stormtracker Posted Friday at 10:03 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:03 PM 1 minute ago, Ji said: its not really dramatic. we will see i guess Got better, but it's not gonna be as wet as 12z. I'd bet a general 4-6. Prob gonna look like the Euro. That's decent for us 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Friday at 10:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:04 PM id let the run play out--it maybe delayed with the good stuff--there is heavy precip in the TN valley that is still far away? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 10:04 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:04 PM Honestly, it's not terrible. Only if you expected the 12z again would it be "bad" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 10:04 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:04 PM Never should have started a thread for this yet lol 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 10:04 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:04 PM Just now, Ji said: id let the run play out--it maybe delayed with the good stuff--there is heavy precip in the TN valley that is still far away? It's a RIC storm on this run. But we're not shut out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 10:05 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:05 PM Just now, stormtracker said: Got better, but it's not gonna be as wet as 12z. I'd bet a general 4-6. Prob gonna look like the Euro. That's decent for us Decent but a clear bleed in the wrong direction. Color me shocked, lol 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 10:05 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:05 PM Just now, TSSN+ said: Never should have started a thread for this yet lol Yup, that's what I was trying to tell yall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 10:05 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:05 PM 3 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: you'd look at the general radar and think we'd get slammed but it's not climbing was so close to excellence - but still good. Let me just check the last 10 posts shared to see if they agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 10:05 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:05 PM RIC gets wrecked pretty good. Looks like a general 4-6. North of DC....well uh...less 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 10:06 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:06 PM People shouldn't be on the ledge. It's windshield wipering. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 10:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:07 PM 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: Yup, that's what I was trying to tell yall I said it too I was like isn’t 5 days to early but oh well. Lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted Friday at 10:07 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:07 PM 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: was so close to excellence - but still good. Let me just check the last 10 posts shared to see if they agree Juiced - just need relatively minor adjustments or a more robust NE shield then modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 10:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:08 PM Just now, stormtracker said: People shouldn't be on the ledge. It's windshield wipering. Oh I’m sure a run coming soon showing 20” again. The models having troubles with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Friday at 10:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:08 PM 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted Friday at 10:08 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:08 PM Richmond a foot, dc about 5-6…less north, more as you move further south. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Friday at 10:09 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:09 PM 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 10:09 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:09 PM Just now, stormtracker said: People shouldn't be on the ledge. It's windshield wipering. The overall trend across the models today is only in one direction though (drier less amped). And GFS has been the most amped out of the bunch, so the fact that it's now showing a lower end might be a clue as to what the other guidance will look, imo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted Friday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:10 PM 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: I said it too I was like isn’t 5 days to early but oh well. Lol I assume you’re a pretty bright guy, do you actually think starting a thread affects the weather. It’s so nonsensical it’s almost not believable. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 10:10 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:10 PM 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Oh I’m sure a run coming soon showing 20” again. The models having troubles with this If I gambled I'd bet the house that will not be happening this time, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted Friday at 10:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:11 PM 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Richmond a foot, dc about 5-6…less north, more as you move further south. its still a pretty wet run down south. still dont believe Richmond will be the bullseye for this storm 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 10:11 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:11 PM 1 minute ago, CAPE said: Like I said, it;'s not terrible...DC south 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted Friday at 10:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:11 PM It’s Friday, but if we want a big number, gotta start seeing the trend north 24 hours from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted Friday at 10:11 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:11 PM It’s almost as far south as last nights 00Z when the bottom fell out. Lost all the northward movement we picked up since that run. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 10:13 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:13 PM 2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: If I gambled I'd bet the house that will not be happening this time, lol Go have some drinks man. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted Friday at 10:13 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:13 PM 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: Looks like 0z last night. Though it looked like this run moved a bit more focus to the reinforcing energy like @psuhoffman said. May be in between outcomes in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted Friday at 10:14 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:14 PM 6 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I assume you’re a pretty bright guy, do you actually think starting a thread affects the weather. It’s so nonsensical it’s almost not believable. Superstition is not logical, lol And that's what this is. Just like players that wear a lucky sock or cleat--two things that logically should have nothing to do with their performance...thus there's a belief in certain things being bad luck. The whole consternation over starting a thread is one of those things... P.S. I do not have said superstition about starting a thread. Just pointing out what may be behind it for those that do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted Friday at 10:14 PM Author Share Posted Friday at 10:14 PM 1 minute ago, WVclimo said: It’s almost as far south as last nights 00Z when the bottom fell out. Lost all the northward movement we picked up since that run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Friday at 10:15 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:15 PM The evolution looks weird to me. Nothing in central or northern MD until Tuesday evening and then a last gasp....if this is how it plays out I am skeptical much makes it up here at all with this wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted Friday at 10:15 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:15 PM Pretty decent spot to be in. 4-6” is a solid bar and with a very possible north trend later by the the models up to a foot is still possible. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted Friday at 10:20 PM Share Posted Friday at 10:20 PM 9 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I assume you’re a pretty bright guy, do you actually think starting a thread affects the weather. It’s so nonsensical it’s almost not believable. No but we all have superstitions or believe in back luck. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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