Solution Man Posted Saturday at 04:41 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:41 AM 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Well, it may be a great time for some of us to take a break from tracking for few days. We now know what's happening (or not happening) next week. But maybe a week from now we can see if the PSU pattern shows anything on the horizon 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted Saturday at 04:42 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:42 AM 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: The CMC was not that bad for the forum. 3-5” then mix Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted Saturday at 04:43 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:43 AM Just now, Terpeast said: 3-5” then mix That's doesn't sound half bad, really! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Saturday at 04:44 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:44 AM I’m not out til the EURO/EPS surrender. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Saturday at 04:46 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:46 AM 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I’m not out til the EURO/EPS surrender. GEFS mega folded though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted Saturday at 04:47 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:47 AM I’m not out til the EURO/EPS surrender. It already has, no? Last run kind of showed what gfs just did with the two waves giving us scraps/nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Saturday at 04:52 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:52 AM 4 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: It already has, no? Last run kind of showed what gfs just did with the two waves giving us scraps/nothing . In a normal world this would be a very strong signal a WAA-level storm was approaching. I’d lock the 18z EPS up immediately... as would I think most of us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 04:56 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:56 AM Ukie 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Saturday at 04:57 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:57 AM 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Ukie 6-8” DC-Balt, not the GFS, max stripe looks like 18z EPS. Fat lady hasn’t totally sung, though I’m not gonna intentionally stay up for the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 04:57 AM Share Posted Saturday at 04:57 AM 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted Saturday at 05:08 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:08 AM 21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: GEFS mega folded though I was actually surprised how bad it was lmfao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted Saturday at 05:10 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:10 AM Amazing how strong the ensembles were a few days ago. Went from solid to crap. We will see if Euro saves the day., but even it's trends are a cause for concern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 05:17 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:17 AM 15 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said: Amazing how strong the ensembles were a few days ago. Went from solid to crap. We will see if Euro saves the day., but even it's trends are a cause for concern Maybe not as regularly crappy as operationals, ensembles can be crappy too with their lower resolution. But if this threat fails, this has got to be the worst ensemble fail in a long time. The 24 hr ensemble means, total means, as well as medians. Simply apocalyptic should this fail imho. And the big numbers were across every ensemble. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted Saturday at 05:32 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:32 AM Maybe not as regularly crappy as operationals, ensembles can be crappy too with their lower resolution. But if this threat fails, this has got to be the worst ensemble fail in a long time. The 24 hr ensemble means, total means, as well as medians. Simply apocalyptic should this fail imho. And the big numbers were across every ensemble. Unplug everything and start anew. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted Saturday at 05:49 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:49 AM Go @Bob Chill Go!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted Saturday at 05:51 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:51 AM 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 05:54 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:54 AM Good improvement from 18z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 05:57 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:57 AM 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Good improvement from 18z Kuchie looks the same Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted Saturday at 05:57 AM Share Posted Saturday at 05:57 AM Good improvement from 18zMeh. Seems to have same outcome as gfs, albeit a bit more frozen precip. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 06:02 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:02 AM Kuchie looks the sameIt was wat more jucier in central Va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 06:03 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:03 AM It was wat more jucier in central Va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 06:03 AM Share Posted Saturday at 06:03 AM How inspiring. G'nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 09:24 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:24 AM It is the WB 6Z 12K NAM at range, but it is North of the globals. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 09:25 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:25 AM WB 6Z ICON also ticked North compared to 0Z. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 09:32 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:32 AM WB 6Z ICON also ticked North.Will any chance we rebound today? EPS increased overnight 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 09:35 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:35 AM 7 minutes ago, Ji said: Will any chance we rebound today? EPS increased overnight Let's see what GFS and EURO have to say today. The NAM further north is a red flag for central VA. At least there is tracking. I will try to bring us some birthday luck today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 09:57 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:57 AM WB 6Z GFS is also North compared to 0Z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 09:58 AM Share Posted Saturday at 09:58 AM Gfs tikin north. Rebound day 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 10:01 AM Share Posted Saturday at 10:01 AM Everyone better wake up!!!!! WB 6Z GFS compared to 0Z. 9 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Saturday at 10:03 AM Share Posted Saturday at 10:03 AM Wow one more tick like that and we back lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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