midatlanticweather Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Stubborn as a mule! Central VA still gets the main goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 16 hours ago Author Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, MN Transplant said: It is locked in. Can barely tell any difference in the precip fields from 00 to 06 to 12z. talking about the 3 hour periods..it did constrict the amounts, but it doesnt look terrible. It's relatively the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago It definitely looks a little less amplified to me, kind of the opposite direction that the NAM went from 6z to 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Arrived 7 Springs last night so will see how real from here and if we get back to DC on Wednesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 16 hours ago Author Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: It definitely looks a little less amplified to me, kind of the opposite direction that the NAM went from 6z to 12z. It's not that bad, but can def tell the difference between 6z and now comparing the same times. It shifted like 15-20 miles souther 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago To me, the gfs aligns well with the original watches from LWX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Heavy snow DC metro at 60 on 12z gfs 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, yoda said: Heavy snow DC metro at 60 on 12z gfs Moves into MD at 63... DCA changes to rain 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: lol, it's like 30 miles. Good stuff comes close to sunset it appears. I would’ve rather it gone 30 miles in the other direction and taken us from 8” to 10” rather then from 8” to 6.5”, but doesn’t matter much 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 16 hours ago Author Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, yoda said: Heavy snow DC metro at 60 on 12z gfs What map are you looking at? Serious question. I don't see heavy, but it does start as soon and goes over to rain for fall line s and e at 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, stormtracker said: What map are you looking at? Serious question. I don't see heavy, but it does start as soon and goes over to rain for fall line s and e at 63 PW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago That thump with round 2 on the GFS is legit. Heavy snow/sleet west of the BR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 16 hours ago Author Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I would’ve rather it gone 30 miles in the other direction and taken us from 8” to 10” rather then from 8” to 6.5”, but doesn’t matter much Same, but I think we're locked in at this point to a southern jack. NAMs have us jacking, but it's the NAM. Probably should have used a better word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: What map are you looking at? Serious question. I don't see heavy, but it does start as soon and goes over to rain for fall line s and e at 63 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Dryslot comes charging through/precipitation ends just after 66 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 12z GFS definitely took a little step back with the snow totals on the northern end and dropped the max stripe in VA a little further south. Not the trend was hoping to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, WVsnowlover said: 12z GFS definitely took a little step back with the snow totals on the northern end and dropped the max stripe in VA a little further south. Not the trend was hoping to see. 7 inches in baltimore is fine with me lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago I don't like how the gfs says says that I get there, but I'd be ecstatic with 7" of snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, winter_warlock said: 7 inches in baltimore is fine with me lol Not when short pump is jacking with 11"! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago I’m not believing in this Wednesday evening snow until I see some other guidance show it 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, mdhokie said: Not when short pump is jacking with 11"! Yeah but if u look at the model it shows rain down there also so I think that 11 inches is wayy overdone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, WVsnowlover said: 12z GFS definitely took a little step back with the snow totals on the northern end and dropped the max stripe in VA a little further south. Not the trend was hoping to see. Not sure that is a trend. More of a wobble. I still like that stripe to come a little north at game time. But splitting hairs at this point. We will know in about 24 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: I’m not believing in this Wednesday evening snow until I see some other guidance show it Me too, but I do like the synoptic's of how hard it might thump if it is snow. I'd definitely favor areas around me farther NW for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Ok if u look at the model. It shows rain in short pump and Salisbury yet it Shows outrageous snow totals. They are wayy over done down there lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, winter_warlock said: Ok if u look at the model. It shows rain in short pump and Salisbury yet it Shows outrageous snow totals. They are wayy over done down there lol That’s part 2 - round 1 they get hit hard. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Northern folks' happiness this week may depend on round 2 giving us a thump before the dry slot/snizzle. GFS continues to show pretty much exactly that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 minute ago, T. August said: That’s part 2 - round 1 they get hit hard. Exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, paxpatriot said: Northern folks' happiness this week may depend on round 2 giving us a thump before the dry slot/snizzle. GFS continues to show pretty much exactly that. agree 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 16 hours ago Author Share Posted 16 hours ago 3 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: Ok if u look at the model. It shows rain in short pump and Salisbury yet it Shows outrageous snow totals. They are wayy over done down there lol The first map is from part 2. They get their good snow from part 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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