Discussion for a probable 2 or 3 winter storms/events between Tue Feb 11 - Sat Feb 15. OBS threads for each will be added as needed.

[nycsnow]

CMC better as well

[SnowGoose69]

The setup is becoming crazily complicated now, they are almost involving 2 waves which is partially why this has come north and now the big system behind it is trending way less "cutty" at 00Z which I think most agreed would happen since this pattern is not producing a Great Lakes bomb

[nycsnow]

CMC was all snow for next weekend 

[nycsnow]

[Jt17]

30+ hours of snow would be fun


.

[Stormlover74]

Gfs has a heavy thump to rain next weekend 

Ukie has a moderate hit for Tuesday. Probably 2 to 4+

[nycsnow]

Ukie Tuesday wed

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[nycsnow]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Gfs has a heavy thump to rain next weekend 

Ukie has a moderate hit for Tuesday. Probably 2 to 4+

Great trends 

[allgame830]

Call me crazy but I think Tuesday will turn out to be more than the current event 

[psv88]

11 minutes ago, allgame830 said:

Call me crazy but I think Tuesday will turn out to be more than the current event 

Depends for who. Most of LI got 3-5” tonight 

[allgame830]

1 minute ago, psv88 said:

Depends for who. Most of LI got 3-5” tonight 

Whole region. 72 hours to go for the north trend. 

[MJO812]

Euro a tick north

[Franklin0529]

Very encouraging trends tonight!! 

[MJO812]

28 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Euro a tick north

Eps also ticked north 

[NEG NAO]

I think we should just concentrate on the first phase of this week long event as what happens with the first wave and how it behaves will affect the crucial tracks of following waves as the week progresses .........this thread is covering too many days IMO - going to get confusing

[MJO812]

Nam is coming further north for Tuesday 

[MJO812]

The snow from NYC south is for Tuesday on the Nam

 

 Increased. 

[SnoSki14]

Classic screw zone for us. SNE got yesterday, although many underperformed, and Mid-Atlantic gets Tuesday. 

However given the trends north with yesterday's system I'd say there's still a shot things trend in that direction with this.

[TJW014]

In perfectly happy where this is right now. Just north of the heaviest axis of snow is. Since these time after time again will tick north last minute, it should throw me, CNJ and the south shore of LI in the sweet spot. 

I haven't seen more than 4" of snow in my yard since 2018 (I was away for January 2022)

[Dark Star]

6 hours ago, allgame830 said:

Call me crazy but I think Tuesday will turn out to be more than the current event 

For my location, anything would be better...

[RU848789]

12 hours ago, Allsnow said:

No skating on Tommy’s pond this winter? 

Kids were skating during the cold spell a couple of weeks ago, but not now.  

[LibertyBell]

7 hours ago, Jt17 said:

30+ hours of snow would be fun


.

almost 48 hours of snow wow!!

[LibertyBell]

7 hours ago, psv88 said:

Depends for who. Most of LI got 3-5” tonight 

we could have back to back 4" events, we got this last February too.

[MJO812]

2 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Classic screw zone for us. SNE got yesterday, although many underperformed, and Mid-Atlantic gets Tuesday. 

However given the trends north with yesterday's system I'd say there's still a shot things trend in that direction with this.

I got 3 inches yesterday.  Who was screwed ?  I have screenshots of you stating that NYC was only going to get 2 inches for the rest of the month but I'm not going to post those.  Stop making blank statements.

[CentralNJSnowman]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

I got 3 inches yesterday.  Who was screwed ?  I have screenshots of you stating that NYC was only going to get 2 inches for the rest of the month but I'm not going to post those.  Stop making blank statements.

Yesterday was a dud in Southern Middlesex County, NJ.  I haven't been out but looks at most 1/2 inch of sleet, covered by a bunch of ice.  That said, I thought Sacrus lived in the same town as me, and he said 1.5 inches of snow...so not sure why there's a discrepancy.

Also worth noting that the next storm looks somewhat promising for a few inches here.

[Bergenbcountyguy]

what is the timing of tuesdays event for NNJ?

[MJO812]

Sref north of 3z for the NYC area for Tuesday

[NEG NAO]

1 hour ago, RU848789 said:

Kids were skating during the cold spell a couple of weeks ago, but not now.  

Safer now to go to the skating rink at Roosevelt Park ........

[LibertyBell]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Sref north of 3z for the NYC area for Tuesday

back to back 3-5 inch events would be nice to see

[NEG NAO]

17 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

back to back 3-5 inch events would be nice to see

last nights along with all the others since the 1st of the year didn't even cover the entire grass still poking through here in North Central NJ.... about a compressed inch - question now is -will it melt HERE by the potential mid-week storm ? You guys who got 3 or more will not all melt IMO