HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Two event total on the Euro would make most peeps here happy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Well, it’d make southern lower Michigan people happy, that’s for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 EPS like GEFS with some slower/deeper solutions that allow h5 heights in the east to rise enough for a decent cut, would be nice to see some consistent small steps that direction vs the opposite for once 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 25 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said: EPS like GEFS with some slower/deeper solutions that allow h5 heights in the east to rise enough for a decent cut, would be nice to see some consistent small steps that direction vs the opposite for once After how this Wed system is panning out I am not holding much faith 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 35 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: Well, it’d make southern lower Michigan people happy, that’s for sure. We haven't had a winter storm warning in over 2 years, we need something. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 18 minutes ago, Stebo said: We haven't had a winter storm warning in over 2 years, we need something. lol, we haven’t been setting records over here either. Just thought it was funny seeing the comment and then looking at the map of 12-18” across the southern half of lower Michigan. All the while I was just super ecstatic with my 8.3”. Which I’d take, but you know… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6 minutes ago, Chicago WX said: lol, we haven’t been setting records over here either. Just thought it was funny seeing the comment and then looking at the map of 12-18” across the southern half of lower Michigan. All the while I was just super ecstatic with my 8.3”. Which I’d take, but you know… Yeah you and us up here have been in the same boat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 hour ago, Stebo said: We haven't had a winter storm warning in over 2 years, we need something. Wasn't Jan 12, 2024 a warning? If not I'd assume Mar 3 2023 was the last 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 hour ago, Stebo said: We haven't had a winter storm warning in over 2 years, we need something. I would feel pretty confident in Northern Ohio for this one. Looks like a solid 6-12” in that main swath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 25 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Wasn't Jan 12, 2024 a warning? If not I'd assume Mar 3 2023 was the last I double checked IEM to be certain, and 1/12/24 was *NOT* a warning. 3/3/23 was the one that had a late upgrade to a Warning, and DTX came pretty darn close to pulling the trigger on a Blizzard Warning before mixing occurred (it was *THAT* close to being a biggie). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 I guess I'll be rooting for this. Or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 35 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I would feel pretty confident in Northern Ohio for this one. Looks like a solid 6-12” in that main swath I don't know how anybody could be confident in anything more than day out nowadays. Just yesterday a lot of the models had this first storm tracking west of Toledo. It's most likely not gonna track close to near that. The good news is it looks like there's going to be a pretty legit snow for somebody. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vpbob21 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 34 minutes ago, nwohweather said: I would feel pretty confident in Northern Ohio for this one. Looks like a solid 6-12” in that main swath I wish I could be as confident as you are. Certainly there is big time potential here but plenty that can go wrong. Last few GFS runs have been pretty good but I don't know if that's a good thing or a bad thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 this is not an inspiring look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 As currently modeled... and I'm sure it'll change 19 times... looks like a long duration snow event for parts of the sub starting early Saturday and ending Sunday with lake effect snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I would gladly take 0z gfs especially after how this current system took a crap on me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, Radtechwxman said: I would gladly take 0z gfs especially after how this current system took a crap on me I’d make sweet love to that 0z gfs run. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 That GFS run would have much more snow than what it was showing via 500mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DocATL Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Is there any point in looking at this before Thursday? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, DocATL said: Is there any point in looking at this before Thursday? . Nope. Lol. I'm sure it will crap out to. I'm using reverse psychology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 this is not an inspiring look.autocorrect killed that one.it IS an inspiring look. some very obvious similarities to the current setup, but also some glaring differences as well. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNiño Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, Radtechwxman said: Nope. Lol. I'm sure it will crap out to. I'm using reverse psychology Yeah I totally don’t want this system to pan out. Especially if it bullseyes over GPS coordinates 42.588081, -87.822899 hitting in the morning for a long duration event into the next morning with a foot+ and some bonus lake effect on the backend.. That would suck and I definitely want a massive shift south in the last 48hrs. I’m feeling pretty confident. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, TheNiño said: Yeah I totally don’t want this system to pan out. Especially if it bullseyes over GPS coordinates 42.588081, -87.822899 hitting in the morning for a long duration event into the next morning with a foot+ and some bonus lake effect on the backend.. That would suck and I definitely want a massive shift south in the last 48hrs. I’m feeling pretty confident. That's the spirit! WAGONS SOUTH 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torchageddon Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said: autocorrect killed that one. it IS an inspiring look. some very obvious similarities to the current setup, but also some glaring differences as well. Curious, what autocorrect adds an adverb like not? I would ditch a corrector that ever did that! My guess is based on frequency of "is" vs "is not" used with inspiring. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
madwx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Interesting evolution. We get hit with the lead shortwave/WAA on Friday and then are shut out the rest of the weekend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Curious, what autocorrect adds an adverb like not? I would ditch a corrector that ever did that! My guess is based on frequency of "is" vs "is not" used with inspiring.half of the time i just type and don’t even look before hitting send. so, who knows what I actually put to switch to that. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 17 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: EPS like GEFS with some slower/deeper solutions that allow h5 heights in the east to rise enough for a decent cut, would be nice to see some consistent small steps that direction vs the opposite for once couple solid op runs and 6z GEFS rolling out decent hoping we can keep baby stepping (sharper/slower trough, bigger eastern ridge) to take this in a more notable direction 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Euro doesn't seem as on board with gfs with a more wound up/north precip shield. WAA snows could be interesting Fri night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomp2mp Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 18 hours ago, Stebo said: We haven't had a winter storm warning in over 2 years, we need something. pretty wild stat, but now it's been 0 days (at least for you) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AWMT30 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 9 minutes ago, thomp2mp said: pretty wild stat, but now it's been 0 days (at least for you) You will get upgraded up there in Oakland later this morning with how trends are going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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