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Discussion for a probable 2 or 3 winter storms/events between Tue Feb 11 - Sat Feb 15. OBS threads for each will be added as needed.

wdrag

By wdrag,
in New York City Metro

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Rjay
Rjay

Just a reminder   

Newman
Newman

The NAM allows for a more expansive precip shield with a 180-190kt upper level jet screaming over northern New England, putting Eastern PA, NJ, and NYC in a favorable right entrance region. The flatte

forkyfork
forkyfork

if you're worried about sun angle it's not much of a storm to begin with

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Volcanic Winter

Volcanic Winter

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 9:00 AM, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Just curious who you consider the northern folk to be? NYC? 

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Yeah, the metro is a large region. “Northern crew” I think Sussex -> east across the LHV and into NYC metro areas of CT. That map as depicted was an improvement for CNJ.

It doesn’t help that nobody can agree on what constitutes NNJ, CNJ, and SNJ either :lol:. Truly one of the great debates of our time. 

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dseagull

dseagull

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 9:34 AM, Volcanic Winter said:

Yeah, the metro is a large region. “Northern crew” I think Sussex -> east across the LHV and into NYC metro areas of CT. That map as depicted was an improvement for CNJ.

It doesn’t help that nobody can agree on what constitutes NNJ, CNJ, and SNJ either :lol:. Truly one of the great debates of our time. 

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Certainly is sir!  Lmao.  Can't believe i woke up to what my girl and I went to bed debating.   Again....

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LawdogGRNJ

LawdogGRNJ

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 9:34 AM, Volcanic Winter said:

Yeah, the metro is a large region. “Northern crew” I think Sussex -> east across the LHV and into NYC metro areas of CT. That map as depicted was an improvement for CNJ.

It doesn’t help that nobody can agree on what constitutes NNJ, CNJ, and SNJ either :lol:. Truly one of the great debates of our time. 

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That's because there is no CNJ :D

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sussexcountyobs

sussexcountyobs

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 9:34 AM, Volcanic Winter said:

Yeah, the metro is a large region. “Northern crew” I think Sussex -> east across the LHV and into NYC metro areas of CT. That map as depicted was an improvement for CNJ.

It doesn’t help that nobody can agree on what constitutes NNJ, CNJ, and SNJ either :lol:. Truly one of the great debates of our time. 

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NNJ starts at rt 78

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dseagull

dseagull

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 11:37 AM, Big Jims Videos said:

Monmouth Ocean Mercer Middlesex counties have nothing in common with cape May or Bergen counties.  Don't do this.  Central NJ exists and we're getting snow this evening. That's what matters.    

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Just stirring the pot.   Looking forward to it.  Hunting this morning and tomorrow morning.  Going to look quite different.  Dog will be in heaven tomorrow running the fields for birds.  

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weatherpruf

weatherpruf

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 11:37 AM, Big Jims Videos said:

Monmouth Ocean Mercer Middlesex counties have nothing in common with cape May or Bergen counties.  Don't do this.  Central NJ exists and we're getting snow this evening. That's what matters.    

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And Pt Pleasant ain't in it....that's S Jersey. N Jersey starts at Elizabeth. Ask anyone in Elizabeth if Pt Pleasant is CNJ....Carteret is CNJ. Perth Amboy is  CNJ. Jackson always claims they are.....frankly IMO Sayreville is S Jersey:)

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weatherpruf

weatherpruf

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 11:37 AM, Big Jims Videos said:

Monmouth Ocean Mercer Middlesex counties have nothing in common with cape May or Bergen counties.  Don't do this.  Central NJ exists and we're getting snow this evening. That's what matters.    

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They all have something in common....they all gripe about taxes, school teacher salaries,traffic, and too much cold snowy weather:)

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dseagull

dseagull

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 11:53 AM, weatherpruf said:

And Pt Pleasant ain't in it....that's S Jersey. N Jersey starts at Elizabeth. Ask anyone in Elizabeth if Pt Pleasant is CNJ....Carteret is CNJ. Perth Amboy is  CNJ. Jackson always claims they are.....frankly IMO Sayreville is S Jersey:)

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All depends on where you live or were raised.  Coming from Salem county, I feel like Pt. Pleasant may as well be NYC.  Always called my current home on central barnegat bay North Jersey. 

Geographically, your idea of south Jersey would be 75% of the land in NJ. 

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weatherpruf

weatherpruf

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 11:56 AM, dseagull said:

All depends on where you live or were raised.  Coming from Salem county, I feel like Pt. Pleasant may as well be NYC.  Always called my current home on central barnegat bay North Jersey. 

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We always considered Trenton to be in S Jersey....whether people were Eagles fans or Giants fans....( I don't watch football myself ).

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weatherpruf

weatherpruf

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 5:52 AM, RU848789 said:

Zoomed in 0Z Euro vs. 18Z: nice bump up in precip/snow amounts for the northern folks...

image.gif.78fab9c9cfaa7cf627fd4f2638502f62.gif

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Is this total snow for the whole period? What an odd winter. Someone gave it a B- so far, but this former teacher gives it a C-, just below the bare minimum. Some time to turn it around, but I'm at the point where I would tell a student in that situation he needed a miracle.

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RU848789

RU848789

Posted
Posted

Here's the NWS map for wave 1 only from 7 am today through 7 am Weds and below that is the map for wave 2 only from 7 am Weds thru 7 am Thurs. I just stumbled upon the NWS snowfall portal tool yesterday from a poster on the RU board and it's very cool if folks haven't seen it. It allows one to pick any NWS office area and timeframe up through 66 hours, creating snowfall maps and to hover one's cursor over any location to get the snowfall for that period (a much better version of the point-and-click feature)....and there's a button to create "official NWS snowfall maps" like the one below. The link for this is well hidden, lol, on the winter weather page just above the usual maps where it says, "Click here for the NWS Probabilistic Precipitation Portal" - this link then comes up: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/

 

 

R4i9A5z.png

 

AAOZoNR.png

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Dark Star

Dark Star

Posted
Posted
  On 2/11/2025 at 9:34 AM, Volcanic Winter said:

Yeah, the metro is a large region. “Northern crew” I think Sussex -> east across the LHV and into NYC metro areas of CT. That map as depicted was an improvement for CNJ.

It doesn’t help that nobody can agree on what constitutes NNJ, CNJ, and SNJ either :lol:. Truly one of the great debates of our time. 

Expand  

Some people divide New Jersey geographically.  I tend to weight the division via population distribution (I don't know why)...

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