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February 11-12; 12-13: Are they real??


stormtracker
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11 minutes ago, Ji said:

Every professional and amateur met and weenie has been wrong on every part of this storm. I still don’t think anyone has a clue to how it might end

Not to be technical, but nobody's been right or wrong since it hasn't happened. But I  agree with your point that it's like the blind leading the blind with the modeling and the Mets. I also agree that no one can apparently nail this one down in advance.

In the end, I'll bet the AI and/or the Ukie wins as being the most consistent and accurate. 

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1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said:

No real directional trend, just wetter

IMG_2741.thumb.png.1c6fdcab5cd17d281392a5a21955db83.png

I like the trajectory better for MD. When the trajectory of the qpf is straight w-e is when it tends to sink south at game time. When it’s SW to NE is when it tends to trend north some rather end. This is in between which might mean some north nudge which is exactly what we need to keep DC in the jack but also extend it up to the northern MD folks. 

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4 hours ago, NorthArlington101 said:

No real directional shift, just wetter. 
IMG_2743.thumb.png.6587d4bada0860f79b19805c15b2dd45.png

if it goes this way it’s pretty funny the ens wouldve nailed it 8 days out, lost it, then found it again 

I distinctly remember Feb 2014 - the EPS picked up storms more than a week out, lost them, and found them again.  It happens often, but that month it happened a few times. 

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