OceanStWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:04 PM, TheMainer said: We're flying out of BGR direct to Daytona Thursday at 10:30am, might be a tad hairy, but BGR is a better airport in the snow than most others id believe. Expand Well, it's got a really long runway so you're less likely to slide off it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:04 PM, TheMainer said: We're flying out of BGR direct to Daytona Thursday at 10:30am, might be a tad hairy, but BGR is a better airport in the snow than most others id believe. Damn, going down for the 500? You lucky mofoSent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metagraphica Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 2:38 PM, MJO812 said: Expand This reflectivity depiction looks remarkably similar to what we just had this past Saturday/Sunday. (no idea if the 500mb is similar though) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Looks like an inch … maybe 2 at most to ice to slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like an inch … maybe 2 at most to ice to slot Expand Yep, weak sauce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:15 PM, metagraphica said: This reflectivity looks remarkably similar to what we just had this past Saturday/Sunday. (no idea if the 500mb is similar though)I'll take 2Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like an inch … maybe 2 at most to ice to slot Expand Most of us will get above 32 I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:23 PM, CoastalWx said: Most of us will get above 32 I think. Yeah most likely, if I hit one inch that would be a miracle... Sent from my SM-S156V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:23 PM, CoastalWx said: Most of us will get above 32 I think. Expand Prob not until precip is all done over interior...looks like a fast slot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 2:13 PM, CoastalWx said: I'd pay close attn there tomorrow night. NAM has a real strong fronto sig there despite the lack luster QPF. I still would not be shocked if snow kisses to BDR-FMH corridor. Expand I could see MV scoring a couple..700 fronto does look strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 12:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Gfs works but it’s the snowiest. Not sure that will be realistic. Expand I don't think the GFS is worth using at this point. It's been horrific all winter with overdoing QPF and it tried to give us a KU last month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:33 PM, H2Otown_WX said: I don't think the GFS is worth using at this point. It's been horrific all winter with overdoing QPF and it tried to give us a KU last month. Expand They’re all bad. Buyer beware. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 2:02 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, morale of the story is that they were both nuciance variety inconveniences that sucked. Expand A nuisance with inconvenient timing for commute, school drop off etc. yay 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:35 PM, WxWatcher007 said: They’re all bad. Buyer beware. Expand Correct!!..they all are... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Every last one of them, Just stick with bad ones for now and toss the terrible ones. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:37 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: A nuisance with inconvenient timing for commute, school drop off etc. yay Expand Back in the day no one cared because it was expected that there was going to be bad weather during winter. Certainly, schools would not have been closed like they were last Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:35 PM, WxWatcher007 said: They’re all bad. Buyer beware. Expand True, I can’t say any one model has been dead nuts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:41 PM, Great Snow 1717 said: Back in the day no one cared because it was expected that there was going to be bad weather during winter. Certainly, schools would not have been closed like they were last Thursday Expand Yeah, I'm assuming schools won't cancel Thursday, just a pain if we get 2" followed by freezing rain. Probably a two hour delay though out here if that happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:44 PM, Kitz Craver said: True, I can’t say any one model has been dead nuts Expand Euro AI? Certainly not dead nuts..but better than most? Or no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:14 PM, OceanStWx said: Well, it's got a really long runway so you're less likely to slide off it. Expand Long enough to have landed the space shuttle. In the early 1980s a couple of co-workers (one a private pilot) were flying back to BGR after a forestry conference in NM and there was a wicked crosswind. The jet hit a bit hard and bounced, that wind caught and lifted the right wing, and the airplane was significantly tilted. The private pilot thought "here we go!" but the crew up front realized they had another 10,000 feet of runway, plenty of time to juice the jets and stabilize the craft without needing a go-around. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:37 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: A nuisance with inconvenient timing for commute, school drop off etc. yay Expand Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12z GFS little more robust with the qpf on Thursday, 0.50"+ or so. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:56 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Exactly. Expand Back in the day there were more of those types of storms..people got spoiled by the storms that produced a lot of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:33 PM, H2Otown_WX said: I don't think the GFS is worth using at this point. It's been horrific all winter with overdoing QPF and it tried to give us a KU last month. Expand It isn't just the GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:56 PM, dryslot said: 12z GFS little more robust with the qpf on Thursday, 0.50"+ or so. Expand looks like 4 to 6 or so we take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 GFS is def juicier but don’t buy it until there’s more support. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:02 PM, UnitedWx said: It isn't just the GFS... Expand If my memory is serving me well, at one point it had 50's and 60's for last Thursday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:51 PM, WinterWolf said: Euro AI? Certainly not dead nuts..but better than most? Or no? Expand It has been decent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 4:03 PM, ORH_wxman said: GFS is def juicier but don’t buy it until there’s more support. Expand It’ll juice until the day of and then cut and slash 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 On 2/10/2025 at 3:52 PM, tamarack said: Long enough to have landed the space shuttle. In the early 1980s a couple of co-workers (one a private pilot) were flying back to BGR after a forestry conference in NM and there was a wicked crosswind. The jet hit a bit hard and bounced, that wind caught and lifted the right wing, and the airplane was significantly tilted. The private pilot thought "here we go!" but the crew up front realized they had another 10,000 feet of runway, plenty of time to juice the jets and stabilize the craft without needing a go-around. Expand Well non stabilized approach, you're ALWAYS supposed to go around. I don't want to fly with those pilots! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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