A-L-E-K Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Ashes to ashes dust to dust 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Has potential but Wednesday/Thursday will dictate the path a bit. Still noteworthy solutions being put out though at this junction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 8 minutes ago, Stebo said: Has potential but Wednesday/Thursday will dictate the path a bit. Still noteworthy solutions being put out though at this junction. Saturdays system seems more W to E whereas Wednesdays is more SW to NE. What kind of effect will the first storm have on the second? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said: Saturdays system seems more W to E whereas Wednesdays is more SW to NE. What kind of effect will the first storm have on the second? Usually the low tracks south of the snow pack, it's not always but with sliders W-E it does more often than not. Also too the storm Wednesday will leave back some blocked/confluence too, which is why it is more on a W-E path. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12z GEM going all in totals for BOTH storms 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 ride it^ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 this one is more interesting to me. Highest probability is that it's too far north for mby, but it's a convoluted set up and seems like models are having trouble figuring out where the dominant low eventually forms and tracks. The nao will be neutral, the AO is in the tank, the PNA is positive, and the mjo will be in 8, so I don't think a cut up into the lakes is that likely, but still could come too far north for the i-70 crowd. Also depends on what this weeks storm does. Very rare to see back to back storms take a similar track within 72 hours of each other. Models love to show that kind of porn but reality is usually a different story. At least something to track though. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imneversatisfied Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 32 minutes ago, buckeye said: this one is more interesting to me. Highest probability is that it's too far north for mby, but it's a convoluted set up and seems like models are having trouble figuring out where the dominant low eventually forms and tracks. The nao will be neutral, the AO is in the tank, the PNA is positive, and the mjo will be in 8, so I don't think a cut up into the lakes is that likely, but still could come too far north for the i-70 crowd. Also depends on what this weeks storm does. Very rare to see back to back storms take a similar track within 72 hours of each other. Models love to show that kind of porn but reality is usually a different story. At least something to track though. I've been addicted to model porn since I was 12 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 4 minutes ago, Imneversatisfied said: I've been addicted to model porn since I was 12 lol So while all of your friends were seeking out real porn, you were seeking out the rain/snow line. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciascia Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 10 minutes ago, Imneversatisfied said: I've been addicted to model porn since I was 12 lol When your parents popped into your room, you had to minimize that GFS page so fast! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Could be a proper snow on snow event. Not like a dusting on top of an inch either. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 euro swing and a miss but not far from something bigger 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, Sciascia said: When your parents popped into your room, you had to minimize that GFS page so fast! Now it's the boss walking into my cubicle. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 This one can just fuck right off. I have an 11am flight out of O'Hare on Sunday morning. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 0Z GFS has this one becoming an actual storm again 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Not digging how this one comes together overhead. Any delay in that and will be a complete whiff to the east for this area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, cyclone77 said: Not digging how this one comes together overhead. Any delay in that and will be a complete whiff to the east for this area. mixed feelings and low confidence overall at this point but the initial waa surge at 850 over the plains on vday is p robust if anything, i suspect there will be some quality, if short lived, waa snows somewhere in our region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 19 hours ago, roardog said: So while all of your friends were seeking out real porn, you were seeking out the rain/snow line. I honestly don't know what would be more embarrassing as a teenage boy.....getting busted at 2am surfing pornhub or getting busted at 2am surfing the 00z euro run. 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
King James Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 I honestly don't know what would be more embarrassing as a teenage boy.....getting busted at 2am surfing pornhub or getting busted at 2am surfing the 00z euro run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12Z GFS clobbers Cleveland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12z GFS was so close to something really huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 minutes ago, Stebo said: 12z GFS was so close to something really huge. It's weird the low pressure system pretty much just gets shunted East as there must be confluence to the north. Usually in that case we see the low weakening but it doesn't lose strength as it shoots ENE. Doesn't really transfer energy either. Interesting trajectory/orientation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 15 minutes ago, Stebo said: 12z GFS was so close to something really huge. Same on the Canadian, a small shift would be an epic widespread footer for all of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 11 Author Share Posted February 11 need a bit more than a small shift imby but still some potential on the table 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 This one has a bit of that "bowling ball" look which can really lead to some fun times. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12z Euro bring the Saturday storm back into the picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 There’s some heavy hitters on the GEFS. Not sure I can stand to track this one as closely as Wednesday night’s storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McHenrySnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 minute ago, sbnwx85 said: There’s some heavy hitters on the GEFS. Not sure I can stand to track this one as closely as Wednesday night’s storm. Another heartbreak, I'm sure. I was so excited for the possibility of a 12" snowcover this weekend. I'll be lucky to have 1/2 that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Low floor, high ceiling. But this probably won’t be for the faint of heart. I’ll probably check back in on Friday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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