Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 08:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:35 PM 1 minute ago, frd said: WSW here but not Philly, sorry @Ralph Wiggum. Interesting depiction of the Northern extent of the watch. Matches the ENE motion of the storm, however wondering about coastal enhancement for some. I'm N of Philly been on the outside looking in with this for a while. Nbd, is what it is. Hope you guys down there get slammed with a last minute surprise increase. GL 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Sunday at 08:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:35 PM Just now, DDweatherman said: Interesting thing to note is the euro doesn't even really get it going in DC and north until post hr 60. A lot to be decided still. Yeah, I hesitate to dream but wonder if there is a world we can maximize both the Tuesday afternoon/evening pushes and the Wednesday morning push. I kind of assume one depends on the other a bit… guess what the GFS is really doing is slamming RIC hard with both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Sunday at 08:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:35 PM It's also a bit odd to have another strong storm right on its tail like that.. there is usually more spacing between waves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Sunday at 08:35 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:35 PM 3k also looks great and still snowing hard at the end of the run. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Sunday at 08:36 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:36 PM NAM'd! BAM! FOLKS! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Sunday at 08:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:37 PM Just now, LP08 said: 3k also looks great and still snowing hard at the end of the run. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 08:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:38 PM 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: 3k also looks great and still snowing hard at the end of the run. Probably another 4 to 6 hours to go across the region I would guess 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Sunday at 08:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:38 PM 1 minute ago, bncho said: NAM'd! BAM! FOLKS! Lol second time today we posted a map within a few seconds. I deleted mine this time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Sunday at 08:38 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:38 PM Just now, CAPE said: Lol second time today we posted a map within a few seconds. I deleted mine this time. i'll let you have the other 18z runs LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted Sunday at 08:39 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:39 PM Nam likes my conservative call. 12”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Sunday at 08:40 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:40 PM Just now, bncho said: i'll let you have the other 18z runs LOL Nah I wont be paying much attention the rest of the evening. SB festivities. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Sunday at 08:40 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:40 PM CAD is holding surprisingly strong for the storm after it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Sunday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:42 PM Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: CAD is holding surprisingly strong for the storm after it. It really is, even at mid levels it remains nice and cold. I have to check soundings, pivotal wants to put me in some snow/sleet weds overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Sunday at 08:42 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:42 PM 2 minutes ago, bncho said: i'll let you have the other 18z runs LOL I love Cape’s analysis and like your map presentation better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Sunday at 08:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:43 PM 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: It really is, even at mid levels it remains nice and cold. I have to check soundings, pivotal wants to put me in some snow/sleet weds overnight. Wow, look at that wedge 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Sunday at 08:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:43 PM 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: I love Cape’s analysis and like your map presentation better Cape's the much smarter one out of the two of us. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted Sunday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:44 PM 1 minute ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: CAD is holding surprisingly strong for the storm after it. That high N of VT/NH isn't just sliding east like our typical ice-->rain scenario. Not that it is in a great spot but not bad for keeping CAD entrenched. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted Sunday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:44 PM These snow maps look a lot like January 6th. Not gonna be as cold but really similar look 48 hours out. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Sunday at 08:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:45 PM Just now, poolz1 said: That high N of VT/NH isn't just sliding east like our typical ice-->rain scenario. Not that it is in a great spot but not bad for keeping CAD entrenched. It makes it pretty wintry overnight Weds into Thurs. 850's are actually below 0 all the way into VA. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Sunday at 08:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:46 PM 4 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Wow, look at that wedge It does moderate a little at 84hr, with the 925mb low up near Lake Eerie. Rain except in the mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Sunday at 08:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:47 PM It looks like I may be okay depending on model of choice getting out of DCA Tuesday @ 4pm. However, my 8pm-11pm flight in Wednesday night has a dicey look to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Sunday at 08:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:47 PM 2 minutes ago, bncho said: Cape's the much smarter one out of the two of us. 3 minutes ago, bncho said: Cape's the much smarter one out of the two of us. @CAPEhas weather down cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted Sunday at 08:49 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:49 PM Just caught up. Nam'd & WSW now here. LFG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted Sunday at 08:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:50 PM Latest from LWX. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Sunday at 08:51 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:51 PM Just now, StormyClearweather said: Latest from LWX. Pretty reasonable for right now. I'm sure that will get refined in the next day or so, and the max areas perhaps become better identified. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted Sunday at 08:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:56 PM 7 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: CAD is holding surprisingly strong for the storm after it. That's what I've got my eye on at this point. It could be nasty along and West of the BR. Idk exactly what storm track / system charcteristics combo we need to get this kind of setup, but it's reminding me of the mid-January storm in 2022. There was a big pocket of cold air that never really eroded in SW/Central VA. If yall don't remember that storm it was a quick front end followed by rain (for most). Down here we never really lost the surface, maybe got to 33-34 before crashing again, but areas 100+ miles north were getting blasted with 45 degree ocean air and lost anything that fell or was remaining. The end result was we had snow on the ground down here almost that entire month while the metros only had a week after the Jan 3rd storm 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted Sunday at 08:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:59 PM One thing thats been pretty nice this year is how the snow has been pretty evenly distributed throughout the sub. Seasonal totals from York to HGR to OKV to EZF to SBY all within 2-3" of each other and this event appears to just add to everyone's totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EB89 Posted Sunday at 09:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:00 PM Love that WSW cutoff right at the Frederick/Moco border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted Sunday at 09:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:02 PM 1 minute ago, EB89 said: Love that WSW cutoff right at the Frederick/Moco border I'd be surprised if it stays that way for long 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Sunday at 09:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 09:02 PM Early thoughts, fixing to make a fool of myself. Seeing hr36 on the ICON makes me think wave 1A of this will be a bit south of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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