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Feb 8-9th Snow, Sleet, ZR OBS Thread


The 4 Seasons
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  On 2/9/2025 at 3:16 PM, WxWatcher007 said:

I’m so disappointed I didn’t just stick with 4-8. 

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still was too high but ofc would have been better. Working on a map now..this was 3-6 for almost all of CT

 

  On 2/9/2025 at 3:49 PM, dendrite said:

GFS QPF was bong worthy down there. This was your 00z 12hr QPF with the event already underway and then actual totals. 
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IMG_1418.jpeg

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S CT was pretty wet. 0.5-0.8 there. 

Screenshot 2025-02-09 093658.png

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  On 2/9/2025 at 4:07 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro had .80 here at 18z. Both blew Jack dick 

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HRRR nailed it for CT within 5 hours of start.  Quick 3 hour shot, followed by the sleet depiction - which was basically the dry slot working in.  I ended with a very thin Creme Brule coating on top of about 3.3" 

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  On 2/9/2025 at 4:13 PM, ineedsnow said:

its weird how the HRRR  precip maps showed sleet yesterday but soundings looked like all snow.. maybe the soundings were off but showing correctly on precip maps?

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Could it be that you don't get crystal/flake growth, and that's what it shows as sleet/ice pellets?

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  On 2/9/2025 at 4:13 PM, ineedsnow said:

its weird how the HRRR  precip maps showed sleet yesterday but soundings looked like all snow.. maybe the soundings were off but showing correctly on precip maps?

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Yeah that was very odd.

  On 2/9/2025 at 4:09 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Was hoping to have double this but there’s been snowcover on the ground more often than not this winter around here . And with some meat in these last two and a few more light - moderate events this week.. I’ll take it

mE2TWxK.jpeg

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You know you have something solid when you’re shoveling with both an icy layer on top and blue in the meat of the pack. It should last a while. 

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  On 2/9/2025 at 4:13 PM, Patrick-02540 said:

HRRR nailed it for CT within 5 hours of start.  Quick 3 hour shot, followed by the sleet depiction - which was basically the dry slot working in.  I ended with a very thin Creme Brule coating on top of about 3.3" 

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I don’t think I had any sleet here. There was a tiny glaze of zr crust though 

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  On 2/9/2025 at 4:06 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

As Tip mentioned, the sleet might have been just enough for some of us to miss the 6" warning threshold.  

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 I assume you and others realize that missing 6” due to sleet is deceptive since water content is same and sleet is more durable and problematic on roads than snow. Shouldn’t warning threshold in theory be lower if % that’s sleet is higher? Example: 3” snow and 2” of sleet (5” total) is a bigger deal on roads than 6” or even 7” of pure snow.

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  On 2/9/2025 at 4:19 PM, GaWx said:

 I assume you and others realize that missing 6” due to sleet is deceptive since water content is same and sleet is more durable and problematic on roads than snow. Shouldn’t warning threshold in theory be lower if % that’s sleet is higher? Example: 3” snow and 2” of sleet (5” total) is a bigger deal on roads than 6” or even 7” of pure snow.

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I think impact-wise it makes sense but it’s really hard to verify so the snowfall threshold is just easier to stick with. 

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