HoarfrostHubb Posted Saturday at 04:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:30 PM In between the weekend events (hopefully) much of New England looks like it will get…something Wednesday night into Thursday timing/details TBD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Saturday at 04:35 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:35 PM Good job threading this! up here might be a 6-10er with a crust especially if dry slot is delayed or avoided. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Saturday at 04:38 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 04:38 PM It will get some meat into the pack, regardless. I hope whatever happens doesn’t screw up the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Saturday at 05:00 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:00 PM This was the one that tip thought could be a nice surprise if our attention was totally focused on next weekend. I wonder if he’s still thinking that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted Saturday at 05:06 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:06 PM Not looking good for south of Rt 2. Of course, lots of time for this to trend more/less messy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted Saturday at 06:19 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:19 PM Need it bumped south a bit for us to get in the good stuff down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 07:54 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:54 PM Siggy interior ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:15 PM 21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Siggy interior ice Not sure the QPF is gonna be there unless we trend that vort back east just a bit. It’s like half an inch of QPF (or even less on some guidance). But if we trend the vort back east a bit more, then we end up with a larger/snowier thump. The orientation of the high and redeveloping low isn’t ideal for prolonged big icing. There will def be some ZR but then we dryslot pretty quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted Saturday at 11:06 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:06 PM Question, would the 18z gfs solution for this storm be considered a cutter, miller b or something else? People are calling it a cutter on another board im on, but when I think of cutters I think of what the Euro has for the 20th. Low plowing into the lakes with no secondary redevelopment. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 11:32 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:32 PM 24 minutes ago, George001 said: Question, would the 18z gfs solution for this storm be considered a cutter, miller b or something else? People are calling it a cutter on another board im on, but when I think of cutters I think of what the Euro has for the 20th. Low plowing into the lakes with no secondary redevelopment. It’s basically a cutter but with CAD/redevelopment so we never warm sector. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 12:05 AM Share Posted Sunday at 12:05 AM 18z euro looked a little thumpier down into CT this run…still not a big system but maybe advisory snows before a flip to IP/ZR and a quick dryslot. Keep an eye on that main vort…if that can trend just a shade east, prob would increase snowfall non-linearly. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted Sunday at 02:55 AM Share Posted Sunday at 02:55 AM 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z euro looked a little thumpier down into CT this run…still not a big system but maybe advisory snows before a flip to IP/ZR and a quick dryslot. Keep an eye on that main vort…if that can trend just a shade east, prob would increase snowfall non-linearly. Interesting the 12th is trending NW 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 05:40 AM Share Posted Sunday at 05:40 AM 5 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z euro looked a little thumpier down into CT this run…still not a big system but maybe advisory snows before a flip to IP/ZR and a quick dryslot. Keep an eye on that main vort…if that can trend just a shade east, prob would increase snowfall non-linearly. And now 00z back to being much warmer. This one has been tough on guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted Sunday at 08:54 AM Share Posted Sunday at 08:54 AM 3 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: And now 00z back to being much warmer. This one has been tough on guidance. Trying to bring back Tuesday though...the kevin coop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted Sunday at 11:43 AM Share Posted Sunday at 11:43 AM 2 hours ago, JC-CT said: Trying to bring back Tuesday though...the kevin coop Tuesday ain't happening. Hopefuly Wednesday night will force a snowday on Thursday. Hoping for the big dog over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted Sunday at 11:48 AM Share Posted Sunday at 11:48 AM 4 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Tuesday ain't happening. Hopefuly Wednesday night will force a snowday on Thursday. Hoping for the big dog over the weekend. Tuesday wouldn't be big, or for you m 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 12:19 PM Share Posted Sunday at 12:19 PM 3 hours ago, JC-CT said: Trying to bring back Tuesday though...the kevin coop Yeah looks like a nice 1-3” type refresh though I would not be shocked if it kept coming north to get that north of pike and south gets 2-4”. Ensemble support to varying degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 01:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:01 PM 06z euro has about 3” of snow and then a shot of IP/ZR before slotting. QPF looks pretty meh. We need to get more vorticity eastward on this one to make it a little higher impact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 01:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:04 PM 45 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah looks like a nice 1-3” type refresh though I would not be shocked if it kept coming north to get that north of pike and south gets 2-4”. Ensemble support to varying degrees That’s a miss too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 01:05 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:05 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: That’s a miss too Everything except GFS has snow south of pike. Nice little refresher Tuesday night here anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 01:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:06 PM Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Everything except GFS has snow south of pike. Nice little refresher Tuesday night here anyway I’d sell maybe a dusting. Buckle up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 01:06 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:06 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: I’d sell maybe a dusting. Buckle up. Euro keeps inching north. We’ll watch and see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 01:10 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:10 PM One thing for certain.. no big snowstorms this winter. Maybe a few lucky bands but this is the year of the meat grinder coming east 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Sunday at 01:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:17 PM I think there are some confusion about this thread. It is for the Wednesday night Thursday not the Tuesday thing. I’m hoping we will get some clarity later this afternoon on what this looks like. For about five or six days it’s looked like maybe a 4 to 8 inch storm up this way at least. Not sure if it’s still there in that form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Sunday at 01:19 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:19 PM 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: One thing for certain.. no big snowstorms this winter. Maybe a few lucky bands but this is the year of the meat grinder coming east Decaying big block should produce KU in next couple weeks. I’m just repeating what others have said but it certainly makes sense. This is a good pattern for getting snow in different ways. Right now we’re in the 07-08 phase which is painful at times for people south of the New Hampshire border, but very productive up here. I would think the pattern would shift in your favor in a week or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Sunday at 01:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:46 PM 26 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Decaying big block should produce KU in next couple weeks. I’m just repeating what others have said but it certainly makes sense. This is a good pattern for getting snow in different ways. Right now we’re in the 07-08 phase which is painful at times for people south of the New Hampshire border, but very productive up here. I would think the pattern would shift in your favor in a week or so Not sure it’s a KU look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Sunday at 01:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:47 PM Just now, CoastalWx said: Not sure it’s a KU look More an FU? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Sunday at 01:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 01:55 PM 35 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I think there are some confusion about this thread. It is for the Wednesday night Thursday not the Tuesday thing. I’m hoping we will get some clarity later this afternoon on what this looks like. For about five or six days it’s looked like maybe a 4 to 8 inch storm up this way at least. Not sure if it’s still there in that form. Unless this moves east in the final few days, take the under on 4-8….it’s like 0.3-0.5 QPF and then dryslot. Primary a couple days ago was going through PIT and dying around ROC/SYR, but now it’s going up through CLE and dying near Toronto. We don’t get that healthier and more dynamic WCB when it’s that far west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 02:02 PM I don’t see it as a big snow producer (Weds/Thurs). 1-3” with some wintry mix type stuff in there. Just wanted to break it out from the Feb thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM 58 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not sure it’s a KU look You and the other meteorologist can fight it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now