snowgeek Posted Sunday at 02:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:31 PM 2.75” here just SE of Albany with a little crusty layer in the middle. NWS forecast was 7-11”. Ooops. Culprit was the dry air and I imagine that band to the north up near Saratoga where they reported around a foot gave us a little subsidence?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted Sunday at 02:39 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 02:39 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Sunday at 02:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:43 PM 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted Sunday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:44 PM Just now, Ginx snewx said: Pretty decent negative bust for SNE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Sunday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:46 PM Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Pretty decent negative bust for SNE Better than 33 and rain 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted Sunday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:49 PM 1 hour ago, jculligan said: Snow just about wrapping up here in Salem NH with 6.9" total for the event. 13" OTG at the moment. Right about 7" here too in Windham. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Sunday at 02:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:50 PM @The 4 Seasons4” here in Southington. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted Sunday at 03:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:00 PM 9 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: @The 4 Seasons4” here in Southington. I love his map...always look forward to it. Best part of the later obs pages. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted Sunday at 03:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:01 PM Snow winding down as sun breaking out. Just measured 9". Like someone emptied a giant down pillow over the landscape. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
met_fan Posted Sunday at 03:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:05 PM 2-1/2”…yeesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Sunday at 03:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:06 PM Not sure I even ended up with 4-5” here but anyways, I think this storm went about as well as it could have forecasting wise. I love these storms because there are so many different processes involved and it really takes a good bit of time to digest everything and then try and simulate in your head how things will play out. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterSnow Posted Sunday at 03:09 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:09 PM I looked outside and thought "no way was this a 6 inch storm". I measured about 4 inches. Guess I must have cursed myself yesterday when I said "Will tonight's storm even produce more than 4 inches? Crossing my fingers.". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
monadnocks Posted Sunday at 03:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:10 PM 6.5 here 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Sunday at 03:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:15 PM mm I wonder ... those areas from VT/NH that received the 6-8" might have done it purely on ratio and not on more liq equiv. I also report a mid event period of ZR in this system's 5.25"belly depths. It's not a lot... granted. It's thin, but, it does hold stack height down a little, and... just be virtue of a warm layer intrusion possibly interfering some with the DGZ level, might atone for the couple of inches less down here. In other words, if judging this event purely based on snow depth, the real bust is actually that it was not all snow - you know? interesting. If all snow, the 6-8" might have been more successful. The surface temperatures never moved here throughout the crux of the heavier fall rates. 26Fer .. there was a tuck of sorts later on as we did briefly dip to 24 for a couple hours prior to dawn during those couple of super fluff inches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted Sunday at 03:16 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:16 PM 9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Not sure I even ended up with 4-5” here but anyways, I think this storm went about as well as it could have forecasting wise. I love these storms because there are so many different processes involved and it really takes a good bit of time to digest everything and then try and simulate in your head how things will play out. I’m so disappointed I didn’t just stick with 4-8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted Sunday at 03:18 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:18 PM 46 minutes ago, snowgeek said: 2.75” here just SE of Albany with a little crusty layer in the middle. NWS forecast was 7-11”. Ooops. Culprit was the dry air and I imagine that band to the north up near Saratoga where they reported around a foot gave us a little subsidence? . That is a pretty sizable bust for your area. I’m not sure any model showed that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Sunday at 03:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:28 PM nws went 8-12" here iirc, and barely hit 5" with the weenie band at the end. big bust 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Sunday at 03:30 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:30 PM 8.6”/0.49” final 18:1 champagne 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted Sunday at 03:41 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:41 PM 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: 8.6”/0.49” final 18:1 champagne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Sunday at 03:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:43 PM Just now, OceanStWx said: It’s one of those deals where you throw a shovel full into a fresh snow bank and it actually goes down. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Sunday at 03:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:43 PM 23 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I’m so disappointed I didn’t just stick with 4-8. This one had a lot of flags present, plus we have a long-standing history of knowing how these events roll. Unless you’re into the heaviest banding for a longer duration, go low. Once again Bufkit, NAM, GFS, and HRRR (as we got into its range) did a phenomenal job illustrating how this would pan out. Now, bufkit isn’t the holy gospel, if the model doesn’t have banding go over that location say, well then it will be way off, however, that’s something you factor in when making a forecast. Anyways, just like last week, most locations on bufkit literally had 2-3 hours of heavy snow with rates ~1”+ per hour, outside that window rates were barely even 0.50” per hour and hardly even above 0.2”. QPF maps have to be used with extreme caution in these fast moving events too. You really have to nail down, of that QPF how much is being maximized efficiently? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Sunday at 03:49 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:49 PM 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: This one had a lot of flags present, plus we have a long-standing history of knowing how these events roll. Unless you’re into the heaviest banding for a longer duration, go low. Once again Bufkit, NAM, GFS, and HRRR (as we got into its range) did a phenomenal job illustrating how this would pan out. Now, bufkit isn’t the holy gospel, if the model doesn’t have banding go over that location say, well then it will be way off, however, that’s something you factor in when making a forecast. Anyways, just like last week, most locations on bufkit literally had 2-3 hours of heavy snow with rates ~1”+ per hour, outside that window rates were barely even 0.50” per hour and hardly even above 0.2”. QPF maps have to be used with extreme caution in these fast moving events too. You really have to nail down, of that QPF how much is being maximized efficiently? GFS QPF was bong worthy down there. This was your 00z 12hr QPF with the event already underway and then actual totals. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Sunday at 03:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:54 PM Still some under the radar mood flakes. Slow motion parachutes. Nice vibe 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 03:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:55 PM About 4.5 will do it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted Sunday at 03:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:56 PM About 4 inches here. BDR measured 5 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted Sunday at 03:57 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 03:57 PM 55 minutes ago, Patrick-02540 said: I love his map...always look forward to it. Best part of the later obs pages. Thanks! good to hear because they are a lot of work. 4.3" was the final here in North Haven. Despite the higher report on the PNS, which is no surprise i know who it is. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted Sunday at 03:57 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 03:57 PM 1 minute ago, Brian5671 said: About 4 inches here. BDR measured 5 . not bad for BDR, pretty solid for the shore. BDL got absolute porked, massive bust there. 2.4" BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msg112469 Posted Sunday at 03:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:58 PM 1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Pretty decent negative bust for SNE Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted Sunday at 03:59 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 03:59 PM 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: About 4.5 will do it not terrible...the warning event still eludes us hopefully we get one before the end of the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted Sunday at 04:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 04:04 PM 14 minutes ago, dendrite said: GFS QPF was bong worthy down there. This was your 00z 12hr QPF with the event already underway and then actual totals. Yeah not sure what was going on with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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