HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Posting 10:1 so that I don't get hunted down due to Kuchera maps 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 I see Detroit has been NAM'd... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 19 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: 850 closes off too late, but stepped towards a more ukmet solution there for sure It did end up similar to the UKMET for eastern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Refreshing to see the 18z HRRR actually improve from the 12z run at this timeframe. This whole thing still feels tenuous but I’ll be happy with an inch @Chicago Storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Is this system currently coming ashore now in cali? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 16 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: Is this system currently coming ashore now in cali? That would be correct. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 The 18z RGEM is also looking more similar to the UKMET and NAM, for what little it's worth... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 GFS is a big step in the right direction 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18z Ukie a touch stronger/northwest with the low Saturday night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 At this rate, starting to feel like I wanna be further west than Detroit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Malacka11 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 5 minutes ago, Stevo6899 said: At this rate, starting to feel like I wanna be further west than Detroit. You mean like Chicago 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18z GEFS more amped. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 11 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: 18z GEFS more amped. Is it too much to ask for a couple more bumps? Fully sampled now so no surprises but the trend actually feels like a trend not intra model wobbles. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Just now, A-L-E-K said: Is it too much to ask for a couple more bumps? Fully sampled now so no surprises but the trend actually feels like a trend not intra model wobbles. Feels like the next model run is make or break. Lately that's where model downtrends have started and continued. Fingers crossed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Praying this continues and we all get good snow from this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 13 Author Share Posted February 13 4 minutes ago, Chicago916 said: Feels like the next model run is make or break. Lately that's where model downtrends have started and continued. Fingers crossed. 0z runs of the winter for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary67 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 12 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Is it too much to ask for a couple more bumps? Fully sampled now so no surprises but the trend actually feels like a trend not intra model wobbles. Yeah, seems that way. There's been a few models, some bad models, that have liked the idea of this storm. But getting the EC and GFS on board would be reassuring. Hopefully their respective ensembles are leading the way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 15 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: Fully sampled now so no surprises. Not yet... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago916 Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Patiently waiting for the 18z Euro to load up and for someone to happily or sadly post it... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 18z Euro 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 MPX is bullish. Point and click has 3.1” imby. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Euro was a step forward with the low location 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 This is our moment. 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 No idea what to expect between the two waves out here. Range basically from nothing at all to 6"+ depending on which model you look at. No real trend one direction vs the other either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Starting to look kind of DABish to me for this area. WAA looks like it has weakened or shifted north compared to earlier model cycles which clobbered us with potent band of intense WAA snows. The Saturday stuff looks like a strung out POS mess until things organize off to the east. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Toronto (downtown) greatest snow depth in modern times is probably 65 cm on Jan 15, 1999, following 38 cm snow 2nd, 21 cm 12th and 29 cm 14-15th. No snow depth is available in older records but march 1870 and Feb 1846 may have had similar conditions. In Feb 1846 (measured in inches) Feb 11-12 9.0", Feb 15-16 12.0", 17-18 2.5" and 20-21 added 22.0" ... temps were generally below freezing so the total snowfall of 44.5" must have been at least 3/4 on the ground at end of the snowy period. It was followed by record cold Feb 26-28 (lows of -12, -16 and -17 F) and it stayed cold in march although with very little additional snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 Somewhat desperate times I guess, but here's the 18z GGEM. Hits NE IN, NW OH and SE MI pretty good. Decent for the rest of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 14 Share Posted February 14 1 minute ago, Chicago WX said: Somewhat desperate times I guess, but here's the 18z GGEM. Hits NW OH and SE MI pretty good. Decent for the rest of us. For as strong as the low is, the lack of cold sector precip on some models is a worry but long ways to go but not really lol. 2 days is an eternity as far as potential changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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