TowsonWeather Posted Sunday at 07:27 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:27 PM 1 hour ago, DraydenWX said: My guess is TowsonWeather. He just comes on here to yell at people on the RIC form. It’s time for you to take him behind the woodshed. LOL...I've been a member on here for almost 15 years. I've not once - ever - made disparaging comments about Richmond or folks down south. And yet all it took was me pointing out (in ONE thread) that multiple Richmond/VA posters were the ones being bitchy and snarky and telling the group that makes up 90%+ of this forum to "cry more" and y'all immediately double down with more of that weird cocktail of defensiveness and gloating over digital snow. And that's toward someone that's always been vocal about cheering for our southern friends when they jackpot. Weird behavior, tbh. I'll continue hoping we all enjoy deep drifts of snow, and you can continue being insecure, hyper-defensive weirdos. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted Sunday at 07:28 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:28 PM 27 minutes ago, jlewis1111 said: Dont care you guys hate ric people lol So Il troll some just like all you guys do at times lol Exhibit A. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:31 PM WB 15Z SREF 2 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 07:37 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:37 PM Ok, backyard penis size snow measuring contest can end now 5 1 6 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Sunday at 07:40 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:40 PM 8 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 15Z SREF The srefs suck please don’t ever post them again lol 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Sunday at 07:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:44 PM 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Ok, backyard penis size snow measuring contest can end now We know who wins anyway, so why waste our time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted Sunday at 07:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:45 PM LWX updated forecast discussion … Winter Storm Watches coming shortly South of I66/Rt 50 .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... Benign weather conditions expected Monday as an area of surface high pressure over the OH Valley slides east across PA/NJ, and into the western Atlantic. On and off clouds throughout the day, though dry conditions prevail. Highs in the 40s, with 30s in the mountains. An active weather pattern ensues for the middle portion of the week as several waves of low pressure bring wintry precipitation to the area starting Tuesday. From a synoptic look, flow aloft remains purely zonal over the eastern CONUS. The confluence of the northern and southern branch jet streams will create an impressive jet stream over the OH Valley to PA/NY/southern New England. Several fast moving waves of low pressure aloft ride along just south of the jet streak. At the surface, several associated areas of low pressure move from the Deep South to the lower Mid-Atlantic, then out to sea. The main concern on Tuesday will be the temperatures, which are currently forecast to be in the mid to upper 30s. The surface high to our north falls apart as it moves into the Atlantic, weakening the source region of cold air into our area. This makes the p-type forecast tricky for daytime Tuesday. It is possible that snow struggles to accumulate over most of the area, unless marginal temps are overcome by high precip rates. This seems most likely along the I-64 corridor, but model guidance is still uncertain on where the high precip rates occur Tuesday. Nonetheless, precipitation is forecast to begin as all snow Tuesday morning over the southwest CWA, then spread northeast through the afternoon. Cooling temperatures Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, combined with steady precipitation, is forecast to produce accumulating snow across the entire area. Warm air advection aloft along and south of the surface frontal zone could cause p-type to transition to freezing rain (possibly mixed with snow) over the central Shenandoah Valley and parts of Central VA. Through Tuesday night, the current forecast is for 3-5" of snow, with higher totals up to 6-7 possible". Where confidence is highest, a Winter Storm Watch will be issued shortly, along/south of I-66/US- 50. Additional considerations for Watch expansion, and issuances of Winter Weather Advisories is expected tonight into tomorrow. Stay tuned to the latest updates at weather.gov/lwx/winter. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 07:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:48 PM Watches up from RNK 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Sunday at 07:50 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:50 PM 19 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 15Z SREF Lock that in!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Sunday at 07:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:52 PM 11 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: The srefs suck please don’t ever post them again lol They look fine to me lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Sunday at 07:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:55 PM 8 minutes ago, wawarriors4 said: LWX updated forecast discussion … Winter Storm Watches coming shortly South of I66/Rt 50 .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... Benign weather conditions expected Monday as an area of surface high pressure over the OH Valley slides east across PA/NJ, and into the western Atlantic. On and off clouds throughout the day, though dry conditions prevail. Highs in the 40s, with 30s in the mountains. An active weather pattern ensues for the middle portion of the week as several waves of low pressure bring wintry precipitation to the area starting Tuesday. From a synoptic look, flow aloft remains purely zonal over the eastern CONUS. The confluence of the northern and southern branch jet streams will create an impressive jet stream over the OH Valley to PA/NY/southern New England. Several fast moving waves of low pressure aloft ride along just south of the jet streak. At the surface, several associated areas of low pressure move from the Deep South to the lower Mid-Atlantic, then out to sea. The main concern on Tuesday will be the temperatures, which are currently forecast to be in the mid to upper 30s. The surface high to our north falls apart as it moves into the Atlantic, weakening the source region of cold air into our area. This makes the p-type forecast tricky for daytime Tuesday. It is possible that snow struggles to accumulate over most of the area, unless marginal temps are overcome by high precip rates. This seems most likely along the I-64 corridor, but model guidance is still uncertain on where the high precip rates occur Tuesday. Nonetheless, precipitation is forecast to begin as all snow Tuesday morning over the southwest CWA, then spread northeast through the afternoon. Cooling temperatures Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, combined with steady precipitation, is forecast to produce accumulating snow across the entire area. Warm air advection aloft along and south of the surface frontal zone could cause p-type to transition to freezing rain (possibly mixed with snow) over the central Shenandoah Valley and parts of Central VA. Through Tuesday night, the current forecast is for 3-5" of snow, with higher totals up to 6-7 possible". Where confidence is highest, a Winter Storm Watch will be issued shortly, along/south of I-66/US- 50. Additional considerations for Watch expansion, and issuances of Winter Weather Advisories is expected tonight into tomorrow. Stay tuned to the latest updates at weather.gov/lwx/winter. I wish they’d get their maps straight, because their same site has the best possibility of >6” along and north of 66. But whatever. I’m sure some are computer generated and these are labeled as experimental… just moderately annoyed at the inconsistency 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted Sunday at 07:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:56 PM Just now, NorthArlington101 said: I wish they’d get their maps straight, because their same site has the best possibility of >6” along and north of 66. But whatever. I’m sure some are computer generated and these are labeled as experimental… just moderately annoyed at the inconsistency I can’t agree with this more. It’s just odd, nothing seems to match. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Sunday at 07:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:56 PM 1 hour ago, jlewis1111 said: so which model is more accurate 36-48 hours out? Jon Neese prefers a AVN NGM blend. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 07:57 PM Share Posted Sunday at 07:57 PM AKQ watches issued. The one bordering the southernmost portions of the LWX CWA calling for 3-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Sunday at 08:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:00 PM 22 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Ok, backyard penis size snow measuring contest can end now 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Sunday at 08:01 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:01 PM WB 15Z SREFReel it in, Will. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 08:03 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:03 PM @CAPE URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 300 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 DEZ001>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ016>027-100930- /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.A.0003.250211T1800Z-250212T1800Z/ New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Kent MD-Queen Annes-Talbot-Caroline-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington- Including the cities of Wharton State Forest, Denton, Easton, Jackson, Cape May Court House, Long Beach Island, Pennsville, Rehoboth Beach, Moorestown, Dover, Cherry Hill, Millville, Chestertown, Wilmington, Atlantic City, Centreville, Camden, Mount Holly, Ocean City, Georgetown, Glassboro, and Hammonton 300 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 6 inches possible. Localized totals may be as high as 6 to 8 inches. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, and southern Delaware, northeast Maryland, and southern New Jersey. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Sunday at 08:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:04 PM 7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Jon Neese prefers a AVN NGM blend. I scrolled by so fast I misread it as AVGN blend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Sunday at 08:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:04 PM I know you all like the Hrr at 48hr.. big storm 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSG Posted Sunday at 08:09 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:09 PM We are now entering the most dangerous territory for the snow weenie: extended HRRR and NAM at 48 hrs 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 08:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:11 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 309 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 VAZ027>031-WVZ050-052-053-055-100415- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0007.250211T1800Z-250212T1200Z/ Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Hampshire-Berkeley- Jefferson-Hardy- 309 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 6 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Ice accumulations around a light glaze possible. * WHERE...Portions of northwest Virginia and eastern and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation begins as light snow Tuesday afternoon. A steady snow follows Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, and the snow could be heavy at times. Some freezing rain begins to mix with the snow late Tuesday night. Additional wintry precipitation could continue into Wednesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. && 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted Sunday at 08:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:11 PM 16 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I wish they’d get their maps straight, because their same site has the best possibility of >6” along and north of 66. But whatever. I’m sure some are computer generated and these are labeled as experimental… just moderately annoyed at the inconsistency This map shows best shot of 6 inches ir mote is uo near baltimore .. weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:12 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 309 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 VAZ036>040-050-051-056-100415- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0007.250211T1500Z-250212T1200Z/ Nelson-Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Spotsylvania- 309 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 6 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, and northwest Virginia. * WHEN...From Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation begins as light snow Tuesday morning. A steady snow follows Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening, and the snow could be heavy at times. Some freezing rain begins to mix with the snow Tuesday night. Additional wintry precipitation could continue into Wednesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:12 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 309 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 VAZ025-026-503-504-507-508-WVZ501-502-505-506-100415- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0007.250211T1500Z-250212T1200Z/ Augusta-Rockingham-Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Western Grant- Eastern Grant-Western Pendleton-Eastern Pendleton- 309 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 6 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Ice accumulations between two to three tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, northwest, and western Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From Tuesday morning through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation begins as light snow Tuesday morning. A steady snow follows Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening, and the snow could be heavy at times. Precipitation transitions to a wintry mix of snow and freezing rain Tuesday night. Additional wintry precipitation could continue into Wednesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted Sunday at 08:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:12 PM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 309 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-503>506-508-VAZ053>055-057-501-502- 505-506-526-527-100415- /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.A.0007.250211T1800Z-250212T1200Z/ District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Southeast Harford-Fairfax-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-King George-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-Eastern Loudoun-Northwest Prince William- Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 309 PM EST Sun Feb 9 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 6 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. * WHERE...Portions of DC, central, northeast, northern, and southern Maryland, and central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning commutes. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation begins as light snow Tuesday afternoon. A steady snow follows Tuesday evening into Tuesday night, and the snow could be heavy at times. Additional wintry precipitation could continue into Wednesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Persons should delay all travel if possible. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution and be prepared for sudden changes in visibility. Leave plenty of room between you and the motorist ahead of you, and allow extra time to reach your destination. Avoid sudden braking or acceleration, and be especially cautious on hills or when making turns. Make sure your car is winterized and in good working order. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted Sunday at 08:13 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:13 PM 41 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 15Z SREF I wish I could trust the SREF, but it's really not been great in these situations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Sunday at 08:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:14 PM 1 minute ago, TowsonWeather said: I wish I could trust the SREF, but it's really not been great in these situations. Or any haha 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Sunday at 08:15 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:15 PM NAM a touch colder and precip shield is further north at 42. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Sunday at 08:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:17 PM Good, bump the WSW to the north!!! Actually surprised they did not wait for the 18Z to issue advisories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Sunday at 08:20 PM Share Posted Sunday at 08:20 PM 42 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Ok, backyard penis size snow measuring contest can end now There will be lots of slant-sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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