February 11-12: Is it real?

[Sernest14]

6 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Well being 120 Mile's south would make ya a lil warmer 

A lot of factors go into that, not just a north/south thing.  Happens all the time 

[winter_warlock]

Just now, Sernest14 said:

A lot of factors go into that, not just a north/south thing.  Happens all the time 

I know that but climo does  play a part.  That's why temps average  alot colder in northern MD then they do in Southern Virginia.  

[adelphi_sky]

Calling JG Winterworth. I want my snowstorm and I want it NOW!


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[CAPE]

1 minute ago, winter_warlock said:

I know that but climo does  play a part.  That's why temps average  alot colder in northern MD then they do in Southern Virginia.  

Suppose its snowing heavily in S VA and you are smoking cirrus? Without an Arctic airmass in place your more northern area could easily be warmer.

[winter_warlock]

Just now, CAPE said:

Suppose its snowing heavily in S VA and you are smoking cirrus? Without an Arctic airmass in place your more northern area could easily be warmer.

Ok lol

[Benjamn3]

I mean, I like this happy hour run. Lol 

[bncho]

Euro is south. Yikes.

[Maestrobjwa]

4 minutes ago, Benjamn3 said:

I mean, I like this happy hour run. Lol 

We oughta have a backyardigan emoji for strictly imby perspective, lol

[weatherkyle]

33 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Is now the time we all start talking about when we joined Eastern?

Isabel.  I think my first post there was 9/16/03.  Mike and Eric Thomas had enough of us.

[wtkidz]

Thank you all for sending me the snow .   You can stop sending further south.  Of course this has a nonzero chance zero chance of happening.  But look at the day 4 and  5 percip numbers.  

[weatherkyle]

maybe it will move north this weekend.  Maybe tonight?

[Terpeast]

5 minutes ago, bncho said:

Euro is south. Yikes.

I like it where it is, tbh. We don’t have a block established yet, and when it isn’t there or is just starting, storms almost always come north at the last minute! 

(Before anyone comes at me with their backyard anecdotes, i’ll say its a different story once the block does establish itself as it did for the Jan 6 storm for example)

[paxpatriot]

It’s been a while since we’ve spent a week tracking a ghost, lol.

[winter_warlock]

19 minutes ago, Benjamn3 said:

I mean, I like this happy hour run. Lol 

Were happy that ur happy 

[RVAman]

35 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Well being 120 Mile's south would make ya a lil warmer 

No, that’s not how it works. At all. Not hating, just saying lol. Cold air moves, as does warm air. It can be warmed and/or colder anywhere in the country. It can be 25 in Louisiana and 60 in Richmond. 

[winter_warlock]

11 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I like it where it is, tbh. We don’t have a block established yet, and when it isn’t there or is just starting, storms almost always come north at the last minute! 

(Before anyone comes at me with their backyard anecdotes, i’ll say its a different story once the block does establish itself as it did for the Jan 6 storm for example)

Jan 6 storm was nice but it wasn't that big if a storm. This coming storm Tuesday will be about the sane thing.  Typical 4 to 8

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, RVAman said:

No, that’s not how it works. At all. Not hating, just saying lol. Cold air moves, as does warm air. It can be warmed and/or colder anywhere in the country. It can be 25 in Louisiana and 60 in Richmond. 

Ok

[aldie 22]

11 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

I like it where it is, tbh. We don’t have a block established yet, and when it isn’t there or is just starting, storms almost always come north at the last minute! 

(Before anyone comes at me with their backyard anecdotes, i’ll say its a different story once the block does establish itself as it did for the Jan 6 storm for example)

I just want this thing to have enough juice. I'm less concerned about north or south and more concerned with qpf

[Terpeast]

Just now, aldie 22 said:

I just want this thing to have enough juice. I'm less concerned about north or south and more concerned with qpf

That’s fair. We’ll see how much moisture comes out of the gulf for the tuesday wave. I’m willing to bet it will be a little more than the models are currently showing. 

[winter_warlock]

15 minutes ago, wtkidz said:

Thank you all for sending me the snow .   You can stop sending further south.  Of course this has a nonzero chance zero chance of happening.  But look at the day 4 and  5 percip numbers.  

Lots of rain in the south. Will help if they have a drought 

[winter_warlock]

17 minutes ago, weatherkyle said:

maybe it will move north this weekend.  Maybe tonight?

It's barely  a moderate event anymore lol

[psuhoffman]

1 hour ago, WVclimo said:

It’s almost as far south as last nights 00Z when the bottom fell out.  Lost all the northward movement we picked up since that run.

We already lost it. Last GEFS was awful. It was just a fluke the op was a wet north outlier. 

[winter_warlock]

Just now, psuhoffman said:

We already lost it. Last GEFS was awful. It was just a fluke the op was a wet north outlier. 

Agreed!!

[midatlanticweather]

In 24 hours I bet we are worried about mixing again and too far north! LOL! 

 

 

[Paleocene]

35 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said:

Calling JG Winterworth. I want my snowstorm and I want it NOW!


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Underrated post. Heard the song in my head

[stormtracker]

27 minutes ago, weatherkyle said:

maybe it will move north this weekend.  Maybe tonight?

I'm ok with this.

[wtkidz]

14 minutes ago, winter_warlock said:

Lots of rain in the south. Will help if they have a drought 

We do. And I have a  well for water. 

[stormtracker]

3 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Underrated post. Heard the song in my head

877 Cash Now

[WVclimo]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I'm ok with this.

At least I won’t have to worry about shoveling the 1” that falls here during the daytime.

[mitchnick]

Hopefully, Eps will prevail. 120hrs for storm 1 and 144hrs for 2, or part of it.