bncho Posted Sunday at 02:43 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:43 PM Just now, CAPE said: I split my posts. You snuck in the map just before me. dont worry i was jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Sunday at 02:44 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:44 PM TWC has 8-12 for DC, east over AA, PG and south. I wonder if southern areas get watches this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM can we rename this thread to February 11-12: it's kinda realIn the dmv, it’s never real until it’s real real. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:45 PM The nam is wrong.... am I doing it right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted Sunday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:46 PM 2 minutes ago, dailylurker said: TWC has 8-12 for DC, east over AA, PG and south. I wonder if southern areas get watches this afternoon. 8-12????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted Sunday at 02:47 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:47 PM Sold. Too bad it’s the NAM. Overall lines up with the euro / gfs but definitely wetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Sunday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:48 PM 2 minutes ago, 87storms said: In the dmv, it’s never real until it’s real real. 2 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Sunday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:48 PM The NAM Nest puts the axis further south, between Fredericksburg and Richmond. Huge practical difference for DC for the afternoon into early evening hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Sunday at 02:48 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:48 PM NAM shows coastal enhancement that beefed up qpf imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Sunday at 02:49 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:49 PM 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Sold. Too bad it’s the NAM. Overall lines up with the euro / gfs but definitely wetter Nam doing the typical Nam thing nearing its range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NVAwx Posted Sunday at 02:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:52 PM https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/?zoom=LWX 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted Sunday at 02:52 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:52 PM Just now, Solution Man said: Nam doing the typical Nam thing nearing its range Still you gotta appreciate that bright pink over near our area within the overall pink. It’s pink on pink with a side of pink. The NAM is that fun bro you take out to the bars knowing he’s gonna get you in trouble 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AdamHLG Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM At this point I don't even care how many inches the models predict. After watching this for a week, if Northern Baltimore gets a Winter Weather Advisory it will suck the season's life out of me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM Last 5 nam 12k shifts 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM 55 minutes ago, mappy said: I don’t see any threat of a mix for you, just surface temps right at 32. But a good thump and evap cooling will help you! Hope you see 5” I’ll take 32-34F as long as the column stays cold. Angle of the daylight might white rain some. You can get some more qpf and make out well thanks to colder temps up there. Go get you 5” too. Or more! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:54 PM 4 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: The NAM Nest puts the axis further south, between Fredericksburg and Richmond. Huge practical difference for DC for the afternoon into early evening hours. When do you plan on posting the 60 hour HRRR showing how dry it is? Just kidding go Wolves in the 4th qtr! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:55 PM 3k is several degrees colder Tuesday before things start vs 6z. Want to keep that going obviously 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted Sunday at 02:55 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:55 PM 8 minutes ago, bncho said: 8-12????? Yup. Their maps are about as good as the AI euro so who knows lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Sunday at 02:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:56 PM 1 minute ago, NVAwx said: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/Prob_Precip/?zoom=LWX A lot of these products at this timeframe are largely based on the NBM. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted Sunday at 02:56 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:56 PM Funny thing is I did see him in New Orleans twice during ams…a week before they got attacked by a DGZ. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Sunday at 02:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:58 PM 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 3k is several degrees colder Tuesday before things start vs 6z. Want to keep that going obviously Just left the house, colder but not souther? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Sunday at 02:58 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:58 PM 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Last 5 nam 12k shifts Noticed how the coastal is tucked closer towards OBX with each run. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 02:59 PM Share Posted Sunday at 02:59 PM 5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Last 5 nam 12k shifts #LockedIn 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Sunday at 03:00 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:00 PM 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Just left the house, colder but not souther? 3k ends just as things start for the metros. But based on height lines out west, I’d say yes fwiw 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Sunday at 03:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:02 PM 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: 3k ends just as things start for the metros. But based on height lines out west, I’d say yes fwiw Combine the 12k and 3k nam and we get the best of both worlds 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted Sunday at 03:02 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:02 PM 17 minutes ago, dailylurker said: TWC has 8-12 for DC, east over AA, PG and south. I wonder if southern areas get watches this afternoon. Can’t say I hate the trends for our areas. Rt 50 might be the place to be for this one. We shall see, but our threat for WSW has been slowly increasing the past 24 hrs 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Sunday at 03:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:04 PM 9 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Last 5 nam 12k shifts Bruh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted Sunday at 03:04 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:04 PM 9 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: When do you plan on posting the 60 hour HRRR showing how dry it is? Just kidding go Wolves in the 4th qtr! The HRRR was dead on for yesterday. I got 0.05" precip. Blind squirrel and all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Sunday at 03:11 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:11 PM I hope those pink marks on Nam don’t turn to burn marks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Sunday at 03:12 PM Share Posted Sunday at 03:12 PM Rgem is going to be a better run for the area. And remember gem will look very similar they’re essentially the same model. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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