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February 11-12; 12-13: Are they real??


stormtracker
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1 minute ago, paxpatriot said:

I think most of us would take this run in a heartbeat. Some wiggle room for us northern folks and good snow for people who don’t normally get it.

Ehhh I'd scale back the "don't normally get it" to "didn't normally get it before 2019"...because since then they most certainly have!

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Just now, Scraff said:

I was purple nurpled! I’m totally down with it. Though, I feel like we might still see a few small north ticks on future runs? Looking forward to Euro, but I’ll hopefully be fast asleep. Gotta boot the Covid out my body before Tuesday. ^_^

Hope you feel better soon and don't have too bad of a case!!

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Qpf
IMG_7207.thumb.png.830a955044ee76c00c02da87caac46eb.png
10:1
IMG_7208.thumb.png.0aca761d9664c9cd9e36c66632e9d76b.png
IMG_7206.thumb.png.ae7a18e1a0b0446d0256956085628640.png

Kind of confusing up north since I assume that includes snowfall from tonight into tomorrow for New York and points N.

Nice run for our parts. Not so much a north move, rather a healthier precip shield and better angle of attack to the naked eye. I’ll let someone with more knowledge break it down.

euro / gfs showing a 4-8” possibility for many
NAM / icon / gem showing more of a 2-5” storm
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Yeah, the jack will be south of the CWA as clskinsfan said. Models are clear as day on that. The question is, does DC and possibly Baltimore get in on those totals around 6” as well if there’s enough of a north push over the coming 2-3 days

Frederick does a really good job of averaging 2-4” every storm, so that’s my bar
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