast anyway. Ok. Enjoy your slushy inch in the grass, I guess. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 My radio just alarmed me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wtkidz Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Sticking with my first call, no reason to change it yet. 3-6" DC & NW burbs, 4-8" south till you get to EZF then mixing further south Reasonable cause you know Fredericksburg is the rain/snow line of Virginia. After living here for over 40 years I can attest to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 4 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: NAM isn't gonna be as pretty as 12z. Def weaker/souther. Still passable for DC but ugly north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx12 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot- Caroline- Including the cities of Centreville, Easton, Rehoboth Beach, Georgetown, Denton, Dover, and Chestertown 301 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 7 inches, with localized totals as high as 7 to 9 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of central and southern Delaware and northeast Maryland. * WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 7 AM EST Wednesday. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, T. August said: Still passable for DC but ugly north It's a little slower so perhaps a bit of a later save in the later panels though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Just now, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: It's a little slower so perhaps a bit of a later save in the later panels though. Definitely not done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, arlwx12 said: Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot- Caroline- Including the cities of Centreville, Easton, Rehoboth Beach, Georgetown, Denton, Dover, and Chestertown 301 PM EST Mon Feb 10 2025 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 5 and 7 inches, with localized totals as high as 7 to 9 inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of central and southern Delaware and northeast Maryland. * WHEN...From 1 PM Tuesday to 7 AM EST Wednesday. Radio at work actually did the EAS tone for this. Good thing I already sent everyone an email this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Solid 14 hours of snow at panel 36, bit more to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Honestly, the NAM run around DC is still pretty solid and probably more realistic than 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
300 square feet Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 23 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Not to be pessimistic, but we onlt got 2.4 here from the Jan 6th storm. This looks like a weaker of version of that, and in the last 10 years the best bet for this location is take NWS forecast and divide by 2. I am thinking 1-2 inches. Grassy surfaces only Baltimore/DC will do better. Maybe 3-4 inches there. Sadly I think you might be right. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Would take the NAM in a heartbeat but we really can’t keep bleeding moisture. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3K looks healthy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 NAM really isn't that bad 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AACOUNTYMD Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 how much later does the NAM start? Later is better, no? with respect to accumulating snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I thought the NAM caved to like 2-4"... y'all are overdramatic AF 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 the 12k NAM was definitely overdone, and I don't see much change on the 3k NAM from previous run yet. looks like 5-6" when lopping off the initial inch before dark for DC metro including IAD. This is 10 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Yeah, it seems to be a bit slower and it closed a little better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, bncho said: I thought the NAM caved to like 2-4"... y'all are overdramatic AF Some, need to check themselves in to the panic room 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 lol NAM looks good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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