nwohweather Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 3:22 PM, sbnwx85 said: 12z updates your viewing pleasure or displeasure: Expand What a turn of events. Congrats to the snow lovers in NW Ohio and SE Michigan if this holds. Looks like Detroit beats Chicago in yet another thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 While I'm grateful that I'm going to see a decent snow, it's just shows you how volatile/fluid these systems are to predict Last night's GFS had over a foot and today's run has half that. So close to a biggie as it gets its act together well east of here. Another big snow for our friends nw of Toronto in ontario. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:03 PM, nwohweather said: What a turn of events. Congrats to the snow lovers in NW Ohio and SE Michigan if this holds. Looks like Detroit beats Chicago in yet another thing Expand Can’t wait for the “it never snows in Michigan” to start next December 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:38 AM, nvck said: Snows yet to start here, but looking forward to the potential for over a foot of snow OTG when this is all said and done, would easily be the most I can ever remember seeing. Expand Latest SR models look like a big pile of dog crap for middle of The Mitt. Sandwiched between systems yet again. How much you have on the ground there attm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:23 PM, mimillman said: Can’t wait for the “it never snows in Michigan” to start next December Expand I don't know where you are getting this from?? Winter is one of the themes of Michigan!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:27 PM, Lightning said: I don't know where you are getting this from?? Winter is one of the themes of Michigan!! Expand Yea I dont know why he keeps repeating that. I've never said nor have I seen any of us say it doesn't snow here. I've reiterated the big snows don't happen here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:27 PM, Lightning said: I don't know where you are getting this from?? Winter is one of the themes of Michigan!! Expand Certain residents on this board. I do love Michigan in general. If only Chicago were there 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Dtx in the office playing their saturday poker game, talking about how they are gonna wait until it starts snowing later today to issue headlines for tonight. I get the hesitation, they're probably on the fence on issuing a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:23 PM, mimillman said: Can’t wait for the “it never snows in Michigan” to start next December Expand I know you're joking, but it's really been a mediocre winter for most of you in the subforum snowfall-wise. There's no point in making it a "tallest midget" competition. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 8:10 AM, HillsdaleMIWeather said: Grr not doing a watch, just extended the wwa Expand Figured. Not really a SWMI system. Needed it over KTOL for that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:34 PM, Powerball said: I know you're joking, but it's really been a mediocre winter for most of you in the subforum snowfall-wise. There's no point in making it a "tallest midget" competition. Expand I think with this DTX will be on target for normal snowfall or within a few inches departure? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:42 PM, mimillman said: I think with this DTX will be on target for normal snowfall or within a few inches departure? Expand The jury is still out there. WAA snows have already underperformed, and model trends aren't looking good for the "main" show tonight/tomorrow. Prior to this system, they were still at a 11-12" departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 2.5” thus far. Nice little start 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 4:24 PM, RogueWaves said: Latest SR models look like a big pile of dog crap for middle of The Mitt. Sandwiched between systems yet again. How much you have on the ground there attm? Expand Yeah, foot otg is looking very unlikely with the depressing 12z runs. I've not measured, but maybe 6" rn? Again, that's a very rough estimate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Getting some bursts of mood flakes from time to time, which is nice to see. There is about 3" of fairly fresh powder on the ground, so actually looks like deep winter out there for the first time all winter. Should be just enough snow cover to maximize the chill in coming days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 This looked like something really special for DTW for a few runs, shame it crashed back down 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Light-moderate snow currently in Toronto. 2-3" seems like a good bet for today. Still a bit of model discrepancy regarding tomorrows storm, but 8-12" seems like a good early call. If the further west models are correct, we could be looking at 12-16" in Toronto. If it's slightly further east then 8-10" seems like a good bet for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Think we got another inch this morning. Maybe another .5 to 1” the rest of the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 At least the WAA snow did end up developing so the early morning HRRR was on crack. Estimating probably 2-2.5 inches of new snow now and still coming down at a decent clip. It looks like it might start winding down soon though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lightning Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:04 PM, dmc76 said: 2.5” thus far. Nice little start Expand On 2/15/2025 at 6:09 PM, roardog said: At least the WAA snow did end up developing so the early morning HRRR was on crack. Estimating probably 2-2.5 inches of new snow now and still coming down at a decent clip. It looks like it might start winding down soon though. Expand Got maybe a 1". Developed a little late. Now it's freezing drizzle/mist. My passion for this one is in the tank. Sorry but time for me to do something else 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Not sure what IWX and CLE are doing here. Absolutely nothing up and you’ve got good model consistency on at least 3-6” if not 4-8”. Not ideal, at least throw up an advisory 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 6:16 PM, Lightning said: Got maybe a 1". Developed a little late for. Now it's freezing drizzle/mist. My passion for this one is in the tank. Sorry but time for me to do something else Expand Don't worry. We're almost to the warm fronts getting stuck at the Michigan border season. Spring is my least favorite season BTW. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Dusting of snow and a glaze of ice that melted within a few hours. Spring can’t get here fast enough. Another pretty lousy winter. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 5:32 PM, SchaumburgStormer said: This never looked like something special for illinois for any runs, shame it didnt have a chance to crash down Expand Fixed**. Did the storm already happen? I don't get all the bust talk. The waa/front end was never gonna be anything great and main show to still come. Definitly some bust potential later though. I sense some enjoyment on your part on the potential of a bust over here. Perhaps I'm wrong but I never understood why certain illinois/chicago peeps always rooting against others snow chances. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 Yea if nothing else the wind potential with this still looks impressive for everyone. Add 4”-10” between here, Fort Wayne and up to Detroit and it’ll be a fun storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 18z HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 7:26 PM, Powerball said: 18z HRRR Expand Wouldn't be an event without a shitty dry HRRR run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 It's 34 and -SN, dime flakes, here. I ran to the store an hour ago and still had ice all over my truck. Definitely not following the forecast temp curve so far. I see KIND pulled the trigger on a WWA for their far northern counties. Still think we could eek out 4 maybe 5 out of this. Classic setup for MBY to over perform. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 On 2/15/2025 at 7:39 PM, Stebo said: Wouldn't be an event without a shitty dry HRRR run Expand I guess iwx bought it cause their wwa only is calling for 2 to 4 here lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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