Damage In Tolland Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 10 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Yeah... I wouldn't say no to that. I do wish it wasn't alone in that depiction among the more solid players 18z Euro was thumpier and better 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Gfs has a decent thump. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 RGEM was quite nice too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 32 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said: RGEM was quite nice too Good thump before it changes to sleet/rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 06z GFS continues to give advisory levels snows to parts of SNE before changing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 06z GFS continues to give advisory levels snows to parts of SNE before changing Pike north Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 53 minutes ago, Modfan2 said: Pike north Lol Nah GFS has a thump to slot/freezing drizzle for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Obviously “thump” in quotations, lol. Haven’t really had a true thump yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Gfs works but it’s the snowiest. Not sure that will be realistic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Let’s weaken that primary sooner and have secondary take over. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Hopefully can keep it below freezing thruout 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 ICON shoots above freezing towards the end of the precip, but the amount is very paltry... barely even nuisance level Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Best case this close in is big thump for all. 6” where it is all snow and 2-4 sne ending with preserving crust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 This remainds me of alot of that Sunday night, Feb 2 event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This remainds me of alot of that Sunday night, Feb 2 event. 2/6 last Thursday might be the best match....a little colder maybe but similar paltry QPF and paltry dynamics....unless we get a bit more shift eastward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: 2/6 last Thursday might be the best match....a little colder maybe but similar paltry QPF and paltry dynamics....unless we get a bit more shift eastward. I don't want to go all Wankum, but with it mostly happening at night, will that help at all? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Thursday looks meh. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 11 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I don't want to go all Wankum, but with it mostly happening at night, will that help at all? Help with what? accumulations? Limiting factor is QPF, not cold. Maybe it helps marginally during light rates. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 The secondary really never gets going so far on the models which makes this paltry on qpf and keeps the airmass marginal with that strong primary that far to the west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: The secondary really never gets going so far on the models which makes this paltry on qpf and keeps the airmass marginal with that strong primary that far to the west. It has that stuck between 2 areas of forcing look here. Primary too far west and secondary too far SE. A mid week nuisance stat padder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 30 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 2/6 last Thursday might be the best match....a little colder maybe but similar paltry QPF and paltry dynamics....unless we get a bit more shift eastward. Yea, morale of the story is that they were both nuciance variety inconveniences that sucked. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 10 minutes ago, dendrite said: It has that stuck between 2 areas of forcing look here. Primary too far west and secondary too far SE. A mid week nuisance stat padder. Yes, And it looks like were caught in between, Need the secondary to take over and sooner rather then later. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 My P&C must be weighing the GFS heavily, still has 5.5” of snow by Thursday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Losing Tuesday was brutal down here. Maybe an inch on front end Thursday if lucky, while Sunday looks like shite. Hopefully something like the 6z Euro-AI pans out for next week and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 This is pretty well set as a minoring snow to mix to crud while waiting for a polar boundary to swoop back through and sinter whatever it is that's on the ground - some of which might rapid melt if there is a 42-ish temp burst for awhile as the front first comes through and CAA is typically lagged by a little. System is ultimately weak, and ultimately moving too fast to really be much of an impact beyond that pedestrian sort of inconvenience. Also, like the last couple of events in this ludicrous speed flow, it will probably also attenuate if not just fail QPF realization by some 20 or 30% - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 minute ago, SouthCoastMA said: Losing Tuesday was brutal down here. Maybe an inch on front end Thursday if lucky, while Sunday looks like shite. Hopefully something like the 6z Euro-AI pans out for next week and beyond. I'd pay close attn there tomorrow night. NAM has a real strong fronto sig there despite the lack luster QPF. I still would not be shocked if snow kisses to BDR-FMH corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 NAM going to be a little warmer I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Thursday looks meh. Hope so, as my wife is scheduled to fly home from FL (visiting her sister there) on Thursday. Morning AFD from GYX has the storm a bit earlier than previous discussions, snow mostly done by early afternoon. Her flight is scheduled to land at BGR about 5 PM, which probably would be okay, unless that airplane is doing 2 St. Pete/BGR cycles (don't think so), which would mean a BGR takeoff about 9 AM on cycle #1. Another low-QPF fluff event would be fine. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheMainer Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, tamarack said: Hope so, as my wife is scheduled to fly home from FL (visiting her sister there) on Thursday. Morning AFD from GYX has the storm a bit earlier than previous discussions, snow mostly done by early afternoon. Her flight is scheduled to land at BGR about 5 PM, which probably would be okay, unless that airplane is doing 2 St. Pete/BGR cycles (don't think so), which would mean a BGR takeoff about 9 AM on cycle #1. Another low-QPF fluff event would be fine. We're flying out of BGR direct to Daytona Thursday at 10:30am, might be a tad hairy, but BGR is a better airport in the snow than most others id believe. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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