Discussion for a probable 2 or 3 winter storms/events between Tue Feb 11 - Sat Feb 15. OBS threads for each will be added as needed.

[ag3]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Fv3 has nothing for NYC lol

Piece of shit model…

Hopefully.

Ha.

[Yaz]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Fv3 has nothing for NYC lol

Isnt’t the Fv3 supposed to replace the GFS, or am I getting my models confused?

[SnoSki14]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Maybe more

I would still go with 1-3" over the area. Maybe we'll get a last minute north bump as we did on Saturday 

[rgwp96]

And Nam has zero snow for the next round after 

[eduggs]

19 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Fv3 has nothing for NYC lol

It's light - maybe a tenth, but not 0.

[MJO812]

16 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I would still go with 1-3" over the area. Maybe we'll get a last minute north bump as we did on Saturday 

Rap has 2-4

[psv88]

29 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Image

 

Wow. Another LI jackpot? Would bring my area to 20”

[nycsnow]

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Wow. Another LI jackpot? Would bring my area to 20”

Let's see the other models. 

[RU848789]

There's obviously some reason the NWS has the snowfall forecast higher than most models - maybe they're buying the NAM, as they look very close. And I just noticed that the NWS had put up advisories for SE Bucks, Mercer and Monmouth (must've been looking at an old map), so Middlesex/Somerset aren't that far away from advisory level snows.  

[ag3]

Rgem rolling. Out to hour 18 on pivotal. I can’t post maps on this site.

[nycsnow]

Image

 

[nycsnow]

Tick north so far

Image

 

[ag3]

Rgem not as good as Nam but it is definitely north of 18z.

[Rjay]

5 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Rgem rolling. Out to hour 18 on pivotal. I can’t post maps on this site.

Take a screenshot and post it.  Or delete your old images.  This site sucks with this stuff. 

[nycsnow]

Rgem still only 1-2 for nyc and li 2-4 for jersey 

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Rgem not as good as Nam but it is definitely north of 18z.

Yep 

About 1-1.5 inches for our area 

 

[ag3]

Just now, nycsnow said:

Rgem still only 1-2 for nyc and li 2-4 for jersey 

Yes, but it moved north. Good sign.

[TJW014]

I am pleased. 

[ag3]

[Yaz]

[RU848789]

12 minutes ago, ag3 said:

Rgem not as good as Nam but it is definitely north of 18z.

Disagree - these look the same to me; maybe the slightest tick north.  Also the map you posted goes out to 4 pm Weds - yes there is some very light snow, but I doubt any of it will accumulate with very light intensity during daylight with temps above 32F. 

[MJO812]

Nam is on crack

Gfs is about an inch for NYC 

[Krs4Lfe]

3 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam is on crack

Gfs is about an inch for NYC 

As to be expected the NAM is always over amped. What does it show for any potential Wednesday night?

[MJO812]

9 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

As to be expected the NAM is always over amped. What does it show for any potential Wednesday night?

Rain

[MJO812]

13 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Nam is on crack

Gfs is about an inch for NYC 

Cmc is also light 

[cleetussnow]

Gfs further south for the weekend deal.  Close.

[MJO812]

4 minutes ago, cleetussnow said:

Gfs further south for the weekend deal.  Close.

Cmc is also trending 

[SnoSki14]

19 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Cmc is also trending 

That doesn't surprise me. 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

That doesn't surprise me. 

Flatter solutions winning out