Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    17,720
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Ptpaquvi
    Newest Member
    Ptpaquvi
    Joined

Discussion for a probable 2 or 3 winter storms/events between Tue Feb 11 - Sat Feb 15. OBS threads for each will be added as needed.

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

 Share

Recommended Posts

MJO812

MJO812

Posted
Posted
9 minutes ago, eduggs said:

I don't know how you can say that considering the sea of WSWs posted just south of our area. Even a weak shortwave... just a minor kink in the longwave flow... could have shifted the Tuesday event far enough north for a moderate snowstorm. My bar for "high-end" is relatively low. I'm talking 6" of non-mixing snow. Not a blockbuster. You are talking with the clarity of hindsight. We cannot definitively see threat magnitudes more than a week in advance. We can only really talk about likelihoods.  Yes a favorable PNA trof is helpful for large events. But it is not required.

He is talking about a huge snowstorm not several inches.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 661
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

Rjay
Rjay

Just a reminder   

Newman
Newman

The NAM allows for a more expansive precip shield with a 180-190kt upper level jet screaming over northern New England, putting Eastern PA, NJ, and NYC in a favorable right entrance region. The flatte

SnowGoose69
SnowGoose69

The setup is becoming crazily complicated now, they are almost involving 2 waves which is partially why this has come north and now the big system behind it is trending way less "cutty" at 00Z which I

Posted Images

BoulderWX

BoulderWX

Posted
Posted
Just now, coastalplainsnowman said:

1-5?  2-6?  1-6?  Is this not a first for these sorts of ranges?  1-6 is awfully close to 0-6.  I get that may be the best we can do, but, if I may be scientific for a moment, that looks weird man.

This is the first time I’m seeing these ranges from an NWS product. Maybe because they’re accounting for both storms?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Krs4Lfe

Krs4Lfe

Posted
Posted
19 minutes ago, eduggs said:

This week has really gone to shit snow wise. Now that I've reconciled and accepted that, any positive trend or positive bust will feel glorious.

The key is to realizing that we shouldn't bet against the base state. We've had some light snowfalls this winter with everything big going north or south. If we haven't had a moderate-big one by now, I'd wager that it's going to be hard to get one later on. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
TJW014

TJW014

Posted
Posted

WWA issued here. 3-5". Would make for the biggest event here in 3 years if I get over 4". 

So long as NJ state offices don't close, the plan is for burgers and weenies over a campfire on the beach. 

If not, we'll be towing sleds behind the truck down some fire roads

 

  • Haha 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...