February 11-12: Is it real?

[T. August]

If the euro is bad I think we need a new thread.

[SnowenOutThere]

I mean, I would say this is bad at all south of the Potomac 

[Quasievil]

Just now, stormtracker said:

It terms of 18z...it is.  We get snow for sure

It's right where we want it to show at this timeframe. See y'all at 6z

[NorthArlington101]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

It terms of 18z...it is.  We get snow for sure

My bar is still 2” so I’m fine. Focused on Saturday first anyway

[ravensrule]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Some would say right where we want it. Acceptable at range 

I would say BULLSHIT. That’s just horrific. 

[TSSN+]

Hilarious not even close to last run or bow 18z euro. Toss 

[mitchnick]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Yeah, pulling out...focus is south South Central VA including RIC will be the winners.  We get snow, but radically different than 18z

Since game time is still 102hrs+, we're fine. None of the ensembles center the bullseye south of us anyway.

[stormtracker]

Just now, nj2va said:

Yeah, wouldn’t just throw out its ugly.

It Is, vs 18z.   Generally, sure it's not a total debacle.

I'm comparing runs yall

[winter_warlock]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Some would say right where we want it. Acceptable at range 

Thats a shift of nearly 100 miles lol   just another solution onto cmc and euro

[WEATHER53]

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Marcus (formerly vortmax) and I cofounded #neweather on mirc back in 1997(?). Ian used to get on once in a while and i think Randy too, but im not sure. We were also, at least i was, very active on the ne.weather usenet bulletin boards. Gary Gray, Joseph Bartlo, myself, and a few others were the originals to that group.  I went by "SteveB" at the time. So yeah, I'm old as dirt and probably have most of ya beat wrt seniority. There is someone name Jerry that I think may post in the New England forum that goes back and also a Logan that might be in the NY forum, but i dont peruse those forums too often. 

I think I go back but more like 2000/01

[stormtracker]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

My bar is still 2” so I’m fine. Focused on Saturday first anyway

If that's your bar, it's lovely!

[IronTy]

You know it's bad when even in mid February Calvert county is still too far north.  100hrs to go, I like where I'm sittin'

[clskinsfan]

I mean. We are bitching about 4-6+ inch storms now? Wow.

[Terpeast]

I’d say we’re in a good spot being on the north side of the heaviest precip if we want an all snow event. It’s noteworthy since this run assimilated dropsonde data from the pacific, so it might be the first clue that the most amped and northern solutions (where we mix) might be wrong. It’s just one run, but I like where we’re at. 

[stormtracker]

Just now, mitchnick said:

Since game time is still 102hrs+, we're fine. None of the ensembles center the bullseye south of us anyway.

We're more than fine.  The GFS is gonna wobble.  But the RIC folks are happy with this run

[weatherkyle]

1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said:

I mean, I would say this is bad at all south of the Potomac 

yeah..like 200 miles south of the potomac

[Ralph Wiggum]

I think the dropsonde data it ingested gave the gfs indigestion. Give it some pepto and let's try again at 6z

[stormtracker]

Just now, clskinsfan said:

I mean. We are bitching about 4-6+ inch storms now? Wow.

Who is bitching?

I swear yall are a trip.

[Fozz]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Some would say right where we want it. Acceptable at range 

Time for that southeast ridge to flex a little harder!

[mitchnick]

If #1 is south, so will #2.

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

It Is, vs 18z.   Generally, sure it's not a total debacle.

I'm comparing runs yall

I disagree. It’s a total debacle. I have had more dandruff than snow I’m going to see according to the 0Z GFS. It’s definitely not the final solution so I’m not too worried about. 

[T. August]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Some would say right where we want it. Acceptable at range 

Lmfao it’s even worse than I imagined

[Chris78]

Just now, ravensrule said:

I disagree. It’s a total debacle. I have had more dandruff than snow I’m going to see according to the 0Z GFS. It’s definitely not the final solution so I’m not too worried about. 

Sucks for Northern MD for sure

[Interstate]

I know it is the wrong thread... but it might set the stage for the wave later in the week

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

I mean. We are bitching about 4-6+ inch storms now? Wow.

Dude this isn’t 4-6”, unless you have glaucoma. 

[stormtracker]

Just now, ravensrule said:

I disagree. It’s a total debacle. I have had more dandruff than snow I’m going to see according to the 0Z GFS. It’s definitely not the final solution so I’m not too worried about. 

Comparatively speaking, it is ugly for us.

If that's the final outcome, I'm ok with 4-6.  Even said that earlier.

[DDweatherman]

1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

I mean. We are bitching about 4-6+ inch storms now? Wow.

Honestly, I hear you. But people are allowed to do whatever they want. They can chase unicorns and 10” storms if that’s their MO. They’ll just be rarely satisfied or get to see those outcomes 

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

We're more than fine.  The GFS is gonna wobble.  But the RIC folks are happy with this run

 Be curious to see if the  GEFS ensembles  also went south

[Ji]

We're more than fine.  The GFS is gonna wobble.  But the RIC folks are happy with this run

Dt is in the bullseye 114 hours out

[nj2va]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Who is bitching?

I swear yall are a trip.

“It’s ugly” will set the tone in the thread.  I got what you were saying but it is what it is.